Demanding-Wild — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

$44

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-17 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

49% — —

Sports

25% — —

Tech

13% — —

Other

13% 50% $-2

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		-46	$-44	94¢	$-44	+$1	06-07 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$902	461	461	+0	open	—	04-11 01:23
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 23	2	$900	461	461	+0	open	—	03-23 12:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$900	452	452	+0	open	—	03-29 06:36
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$888	446	446	+0	open	—	04-13 01:45
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$844	435	481	-46	open	—	06-07 01:06
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	2	$808	459	459	+0	open	—	06-06 11:29
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$791	870	870	+0	open	—	06-06 23:54
nba cle dal 2026 03 13	1	$510	600	0	+600	open	—	03-13 07:58
nba mil uta 2026 03 19	10	$469	700	0	+700	open	—	03-19 18:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-29 06:37
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-19 12:01
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	667	0	+667	No	$-2	04-11 01:25
ethereum above 2000 on march 19	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-19 12:01
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 04:47
nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-11 01:27
btc updown 5m 1774583100	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-27 03:49
will trump say embargo this week march 29	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-29 06:37
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-19 12:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-01 11:16
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 04:48
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-01 11:15
btc updown 5m 1781664300	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-17 02:46
mlb sea sd 2026 04 15	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-16 02:52
btc updown 5m 1776825000	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-22 02:33
btc updown 5m 1774576200	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-27 01:54
btc updown 5m 1775870700	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-11 01:29
bitcoin above 66k on march 19	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-19 12:01
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-27 01:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-04 04:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 02:46:33	btc updown 5m 1781664300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6fb3f9…
06-07 01:06:48	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	435	92¢	$400	0x3029c0…
06-06 23:54:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	870	45¢	$391	0x58de83…
06-06 11:30:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	870	46¢	$400	0x1a27d3…
06-06 11:29:36	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	459	88¢	$404	0xc4abb0…
06-06 10:14:34	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	459	88¢	$404	0xf38c33…
06-06 10:13:43	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	481	92¢	$444	0x04aaf7…
05-27 01:29:39	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Minnesota Twins	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x35348c…
05-04 04:50:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x430932…
05-04 04:48:26	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe513ba…
05-04 04:48:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5d3527…
05-04 04:47:34	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7048a5…
05-01 11:16:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x093ca9…
05-01 11:15:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4d7b93…
05-01 11:15:20	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x11942d…
04-27 08:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa77235…
04-24 01:59:44	btc updown 5m 1776995700	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xee35cd…
04-22 02:33:54	btc updown 5m 1776825000	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x661c29…
04-21 02:39:18	btc updown 5m 1776738900	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x62c472…
04-20 02:48:04	btc updown 5m 1776653100	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1cfcaa…
04-16 02:52:46	mlb sea sd 2026 04 15	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x923167…
04-13 01:45:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	446	100¢	$444	0xe7affe…
04-12 11:52:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	446	100¢	$444	0xe2159e…
04-11 01:29:03	btc updown 5m 1775870700	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa7f5a5…
04-11 01:27:35	nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	Knicks	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1f80fa…
04-11 01:25:21	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x1d1286…
04-11 01:23:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	461	98¢	$452	0x2fdce0…
04-10 10:20:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	461	98¢	$450	0x9d1dfe…
03-29 06:37:14	will trump say embargo this week march 29	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x446c4d…
03-29 06:37:02	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd09cb5…
03-29 06:36:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	452	100¢	$450	0x836e8b…
03-27 03:49:57	btc updown 5m 1774583100	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4f3f33…
03-27 03:49:47	btc updown 5m 1774583100	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfcbe01…
03-27 01:54:59	btc updown 5m 1774576200	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x396f9f…
03-27 01:52:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	452	100¢	$450	0x6c758b…
03-23 12:24:55	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 40 59	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5b7a0e…
03-23 12:24:25	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 23	No	SELL	461	95¢	$440	0x69aff0…
03-23 10:44:17	btc updown 5m 1774262400	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa750fd…
03-23 08:22:21	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 23	No	BUY	461	100¢	$460	0xeea1d4…
03-20 00:00:41	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfecfe4…
03-19 18:24:29	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	95	67¢	$63	0xdafc79…
03-19 18:17:51	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xa82156…
03-19 18:17:35	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1634c1…
03-19 18:17:25	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8f6974…
03-19 18:17:03	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb3c0bf…
03-19 18:08:45	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x30a2c9…
03-19 17:54:55	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xb6501a…
03-19 17:50:13	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	303	67¢	$203	0xbaebce…
03-19 17:50:07	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xc16ec4…
03-19 17:48:17	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0x0029a0…
03-19 12:01:37	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x152a9f…
03-19 12:01:17	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0f3129…
03-19 12:01:09	ethereum above 2000 on march 19	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x394088…
03-19 12:01:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 19	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9561d9…
03-13 07:58:53	nba cle dal 2026 03 13	Cavaliers	BUY	600	85¢	$510	0x94b783…
03-13 07:39:17	btc updown 5m 1773387300	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf92feb…
03-13 07:37:51	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x285569…
03-10 08:19:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4a3132…