Realized P&L
+$1.68K
Unrealized P&L
-$134
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved
142
Trades
367
lifetime
Volume
$15.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$1.43K
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 11-07 17:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
74% 61% +$1,095
Politics
24% 75% +$515
Sports
1% 75% +$70
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k? No +213 $158 82¢ $175 +$18 11-07 17:45
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.30 ft MLLW or more? Yes +172 $98 52¢ $90 -$7 11-07 17:56
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? No +400 $76 22¢ $90 +$14 11-07 17:55
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in November? No +123 $58 72¢ $88 +$30 11-07 17:51
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? No +107 $73 80¢ $86 +$13 11-07 17:51
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? No +175 $59 44¢ $77 +$18 09-07 13:45
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority? No +250 $99 30¢ $76 -$23 11-07 17:50
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? Yes +134 $29 54¢ $72 +$43 09-26 15:57
Will Hong Kong have 95mm or more of precipitation in November? No +86 $69 83¢ $71 +$3 11-07 17:47
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? No +179 $50 38¢ $69 +$19 10-20 17:09
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? No +228 $100 30¢ $67 -$33 10-20 17:06
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 25k? No +723 $37 8¢ $58 +$21 11-07 17:47
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +465 $75 12¢ $56 -$19 11-07 17:56
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%? No +129 $47 36¢ $47 -$1 10-25 09:13
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? No +50 $31 90¢ $45 +$14 10-25 09:20
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%? Yes +170 $29 25¢ $43 +$13 10-25 09:14
California Recall Election Reform Proposition No +90 $54 48¢ $43 -$11 10-12 19:30
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k? No +154 $68 27¢ $42 -$26 11-07 17:46
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? No +277 $102 14¢ $39 -$64 10-12 21:20
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $32.5B by November 30? No +51 $39 73¢ $37 -$1 11-07 17:54
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? No +126 $51 24¢ $30 -$21 09-12 20:45
Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record? No +1,039 $57 2¢ $25 -$32 11-07 17:55
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%? Yes +320 $80 1¢ $4 -$76 10-25 09:15
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 9? No +143 $27 1¢ $2 -$26 11-07 17:53