Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,009

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 07-18 08:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

43% 55% +$5

Politics

39% 100% +$0

Crypto

8% 20% $-1

Sports

6% 17% $-3

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	36	$513	334	334	+0	open	—	05-28 14:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$273	187	146	+41	open	—	06-01 12:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	14	$247	143	143	+0	open	—	05-28 14:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	6	$240	160	160	+0	open	—	05-30 18:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	15	$215	128	128	+0	open	—	06-07 06:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	18	$213	133	133	+0	open	—	05-25 21:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$193	117	117	+0	open	—	06-23 14:51
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	22	$183	285	189	+96	Philadelphia Phillies	$-2	05-05 00:14
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	5	$176	103	103	+0	open	—	06-07 11:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	11	$153	106	106	+0	open	—	05-27 19:05
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$140	85	85	+0	open	—	05-26 23:18
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	4	$133	89	89	+0	open	—	05-31 14:30
iran closes its airspace by june 15	5	$120	72	72	+0	open	—	06-05 00:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	4	$120	82	82	+0	open	—	05-29 15:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$113	80	80	+0	open	—	05-28 14:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$107	74	74	+0	open	—	06-01 11:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	7	$105	79	79	+0	open	—	06-23 05:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$105	60	60	+0	open	—	05-25 04:22
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$103	71	71	+0	open	—	07-06 03:06
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	4	$96	54	54	+0	open	—	05-29 10:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$92	63	63	+0	open	—	07-13 02:31
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	7	$89	69	69	+0	open	—	06-23 23:41
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	6	$87	56	56	+0	open	—	05-29 09:41
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$85	56	56	+0	open	—	06-07 18:31
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$83	49	49	+0	open	—	05-31 11:10
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	4	$82	45	45	+0	open	—	06-24 12:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	6	$81	61	30	+31	open	—	05-27 10:42
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	5	$81	57	57	+0	open	—	06-21 03:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$80	48	48	+0	open	—	06-04 18:50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jong	18	$79	78	61	+17	open	—	05-04 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 08:30:10	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0xa129f4…
07-17 20:17:58	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xec32b0…
07-17 20:08:28	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x1a80d6…
07-17 20:07:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0xa6d4db…
07-17 17:21:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	24	78¢	$18	0xad3ce7…
07-17 16:55:48	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x069e53…
07-17 13:49:57	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0xf82a89…
07-17 13:38:24	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0xdb55bf…
07-17 13:29:15	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	27	77¢	$20	0xd81599…
07-17 13:22:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xe865d0…
07-14 17:55:23	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x3aea9e…
07-14 12:31:22	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xc1f7b0…
07-14 06:06:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x0fb550…
07-14 06:00:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x971a20…
07-13 02:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x4e02a9…
07-13 02:16:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xba35a9…
07-12 18:28:52	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x951b4c…
07-12 01:07:23	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xd5b472…
07-12 00:49:58	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0x675374…
07-11 23:25:01	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x97fb65…
07-11 15:01:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	21	78¢	$17	0x44993a…
07-10 16:01:22	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb798c6…
07-10 02:31:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x0d954b…
07-09 14:45:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xfda8fb…
07-08 09:22:34	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xf35865…
07-08 08:37:38	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x3d2238…
07-08 08:36:31	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xcb7ad9…
07-08 08:35:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x1d687f…
07-08 04:06:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xd889c1…
07-07 22:06:41	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xe298fb…
07-07 16:09:53	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xfcb14a…
07-07 15:14:55	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	27	43¢	$11	0x883e89…
07-07 12:44:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2f5b22…
07-07 08:32:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x460c48…
07-07 04:53:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$17	0x2e64e1…
07-06 03:06:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	38	97¢	$36	0xe911a5…
07-04 16:30:10	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xdb470e…
07-04 14:32:01	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x55fe5a…
07-04 13:12:56	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0xcb710f…
07-04 12:31:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc89d46…
07-04 05:24:56	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x3ddd41…
07-04 03:36:56	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x075def…
07-03 23:31:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x66fc2b…
07-03 20:10:05	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x1fa1fb…
07-03 15:15:11	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xc8bb6c…
07-03 15:12:41	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x461844…
07-03 12:12:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x5ade7e…
07-03 09:26:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x96613b…
07-03 09:17:50	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	28	97¢	$28	0xb6c038…
07-03 00:16:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x5099c1…
07-02 06:39:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0x280023…
07-02 05:49:04	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$19	0xbdd5f3…
07-02 00:56:14	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	Yes	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xe00f44…
07-01 21:12:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	BUY	23	77¢	$18	0x01b216…
07-01 20:51:58	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x72a1e7…
07-01 14:58:46	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x3a25c7…
07-01 14:53:46	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0xcd2d15…
07-01 14:53:29	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	24	77¢	$19	0x479276…
07-01 14:16:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xe76adf…
07-01 09:05:37	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	Yes	BUY	24	78¢	$18	0x987149…
07-01 02:51:38	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x40d94f…
07-01 02:51:29	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xec1e11…
06-30 23:58:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x4bdea5…
06-30 23:46:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xad86bd…
06-30 23:45:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x87c457…
06-30 23:14:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0a52cf…
06-30 21:58:26	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x5946f6…
06-30 21:48:10	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x34c6ca…
06-30 21:05:59	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x8843d6…
06-30 20:18:56	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	22	43¢	$10	0x94e927…
06-29 18:12:40	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x0fa7a6…
06-29 17:34:02	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x2fb28b…
06-28 22:36:35	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xd2ec10…
06-28 04:13:43	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x3d8aa7…
06-28 04:01:17	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x8eb3d0…
06-27 21:40:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa30d5e…
06-27 19:08:17	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0xa01101…
06-27 17:10:50	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x8a03fe…
06-27 15:41:07	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0xcf24c0…
06-27 12:17:32	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x2f08b7…
06-26 16:50:23	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	28	42¢	$12	0x3921b6…
06-26 14:24:25	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0xdd8d22…
06-26 13:48:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc3f492…
06-26 13:42:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xc6f081…
06-26 11:25:26	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x966af7…
06-26 10:59:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x256370…
06-26 06:25:46	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	27	76¢	$20	0xaa0b83…
06-26 01:51:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x030140…
06-25 22:44:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0x7a9c99…
06-25 16:38:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x58231e…
06-25 16:35:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3f1ffc…
06-25 16:33:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x9e281e…
06-25 16:31:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x5d7099…
06-25 13:48:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	34	44¢	$15	0x8fd986…
06-25 12:20:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x84b8da…
06-25 02:23:16	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x8253e4…
06-25 02:23:11	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x6fbaa8…
06-24 12:22:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x277979…
06-24 06:04:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x44c8bf…
06-24 06:04:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xda3344…