Grotesque-Tomography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.45K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

13,231

Trades

128,114

lifetime

Volume

$3.22M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-14 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% +$7,828

Other

0% 50% -$185

Politics

0% 0% -$1,686

Sports

0% 33% -$508

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 464 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1,207	$9.3K	118,944	106,696	+12,248	No	-$528	01-19 17:14
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 9pm et	310	$5.0K	10,911	0	+10,911	Up	-$167	04-18 01:59
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 6pm et	284	$3.9K	7,704	0	+7,704	Down	-$33	04-17 22:57
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 8pm et	206	$3.9K	7,609	0	+7,609	Up	-$43	04-18 00:59
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	530	$3.6K	10,801	8,907	+1,894	No	-$302	01-18 18:53
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 12pm et	169	$3.5K	6,189	0	+6,189	Up	+$519	04-17 16:37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	362	$3.5K	18,061	14,239	+3,822	No	-$616	01-28 22:50
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 7pm et	208	$3.4K	6,851	0	+6,851	Down	+$171	04-17 23:53
bitcoin up or down january 8 11am et	392	$3.3K	4,640	4,200	+440	Up	+$37	01-08 16:59
bitcoin up or down on january 9	393	$3.3K	4,552	4,220	+332	Up	+$172	01-09 16:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 16:30 UTC	348	$3.2K	6,579	0	+6,579	Down	-$729	04-17 16:42
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	133	$3.2K	2,940	2,418	+522	Yes	+$343	01-31 00:55
ethereum up or down on january 15	190	$3.1K	4,181	2,830	+1,351	Down	+$154	01-15 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:30 UTC	302	$3.1K	4,974	0	+4,974	Down	-$756	04-17 16:34
bitcoin up or down on april 13 2026	90	$3.0K	4,813	2,185	+2,628	Up	-$50	04-13 15:26
xrp up or down on january 13	45	$2.9K	4,600	2,972	+1,628	Up	+$605	01-13 16:52
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 5pm et	95	$2.9K	2,270	1,980	+290	Up	+$46	03-16 21:48
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 10am et	78	$2.9K	3,204	2,588	+617	Up	-$352	04-13 14:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 16:00 UTC	322	$2.9K	5,869	0	+5,869	Up	+$148	04-17 16:11
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10am et	59	$2.9K	2,530	2,118	+412	Down	-$172	04-14 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 22:30 UTC	308	$2.8K	6,030	0	+6,030	Up	+$169	04-17 22:43
bitcoin up or down march 4 2pm et	139	$2.7K	2,965	2,443	+521	Down	+$146	03-04 19:58
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 11am et	118	$2.6K	4,751	0	+4,751	Down	-$146	04-17 15:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 21:45 UTC	246	$2.6K	5,264	0	+5,264	Up	-$135	04-17 21:58
bitcoin up or down on march 2	119	$2.5K	2,394	2,163	+231	Up	-$14	03-02 14:53
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 5pm et	128	$2.5K	4,566	0	+4,566	Up	+$213	04-17 21:58
solana up or down on january 13	69	$2.5K	3,700	3,419	+281	Up	+$354	01-13 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:05 UTC	284	$2.5K	4,603	0	+4,603	Down	-$272	04-17 16:09
bitcoin up or down march 4 9am et	125	$2.4K	2,468	2,259	+209	Up	-$76	03-04 14:58
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 2am et	88	$2.4K	2,315	2,049	+266	Up	-$107	03-17 06:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 12:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x1bfc07…
10-14 12:45:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0xbcb30e…
10-14 12:45:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x15e5b2…
10-14 12:28:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0xdee67b…
10-14 12:28:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0x2f63cc…
10-14 12:20:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x70a578…
10-14 12:20:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xcd29b3…
10-14 12:18:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x892da4…
10-14 12:17:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x4737db…
10-14 12:17:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x00d196…
10-14 12:04:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x6e6630…
10-14 12:04:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x18fa8d…
10-14 12:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x086575…
10-14 12:02:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x918cd1…
10-14 12:01:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe46ca1…
10-14 11:58:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x435b7e…
10-14 11:58:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xe34e3f…
10-14 11:57:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0xc2f168…
10-14 11:57:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x921eb7…
10-14 11:56:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x75f128…
10-14 11:56:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xa4ca53…
10-14 11:51:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x06de7a…
10-14 11:47:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xa82976…
10-14 11:33:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x5ee243…
10-14 11:25:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xb104e3…
10-14 11:15:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x454d1b…
10-14 11:13:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xf81c63…
10-14 11:13:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x02dc08…
10-14 11:13:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xc589c7…
10-14 11:13:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	65¢	$13	0xe37515…
10-14 11:12:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xcd3e99…
10-14 11:08:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x1aa542…
10-14 11:05:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x6cde50…
10-14 11:03:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xdc8d33…
10-14 11:03:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf6f617…
10-14 11:00:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xcc2355…
10-14 10:55:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x57eaea…
10-14 10:54:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x402733…
10-14 10:52:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x604bf8…
10-14 10:52:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0xfbeeca…
10-14 10:52:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xbabc49…
10-14 10:50:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x43a0f5…
10-14 10:50:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x22d73e…
10-14 10:49:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x483d8d…
10-14 10:47:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x213446…
10-14 10:46:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xdef7fd…
10-14 10:42:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa6d2c3…
10-14 10:42:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xa0dae0…
10-14 10:37:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x3fb5ec…
10-14 10:36:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x151e17…
10-14 10:36:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x4a6800…
10-14 10:33:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x529b18…
10-14 10:32:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x45f952…
10-14 10:32:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x2b37fb…
10-14 10:23:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xd9bc85…
10-14 10:23:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xd1de94…
10-14 10:18:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdd3828…
10-14 10:18:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x47a876…
10-14 10:18:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x52c5cd…
10-14 10:05:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc92baa…
10-14 10:05:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x70c8b5…
10-14 10:04:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x5c42e8…
10-14 10:04:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	75¢	$15	0xa40822…
10-14 10:04:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xb0e8e5…
10-14 10:04:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x033497…
10-14 10:01:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x7581d3…
10-14 10:00:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbc0010…
10-14 09:58:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x66c6ff…
10-14 09:58:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xc89818…
10-14 09:58:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x353de7…
10-14 09:57:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x15c179…
10-14 09:56:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x64eda5…
10-14 09:52:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xea8eed…
10-14 09:51:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x9caecf…
10-14 04:58:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xb1fa5d…
10-13 22:28:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x605ec7…
10-13 22:27:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x09e964…
10-13 22:26:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x3183ae…
10-13 22:25:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xee5b90…
10-13 22:24:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xdf3ac4…
10-13 22:21:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5d8717…
10-13 22:20:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb649b8…
10-13 22:16:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xaa5c47…
10-13 22:05:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb38bec…
10-13 22:03:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xf0dbda…
10-13 22:02:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5cf800…
10-13 22:02:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf05f59…
10-13 22:01:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xf13329…
10-13 22:00:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x271f4f…
10-13 22:00:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0xabb2ad…
10-13 22:00:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0xf9c01b…
10-13 21:57:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xfe1792…
10-13 21:57:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3ed201…
10-13 21:56:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x662de6…
10-13 21:56:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x179861…
10-13 21:53:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x01d6bf…
10-13 21:51:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa5d300…
10-13 21:50:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xabd785…
10-13 21:49:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x314a91…
10-13 21:49:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x72d9da…