Loose-Institution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

108

Trades

664

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-15 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 16:53
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	04-24 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-24 23:19
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$17	22	0	+22	open	—	04-24 23:39
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	05-05 16:49
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$16	17	0	+17	Down	+$1	05-05 12:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$16	17	0	+17	Up	+$1	05-05 16:19
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$15	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	05-05 19:24
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-24 23:34
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 23:14
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$14	16	0	+16	Down	$-1	05-05 09:04
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-25 20:19
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	05-05 07:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-25 19:54
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$13	14	0	+14	Down	+$1	05-05 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-26 10:24
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	04-26 10:30
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	05-05 07:43
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-25 19:49
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-05 17:54
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$12	13	0	+13	Down	+$1	05-05 17:24
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	04-24 23:28
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	05-05 12:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 10:04
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-05 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	04-24 21:04
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	04-24 23:22
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$11	16	0	+16	open	—	04-25 20:49
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-05 07:39
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-04 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 12:08:41	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa7da3d…
05-15 12:04:41	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe44903…
05-15 12:04:11	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xa11e5b…
05-15 12:03:57	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x411af6…
05-15 11:58:16	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xcab84f…
05-15 11:53:53	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xaabd4f…
05-15 11:53:27	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1f8438…
05-15 11:48:45	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x16d57b…
05-15 11:39:55	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x730aff…
05-15 11:29:32	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x843289…
05-15 11:28:24	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5e3f6c…
05-15 11:24:12	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2a90fb…
05-15 11:19:23	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xa703d6…
05-15 09:58:30	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xbeaae9…
05-15 09:54:03	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc629f1…
05-15 09:49:59	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x508c63…
05-15 09:49:52	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3b9882…
05-15 09:49:03	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xed34a5…
05-15 09:44:13	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5c24d8…
05-15 09:39:14	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf2cd83…
05-15 09:34:51	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xaf2b6f…
05-15 09:34:37	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xaacc5f…
05-15 09:34:09	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb8a8b9…
05-15 09:29:12	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcb4584…
05-15 09:28:51	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x626b06…
05-15 09:24:46	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x942392…
05-15 09:19:01	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x77bde7…
05-15 09:14:42	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xea878c…
05-15 09:04:33	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xbebca0…
05-15 09:04:15	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe754f9…
05-15 08:59:53	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd47be2…
05-15 08:59:34	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdaf794…
05-15 08:54:31	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc71cd8…
05-15 08:54:06	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x13cfa5…
05-15 08:49:23	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xbc0aaa…
05-15 08:49:09	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa2db03…
05-15 08:44:11	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbed2cd…
05-15 08:43:03	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1bb323…
05-15 08:39:19	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x4c4de3…
05-15 08:37:41	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x8c782f…
05-15 08:36:07	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4e6991…
05-15 08:34:57	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x435783…
05-15 08:34:22	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xea9aad…
05-15 08:33:17	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x00ff87…
05-11 15:09:51	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2cf703…
05-11 15:09:41	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb3b0b7…
05-11 15:09:30	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1a84ae…
05-11 15:08:55	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x68e483…
05-11 15:08:24	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x94de3b…
05-11 15:02:49	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb39572…
05-11 14:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x7d72a6…
05-11 14:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3bf500…
05-11 14:58:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9837a5…
05-11 14:52:28	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1c0629…
05-11 14:47:48	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x80fb43…
05-11 13:09:57	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x884758…
05-11 13:09:48	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6c985b…
05-11 13:02:18	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b9b28…
05-11 12:52:41	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20c799…
05-11 12:44:01	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9f43a9…
05-11 12:38:29	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb44f1d…
05-11 12:33:38	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3ad6c7…
05-11 12:23:22	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x173f3a…
05-11 12:19:15	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6bd68…
05-11 10:08:56	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8b7b81…
05-11 09:43:16	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3d55ff…
05-11 09:38:35	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91b947…
05-11 09:34:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb8506e…
05-11 09:29:04	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3a2af4…
05-11 09:24:36	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x07d140…
05-11 09:18:06	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3525d1…
05-11 09:14:26	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf93c9c…
05-11 09:08:06	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4b16fb…
05-11 09:03:22	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7df1b0…
05-11 08:58:11	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3b18db…
05-11 08:53:10	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x380bff…
05-11 08:24:26	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5e1e34…
05-11 08:19:18	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x230bba…
05-11 08:13:40	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaffabe…
05-11 07:33:39	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x037131…
05-11 06:58:41	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd30d5e…
05-06 12:34:24	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x04f901…
05-06 12:34:20	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbf05ae…
05-06 12:29:12	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf72223…
05-06 12:29:02	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x318221…
05-06 12:23:30	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x22f77c…
05-06 12:04:22	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1024cc…
05-06 12:02:44	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x06e4e1…
05-06 11:49:48	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3c3b42…
05-06 11:49:14	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf81e4f…
05-06 11:43:30	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf52ed1…
05-06 11:28:56	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa7ccfe…
05-06 11:14:46	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcb5b96…
05-06 11:13:50	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x74609e…
05-06 11:09:50	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfcd7db…
05-06 11:03:48	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfd18e0…
05-06 10:53:16	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdb62e4…
05-06 10:49:32	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x27fb20…
05-06 10:48:18	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x30dd8e…
05-06 10:44:20	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3eb72c…