Identical-Frosting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$971

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

1,919

Trades

3,248

lifetime

Volume

$30.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-27 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$979

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Other

0% 0% -$4

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:00 UTC	3	$1.3K	1,141	1,126	+15	Down	+$508	03-10 01:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:00 UTC	3	$650	461	454	+7	Down	+$256	03-17 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:10 UTC	2	$531	385	379	+6	Down	+$137	03-10 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 00:20 UTC	1	$500	891	0	+891	Down	-$500	03-18 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:55 UTC	2	$398	390	384	+6	Down	+$4	03-17 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:50 UTC	3	$370	284	192	+92	Down	+$11	03-10 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:10 UTC	2	$359	265	261	+4	Down	+$163	03-08 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:55 UTC	2	$358	212	210	+2	Down	+$60	03-17 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:35 UTC	2	$337	190	189	+1	Up	+$38	03-10 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 22:00 UTC	2	$316	263	261	+2	Down	+$198	03-09 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:20 UTC	3	$307	193	191	+2	Up	+$69	03-10 01:24
bitcoin up or down march 7 6pm et	9	$303	385	363	+21	Up	+$79	03-07 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 00:15 UTC	1	$299	568	0	+568	Down	-$299	03-18 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 00:15 UTC	2	$295	206	203	+3	Down	+$109	03-19 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 22:10 UTC	2	$291	204	201	+3	Up	+$94	03-09 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:25 UTC	2	$276	184	181	+3	Up	+$79	03-10 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:20 UTC	3	$274	179	176	+3	Up	+$77	03-17 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:25 UTC	3	$272	236	201	+35	Down	+$52	03-10 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 02:30 UTC	4	$236	135	134	+1	Down	+$31	03-15 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:40 UTC	1	$227	284	0	+284	Down	+$56	03-17 19:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 02:40 UTC	2	$226	153	151	+2	Up	+$78	03-15 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 00:35 UTC	7	$219	146	144	+2	Up	+$20	03-12 00:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:05 UTC	2	$202	122	121	+1	Up	+$39	03-08 00:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 23:10 UTC	7	$196	104	104	+0	Down	+$10	03-18 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 01:45 UTC	4	$193	124	123	+1	Down	+$26	03-12 01:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:50 UTC	4	$191	134	133	+2	Up	+$23	03-18 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 00:00 UTC	2	$190	133	131	+2	Up	+$72	03-19 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 23:40 UTC	4	$189	116	115	+0	Down	+$3	03-18 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 22:35 UTC	2	$188	185	182	+3	Down	-$12	03-18 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 22:55 UTC	3	$186	129	127	+2	Up	+$67	03-17 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x20e6ab…
10-27 18:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9a7c86…
10-27 18:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x663587…
10-27 18:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x11c301…
10-27 18:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x547626…
10-27 18:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe7455f…
10-27 18:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9d5a8b…
10-27 18:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x95340b…
10-27 18:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x55a3dd…
10-27 18:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb357cd…
10-27 18:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xca9b7f…
10-27 18:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1a4610…
10-27 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9f4d5f…
10-27 18:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1ca193…
10-27 18:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc9d4e7…
10-27 17:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1aaa6f…
10-27 17:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x55d696…
10-27 17:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9fe544…
10-27 17:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x0ed190…
10-27 17:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd07a0b…
10-27 17:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb79ec…
10-27 17:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa81925…
10-27 17:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc9fcd7…
10-27 17:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe8ea9e…
10-27 17:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5b0bd5…
10-27 17:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8f694c…
10-27 16:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xca8a78…
10-27 16:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa130a9…
10-27 16:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xac9d5f…
10-27 16:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x84ac02…
10-27 16:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xf38e87…
10-27 16:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfe21d2…
10-27 16:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xf9fc3a…
10-27 16:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x815d47…
10-27 16:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd70b5a…
10-27 16:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x54106f…
10-27 16:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x013127…
10-27 16:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x363a43…
10-27 16:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe61827…
10-27 16:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xbfb832…
10-27 16:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4a0787…
10-27 16:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbf00ad…
10-27 16:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x035413…
10-27 16:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd64285…
10-27 15:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd565c1…
10-27 15:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x029d03…
10-27 15:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x36669a…
10-27 15:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x646265…
10-27 06:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xda82ba…
10-27 06:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6555a1…
10-27 06:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2492a5…
10-27 06:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xef164f…
10-27 06:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x76399d…
10-27 06:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xad54e1…
10-27 06:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc0f2be…
10-27 06:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x915c35…
10-27 06:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0452b2…
10-27 06:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xef4941…
10-27 06:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xefb990…
10-27 06:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x712804…
10-27 05:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x956ed0…
10-27 05:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0984e8…
10-27 05:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x186f2d…
10-27 05:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9cfe5c…
10-27 05:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xca372d…
10-27 05:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x891432…
10-27 05:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9446ef…
10-27 05:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7e00e5…
10-27 05:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x809332…
10-27 05:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2b21a3…
10-27 05:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0ce4fc…
10-27 05:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb3341e…
10-27 05:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa96678…
10-27 05:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7a196e…
10-27 05:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x934fe5…
10-27 04:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2c18ef…
10-27 04:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x74cbb7…
10-27 04:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbe7e99…
10-27 04:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x20ab59…
10-27 04:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0a493f…
10-27 04:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xba9481…
10-27 04:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x583cd4…
10-27 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x920cb7…
10-27 01:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5e1c38…
10-26 22:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x22a10d…
10-26 22:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9af49d…
10-26 22:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa836ac…
10-26 22:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x387681…
10-26 22:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6b50df…
10-26 22:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x919c98…
10-26 22:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x965129…
10-26 22:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbe2b9e…
10-22 23:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	405	11¢	$45	0x6ec02e…
10-22 23:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	105	32¢	$33	0x8d7996…
10-22 23:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	105	43¢	$45	0x03e1c8…
10-22 23:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x90206c…
10-22 23:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xeaacb7…
10-22 23:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	87	82¢	$71	0x1c8a56…
10-22 23:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xf58db0…
10-22 23:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xe636fa…