Severe-Sofa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$420

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$19	17	9	+7	Down	$-1	05-12 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-12 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$15	24	0	+24	Down	$-4	05-12 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$11	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-4	05-12 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Up	$-10	05-13 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-13 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-4	05-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-12 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	$-10	05-12 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-12 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-12 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-12 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-12 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-12 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf69f27…
05-13 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa50f81…
05-13 15:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xcf115f…
05-13 15:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x46adff…
05-13 14:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa2b63b…
05-13 14:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xabb246…
05-13 14:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7b24a…
05-13 14:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc9c637…
05-13 14:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x707558…
05-12 22:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd42372…
05-12 22:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa2ae5d…
05-12 22:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x614ef9…
05-12 22:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5aea44…
05-12 22:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2f7a0b…
05-12 22:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xbd4b32…
05-12 22:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1256c0…
05-12 22:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x113300…
05-12 22:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5a5d23…
05-12 20:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0b9b67…
05-12 20:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4efe84…
05-12 20:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x977c6b…
05-12 20:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x146fc3…
05-12 20:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8d6f1a…
05-12 20:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x428cdd…
05-12 20:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb7c940…
05-12 20:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x91c6d8…
05-12 20:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8018d1…
05-12 20:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7ce56d…
05-12 20:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6e98c8…
05-12 20:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x25793e…
05-12 20:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x69da72…
05-12 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa853b1…
05-12 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x37af77…
05-12 20:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3962e9…
05-12 20:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcc5f20…
05-12 20:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4f9805…
05-12 19:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb06def…
05-12 18:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0116c8…
05-12 18:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3e8537…
05-12 18:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x679313…
05-12 18:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xec47d7…
05-12 18:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x664aea…
05-12 17:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb5faef…
05-12 17:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5801c6…
05-12 17:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x41210b…
05-12 17:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0xa9ac6e…
05-12 17:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x38171d…
05-12 17:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5f188a…
05-12 17:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x912b8e…
05-12 17:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x461b1e…
05-12 17:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3a18d3…
05-12 17:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d2e09…
05-12 16:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x988603…
05-12 16:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb94e71…
05-12 16:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xffc825…
05-12 16:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x44b740…
05-12 16:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x17efdd…
05-12 15:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2c7e05…
05-12 15:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x871ad6…
05-12 15:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe1de80…
05-12 15:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x963573…
05-12 15:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x66576f…
05-12 15:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa1eca4…
05-12 15:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x01c6a4…
05-12 15:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb96df6…
05-12 15:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe3b628…
05-12 15:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x8f6a93…
05-12 15:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x05fc37…
05-12 15:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x37a5f6…
05-12 15:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x77e143…
05-12 15:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x25aa12…
05-12 14:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x07831d…
05-12 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa26a49…
05-12 14:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8e6a76…