Unique-Cousin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$348

Unrealized P&L

-$90

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$401

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 09-16 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

49% 64% -$620

Politics

45% 77% +$166

Tech

6% 100% +$106

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+230	$200	97¢	$223	+$23	09-16 14:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+108	$100	97¢	$104	+$4	09-16 14:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+244	$100	20¢	$50	-$50	05-15 09:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+247	$91	10¢	$23	-$67	05-15 09:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	5	$2.5K	1,793	1,087	+706	No	+$227	06-12 13:46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	12	$1.8K	39,163	39,163	+0	No	-$1,497	06-22 13:54
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	7	$1.4K	1,018	732	+286	No	+$135	05-11 04:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	3	$1.0K	602	602	+0	Yes	+$106	06-12 18:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$824	962	0	+962	No	+$138	05-09 11:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$647	362	362	+0	No	+$72	04-22 11:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$580	777	0	+777	No	+$197	04-22 11:46
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$500	2,066	0	+2,066	Yes	-$500	04-16 17:05
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$472	274	274	+0	No	+$72	03-31 07:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$417	241	241	+0	No	+$17	04-15 11:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$413	225	225	+0	No	+$13	04-15 11:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$409	1,154	1,154	+0	No	+$9	04-22 11:45
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$404	204	204	+0	No	+$4	04-15 11:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$359	193	193	+0	No	+$27	05-15 09:54
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt45	2	$354	304	304	+0	Yes	+$254	01-28 21:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$258	322	0	+322	No	+$64	05-11 04:14
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	2	$230	251	0	+251	No	+$20	04-19 17:01
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$211	223	0	+223	No	+$12	04-15 12:03
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	1	$200	230	0	+230	open	—	09-16 14:14
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$200	239	0	+239	Yes	+$39	03-12 14:51
meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 28 2026 8pt19	1	$110	0	110	-110	Yes	$0	01-28 21:34
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	1	$110	590	0	+590	Yes	+$480	04-22 11:44
ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 4pt29	1	$109	0	109	-109	Yes	$0	01-28 21:34
msft quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 28 2026 3pt85	1	$106	0	106	-106	Yes	$0	01-28 21:35
amd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 03 2026 1pt32	1	$100	125	0	+125	Yes	+$25	01-29 09:51
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	09-16 14:18
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$100	128	0	+128	No	+$28	02-20 13:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$100	244	0	+244	No	-$100	03-12 14:53
coin quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt61	1	$100	198	0	+198	No	+$98	02-05 07:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$100	244	0	+244	open	—	05-15 09:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 14:20:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x668d34…
09-16 14:18:54	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7a366a…
09-16 14:18:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xeeb584…
09-16 14:14:27	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xbe1327…
09-16 14:09:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x9d4f5d…
06-22 13:54:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	29,163	0¢	$85	0xaeb6ed…
06-22 13:52:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$46	0x3b8fe6…
06-12 18:40:34	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,853	6¢	$250	0x7118cf…
06-12 18:39:28	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,261	6¢	$300	0xc32e34…
06-12 18:35:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	602	94¢	$566	0xb93ff1…
06-12 15:49:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	92	65¢	$60	0xbed22e…
06-12 13:50:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	510	78¢	$400	0xd0f532…
06-12 13:46:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0x9820b8…
06-12 09:24:25	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8,250	4¢	$359	0x08f206…
06-12 09:22:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	400	94¢	$375	0x0067e3…
06-12 09:20:00	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,794	4¢	$173	0x24069d…
06-12 09:19:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	187	94¢	$176	0x17d0ec…
06-06 03:12:45	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,316	7¢	$95	0x7aed2c…
06-06 03:09:09	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,571	6¢	$100	0x5d0270…
06-05 08:23:58	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,728	2¢	$50	0x723cf4…
06-04 11:03:45	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,523	4¢	$100	0xb48271…
06-04 10:33:00	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,174	2¢	$50	0x845ae8…
06-04 10:31:58	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6,695	2¢	$150	0xad8237…
06-04 10:21:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0x8cb2fd…
05-15 09:54:55	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	247	37¢	$91	0x4bb445…
05-15 09:54:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x9dbc4d…
05-15 09:51:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x42bad8…
05-15 09:46:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1ba482…
05-11 04:14:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	322	80¢	$258	0xe95abd…
05-11 04:13:24	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	286	90¢	$258	0x5fb576…
05-10 15:39:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	193	86¢	$166	0x5ed405…
05-10 15:38:23	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	191	87¢	$166	0x1df8c2…
05-09 11:15:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	260	86¢	$224	0xddaaf4…
05-09 11:14:09	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	255	88¢	$224	0x6c2625…
05-07 15:03:35	Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x2deda3…
05-07 14:53:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xc57cca…
05-06 23:22:42	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0x6e88f7…
05-06 23:21:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	694	72¢	$500	0x979d77…
05-06 23:21:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0xa1c428…
04-23 09:44:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xaef497…
04-23 09:36:38	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xc159c2…
04-23 09:35:56	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xe7008a…
04-23 09:34:50	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	206	5¢	$10	0x33a08a…
04-23 09:32:50	wti up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x99b4a2…
04-23 09:31:48	spy up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x06c42f…
04-23 09:31:28	spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf65db5…
04-22 11:50:10	spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x9b3d8c…
04-22 11:49:46	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	413	73¢	$300	0xbd5b8b…
04-22 11:47:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	362	99¢	$360	0xabb70c…
04-22 11:46:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	192	87¢	$167	0x0ce654…
04-22 11:45:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	654	9¢	$59	0x577a22…
04-22 11:44:06	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	Yes	BUY	590	19¢	$110	0x855e03…
04-19 17:01:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xaaa094…
04-19 17:01:42	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb1c790…
04-19 17:01:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xd86b2a…
04-18 11:11:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	500	30¢	$150	0xffd0de…
04-16 17:05:34	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	725	7¢	$50	0x63decb…
04-16 17:00:48	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	622	8¢	$50	0xc9ed48…
04-16 11:21:22	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0xb12dd5…
04-15 12:03:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0x2d5b97…
04-15 12:02:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xd8486d…
04-15 12:00:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x68822e…
04-15 11:59:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	241	90¢	$217	0xcc840a…
04-15 11:34:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	75¢	$113	0x0484ae…
04-15 11:33:26	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x4bd342…
04-15 11:28:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	225	95¢	$213	0xc46d7e…
04-15 11:22:46	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	143	91¢	$130	0x65fc11…
04-15 11:22:32	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x6b9e8d…
04-15 11:21:34	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x428711…
04-15 11:12:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x431074…
04-15 11:11:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x3eae4f…
04-15 11:07:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x8d900d…
04-15 11:05:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	237	79¢	$188	0x8d834d…
04-15 11:04:06	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	313	64¢	$200	0x2bc72a…
04-09 08:32:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xf0e4a0…
04-09 08:32:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x1d4a66…
04-09 08:32:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x21a84d…
04-09 04:10:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x3ec0a9…
04-02 10:06:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xc5d891…
03-31 07:56:57	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	274	99¢	$272	0xfe04c3…
03-17 10:46:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xf0bd6e…
03-12 14:58:47	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xaba939…
03-12 14:56:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x768054…
03-12 14:54:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8f9da1…
03-12 14:53:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xb0676f…
03-12 14:53:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	Yes	BUY	339	6¢	$20	0x9db612…
03-12 14:51:41	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x566448…
03-12 14:51:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0x848189…
02-20 13:03:22	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x6b3c61…
02-20 13:03:14	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x68dcb8…
02-20 13:03:08	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x14c920…
02-20 13:02:54	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xb77769…
02-20 13:02:48	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xb86882…
02-20 13:02:42	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x303191…
02-20 13:01:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x9af906…
02-05 07:32:49	coin quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt61	No	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x3c09e0…
01-30 10:57:54	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0x58bf75…
01-30 10:56:22	pypl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 03 2026 1pt29	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x3f31a0…
01-29 09:51:32	amd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 03 2026 1pt32	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xfd4a7e…
01-28 21:35:02	msft quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 28 2026 3pt85	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x329b26…