Messy-Strudel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$404

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-17 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 98% +$0

Other

12% 100% +$0

Politics

2% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	1	$21	22	+22	Yes	+$1	06-08 08:06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-29 00:56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	05-06 06:59
bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	1	$11	12	+12	No	+$0	08-13 06:42
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	03-29 01:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	1	$10	10	+10	No	-$10	05-25 09:57
bitcoin above 66k on april 9	1	$9	9	+9	Yes	+$0	04-09 08:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	1	$8	8	+8	Yes	+$0	04-28 03:06
ethereum above 1700 on march 11	1	$7	7	+7	Yes	+$0	03-11 06:05
ethereum above 1700 on march 4	1	$7	7	+7	Yes	+$0	03-04 03:06
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 165 189	1	$7	7	+7	No	+$0	03-14 09:43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$7	7	+7	No	+$0	06-28 11:45
ethereum above 3100 on january 26	1	$7	7	+7	No	+$0	01-26 05:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	1	$7	7	+7	No	+$0	10-17 12:40
bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	1	$7	7	+7	Yes	+$0	07-05 02:33
ethereum above 2900 on january 31	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	01-31 10:22
bitcoin above 96k on january 24	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	01-24 01:48
ethereum above 3100 on january 18	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	01-18 08:56
bitcoin above 90k on january 31	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	01-31 10:22
ethereum above 3600 on january 19	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	01-19 02:40
ethereum above 2300 on february 27	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	02-27 01:33
bitcoin above 94k on january 25	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	01-25 03:06
bitcoin above 84k on january 27	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	01-27 06:06
bitcoin above 72k on february 27	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	02-27 01:33
bitcoin above 74k on february 13	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	02-13 05:25
ethereum above 3600 on january 16	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-16 03:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	04-28 03:06
bitcoin above 88k on january 14	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	01-14 05:36
ethereum above 3400 on january 20	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-20 03:19
bitcoin above 74k on february 22	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	02-22 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 12:40:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb66bcd…
08-13 06:42:09	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xddf99c…
07-05 02:33:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbe964f…
06-28 11:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x134a1f…
06-08 08:06:27	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x598cc8…
05-29 00:56:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x655a17…
05-29 00:56:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33be22…
05-25 09:57:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8c0f10…
05-25 09:56:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x374628…
05-06 06:59:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x958dda…
04-28 03:06:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x790e57…
04-28 03:06:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7184c…
04-09 08:57:07	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2e33e0…
03-29 01:34:42	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99a8dd…
03-14 09:43:09	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 165 189	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe85f64…
03-14 09:43:01	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf0f17c…
03-11 06:05:45	ethereum above 1700 on march 11	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x11b4ff…
03-11 06:05:33	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd15b5…
03-04 03:06:49	ethereum above 1700 on march 4	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe85c65…
03-04 03:06:41	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e8e13…
02-27 01:33:40	ethereum above 2300 on february 27	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x49a021…
02-27 01:33:22	bitcoin above 72k on february 27	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x43355f…
02-22 02:22:04	ethereum above 2200 on february 22	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4ff52…
02-22 02:21:54	bitcoin above 74k on february 22	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbeeab…
02-15 15:22:55	ethereum above 2100 on february 15	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb2a2c8…
02-15 15:22:39	bitcoin above 72k on february 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c8dc9…
02-13 05:25:13	bitcoin above 74k on february 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd2f67…
02-13 05:25:01	ethereum above 2200 on february 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3e3d5…
02-12 03:11:59	ethereum above 2300 on february 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec6c3f…
02-12 03:11:39	bitcoin above 78k on february 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec8892…
02-11 03:03:43	ethereum above 2300 on february 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7407a7…
02-11 03:03:21	bitcoin above 74k on february 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6510b5…
01-31 10:22:42	bitcoin above 90k on january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x71f0e9…
01-31 10:22:32	ethereum above 2900 on january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x947125…
01-29 09:07:30	ethereum above 3200 on january 29	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x009b02…
01-29 09:07:10	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6955d0…
01-27 06:07:05	ethereum above 2500 on january 27	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1ce15…
01-27 06:06:19	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd97a55…
01-26 05:51:44	ethereum above 3100 on january 26	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x94803f…
01-26 05:51:28	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4615c…
01-25 03:06:56	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05d60e…
01-25 03:06:44	bitcoin above 94k on january 25	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1a1841…
01-24 01:48:20	ethereum above 3200 on january 24	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc58c90…
01-24 01:48:12	bitcoin above 96k on january 24	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4d5f0c…
01-23 01:33:48	ethereum above 3200 on january 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd66cad…
01-23 01:33:34	bitcoin above 96k on january 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a05ca…
01-22 07:47:12	ethereum above 3300 on january 22	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84c5f9…
01-22 07:46:58	bitcoin above 94k on january 22	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1ec7d…
01-21 04:38:08	ethereum above 3200 on january 21	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x684719…
01-21 04:37:40	bitcoin above 96k on january 21	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a69d6…
01-20 03:19:24	ethereum above 3400 on january 20	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee0e3c…
01-20 03:19:10	bitcoin above 98k on january 20	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30c60c…
01-19 02:40:02	ethereum above 3600 on january 19	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3fa44b…
01-19 02:39:58	bitcoin above 98k on january 19	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0feb5e…
01-18 08:56:48	ethereum above 3100 on january 18	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5cada6…
01-18 08:56:42	bitcoin above 92k on january 18	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x060eb0…
01-17 15:02:54	ethereum above 3200 on january 17	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeceb91…
01-17 15:02:44	bitcoin above 94k on january 17	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90f0bf…
01-16 03:06:22	ethereum above 3600 on january 16	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4acd0b…
01-16 03:05:48	bitcoin above 90k on january 16	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea620b…
01-15 06:05:50	bitcoin above 90k on january 15	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf61f5c…
01-15 06:05:10	ethereum above 3600 on january 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c0dcb…
01-14 05:37:26	ethereum above 3000 on january 14	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8252af…
01-14 05:36:50	bitcoin above 88k on january 14	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa08c48…
01-13 14:02:59	ethereum above 3300 on january 13	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4db24…
01-13 14:02:45	bitcoin above 88k on january 13	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3df009…