Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

148

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$257

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 10-26 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

82% 52% -$8

Politics

15% 73% +$16

Tech

2% 75% +$5

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	2	$4	8	+8	Yes	+$1	08-03 03:11
will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	07-27 04:20
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-08 06:16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-12 07:49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-08 23:09
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 14:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$8	09-19 23:27
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-21 05:56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 03:52
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-20 21:50
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-22 06:44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-16 23:52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-20 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-02 10:48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-18 21:02
will meta reach 780 by september 21 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-22 23:24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-13 08:56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-19 06:10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-21 21:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-26 23:13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-22 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-19 15:03
will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks at nasa	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-28 06:39
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	1	$2	8	+8	No	+$6	09-15 19:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-12 18:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-09 08:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-11 17:57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-29 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-03 22:16
Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-25 05:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:50:17	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf6d676…
10-21 20:04:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x40162c…
10-21 11:46:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfc7043…
10-21 03:46:20	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaf429e…
10-16 15:02:52	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbe1ec5…
10-16 07:02:12	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x423d32…
10-15 23:00:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd1f065…
10-15 13:40:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa03907…
10-12 17:29:50	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe81be7…
10-12 09:29:32	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb58a7a…
10-12 01:29:29	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9d2d21…
10-11 17:29:15	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x77c0b0…
10-11 09:22:19	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0b90ff…
10-11 00:56:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x146b84…
10-10 16:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x44241a…
10-10 05:57:06	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe1b3e2…
10-09 09:45:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7ebf63…
10-09 09:37:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xce58e0…
10-09 00:21:53	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1e516e…
10-08 04:09:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x43ca72…
10-07 20:02:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x40e1ba…
10-07 12:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x27ba77…
10-07 03:59:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb39136…
10-06 19:59:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd56499…
10-06 11:59:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd5d3d0…
10-06 03:59:16	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7fca7e…
10-05 19:55:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf04d91…
10-05 11:55:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x93f205…
10-05 02:56:38	will mu reach 1140 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x81afca…
10-04 18:12:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa7d200…
10-04 10:00:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd6a775…
10-03 23:07:08	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xffc066…
10-03 13:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7ddd29…
10-03 01:21:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe5a7af…
10-02 15:04:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x50bae2…
10-02 06:56:05	Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7bc897…
10-01 10:47:50	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x732b38…
10-01 02:28:42	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa42833…
09-30 18:03:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xebe4a9…
09-30 18:02:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc99182…
09-30 09:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x66ab40…
09-30 00:25:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcd0c40…
09-29 16:23:02	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf4ff6b…
09-29 08:22:53	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x67696c…
09-29 00:21:02	will xagusd reach 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5689ea…
09-28 15:53:39	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd14c2d…
09-28 07:53:26	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xda8ef2…
09-27 23:49:11	will xagusd dip to 63 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcbefd3…
09-27 15:42:47	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x264f18…
09-27 07:31:39	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1326f5…
09-26 23:13:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4fc1c9…
09-26 22:45:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8bb63e…
09-26 13:49:12	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1275ac…
09-26 05:47:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x17b8f1…
09-25 21:05:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa18f44…
09-22 23:24:16	will meta reach 780 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x92c59a…
09-22 14:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb3a883…
09-22 06:44:43	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5f15a0…
09-21 21:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x60f2d6…
09-21 13:57:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd0c5da…
09-21 05:56:35	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb87c9e…
09-20 21:50:13	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd28a7a…
09-20 12:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x06d190…
09-19 23:27:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6ad957…
09-19 15:03:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x97979c…
09-19 06:10:33	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbdd855…
09-18 21:02:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1bd2dd…
09-17 17:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xae2caa…
09-17 08:14:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5957ea…
09-16 23:52:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd72fc1…
09-16 03:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd379ca…
09-15 19:52:07	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x40fd08…
09-13 09:47:57	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6cea77…
09-13 08:56:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xffeef6…
09-12 18:35:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x72e52a…
09-12 07:49:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xfc30af…
09-11 17:57:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x630083…
09-09 08:56:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xee0011…
09-08 23:09:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x70ed11…
09-08 14:20:39	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x45edfd…
09-08 06:16:22	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xdfdead…
09-07 17:38:58	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf79240…
09-07 08:56:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x62e0ce…
09-03 22:16:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xfc952e…
09-03 03:36:13	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfaf596…
09-02 19:05:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x29b5f6…
09-02 10:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1473c0…
09-02 01:30:00	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x1b13fa…
09-01 13:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf530d8…
09-01 05:07:01	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0ddb09…
08-31 21:05:22	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x289856…
08-29 23:55:04	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf4577c…
08-29 15:51:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf52349…
08-29 07:41:18	will amzn dip to 264 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x82a420…
08-28 22:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7c753a…
08-28 14:40:10	will trump say russia or russian during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xeec61c…
08-28 06:39:40	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xfd9ea9…
08-27 22:39:00	will trump say moon base during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa2bcf8…
08-27 14:38:39	xauusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe847c3…
08-26 18:34:49	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2d664a…