Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

959

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-04-29

last 07-02 06:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

41% 100% +$0

Other

40% 55% +$5

Crypto

9% 20% $-1

Sports

7% 17% $-3

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+34	$33	74¢	$25	$-8	07-02 06:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	36	$513	334	334	+0	open	—	05-28 14:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$273	187	146	+41	open	—	06-01 12:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	14	$247	143	143	+0	open	—	05-28 14:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	6	$240	160	160	+0	open	—	05-30 18:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	15	$215	128	128	+0	open	—	06-07 06:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	18	$213	133	133	+0	open	—	05-25 21:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$193	117	117	+0	open	—	06-23 14:51
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	22	$183	285	189	+96	Philadelphia Phillies	$-2	05-05 00:14
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	5	$176	103	103	+0	open	—	06-07 11:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	11	$153	106	106	+0	open	—	05-27 19:05
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$140	85	85	+0	open	—	05-26 23:18
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	4	$133	89	89	+0	open	—	05-31 14:30
iran closes its airspace by june 15	5	$120	72	72	+0	open	—	06-05 00:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	4	$120	82	82	+0	open	—	05-29 15:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$113	80	80	+0	open	—	05-28 14:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$107	74	74	+0	open	—	06-01 11:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	7	$105	79	79	+0	open	—	06-23 05:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$105	60	60	+0	open	—	05-25 04:22
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	4	$96	54	54	+0	open	—	05-29 10:46
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	7	$89	69	69	+0	open	—	06-23 23:41
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	6	$87	56	56	+0	open	—	05-29 09:41
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$85	56	56	+0	open	—	06-07 18:31
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$83	49	49	+0	open	—	05-31 11:10
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	4	$82	45	45	+0	open	—	06-24 12:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	6	$81	61	30	+31	open	—	05-27 10:42
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	5	$81	57	57	+0	open	—	06-21 03:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$80	48	48	+0	open	—	06-04 18:50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jong	18	$79	78	61	+17	open	—	05-04 10:30
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	4	$78	51	51	+0	open	—	06-13 16:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$78	45	45	+0	open	—	05-29 15:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 06:39:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0x280023…
07-02 05:49:04	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$19	0xbdd5f3…
07-02 00:56:14	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	Yes	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xe00f44…
07-01 21:12:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	BUY	23	77¢	$18	0x01b216…
07-01 20:51:58	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x72a1e7…
07-01 14:58:46	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x3a25c7…
07-01 14:53:46	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0xcd2d15…
07-01 14:53:29	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	24	77¢	$19	0x479276…
07-01 14:16:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xe76adf…
07-01 09:05:37	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	Yes	BUY	24	78¢	$18	0x987149…
07-01 02:51:38	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x40d94f…
07-01 02:51:29	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xec1e11…
06-30 23:58:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x4bdea5…
06-30 23:46:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xad86bd…
06-30 23:45:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x87c457…
06-30 23:14:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0a52cf…
06-30 21:58:26	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x5946f6…
06-30 21:48:10	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x34c6ca…
06-30 21:05:59	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x8843d6…
06-30 20:18:56	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	22	43¢	$10	0x94e927…
06-29 18:12:40	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x0fa7a6…
06-29 17:34:02	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x2fb28b…
06-28 22:36:35	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xd2ec10…
06-28 04:13:43	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x3d8aa7…
06-28 04:01:17	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x8eb3d0…
06-27 21:40:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa30d5e…
06-27 19:08:17	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0xa01101…
06-27 17:10:50	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x8a03fe…
06-27 15:41:07	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0xcf24c0…
06-27 12:17:32	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x2f08b7…
06-26 16:50:23	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	28	42¢	$12	0x3921b6…
06-26 14:24:25	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0xdd8d22…
06-26 13:48:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc3f492…
06-26 13:42:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xc6f081…
06-26 11:25:26	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x966af7…
06-26 10:59:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x256370…
06-26 06:25:46	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	27	76¢	$20	0xaa0b83…
06-26 01:51:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x030140…
06-25 22:44:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0x7a9c99…
06-25 16:38:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x58231e…
06-25 16:35:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3f1ffc…
06-25 16:33:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x9e281e…
06-25 16:31:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x5d7099…
06-25 13:48:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	34	44¢	$15	0x8fd986…
06-25 12:20:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x84b8da…
06-25 02:23:16	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x8253e4…
06-25 02:23:11	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x6fbaa8…
06-24 12:22:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x277979…
06-24 06:04:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x44c8bf…
06-24 06:04:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xda3344…
06-24 06:04:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x50b481…
06-24 06:04:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xf28fe4…
06-24 06:04:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x84df10…
06-24 06:04:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x404642…
06-24 06:04:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x1ecd76…
06-24 06:04:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x91bb05…
06-24 03:13:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x395290…
06-23 23:49:41	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0xa24b55…
06-23 23:41:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0x12f999…
06-23 18:46:32	will marco rubio attend nato summit	Yes	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x9984e1…
06-23 18:46:19	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x65f4e3…
06-23 14:51:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x321515…
06-23 14:50:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x861000…
06-23 06:27:31	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	26	56¢	$15	0x1f292f…
06-23 05:58:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0xc1a18b…
06-23 02:46:10	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x3a8c6e…
06-22 20:19:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xdf3861…
06-22 19:21:08	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x86b7c2…
06-22 16:55:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb3771f…
06-22 16:42:25	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x11530b…
06-22 14:52:41	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x16bfd3…
06-22 13:37:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xfa41b0…
06-22 10:25:08	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xba6689…
06-22 01:26:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	65¢	$19	0x5e1f31…
06-21 23:53:20	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa9ab30…
06-21 16:31:35	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x8dea9e…
06-21 14:34:23	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0xd4d8b5…
06-21 13:23:07	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x5c4529…
06-21 10:14:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	22	61¢	$14	0x91d879…
06-21 07:23:14	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0x1925bc…
06-21 03:14:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x604e03…
06-21 03:14:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0x2cfb36…
06-21 01:43:47	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x2d4e38…
06-21 01:40:37	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x3ac4f0…
06-21 01:34:43	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x83eedb…
06-20 22:18:41	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xdf9fb4…
06-20 22:18:37	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb3ad8e…
06-20 21:19:40	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x4e3a15…
06-20 19:52:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0x7f7f5c…
06-20 16:30:14	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8dfb70…
06-20 15:44:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x50f9f4…
06-20 14:30:19	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x87d4ea…
06-20 12:52:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0xb157e3…
06-20 11:06:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xd05c4b…
06-20 06:49:38	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0x7287c6…
06-19 16:27:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	44¢	$10	0x108d77…
06-19 12:51:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	29	74¢	$22	0x0ea5f8…
06-19 12:51:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x9a7b35…
06-19 10:08:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0xa335dc…
06-19 05:28:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x6f47a6…