Realized P&L
-$229
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
49.1%
Resolved
516
Trades
1,618
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$194
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-09 08:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
44% 55% -$34
Politics
35% 51% -$137
Sports
11% 49% -$44
Crypto
6% 49% -$10
Tech
4% 65% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +29 $22 98¢ $29 +$7 09-04 01:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +28 $20 100¢ $28 +$8 10-09 03:46
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +24 $18 91¢ $21 +$4 10-09 03:12
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +31 $22 68¢ $21 -$1 10-09 08:27
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +29 $22 68¢ $20 -$2 10-08 13:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +28 $20 70¢ $20 -$1 10-08 06:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +28 $21 65¢ $18 -$3 10-08 06:41
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +15 $11 98¢ $15 +$4 10-06 19:03
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $0 05-04 08:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +10 $7 98¢ $10 +$2 05-07 16:39
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +23 $18 9¢ $2 -$15 10-09 02:27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +10 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 05-05 00:45
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 05-04 08:15