Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$379

Unrealized P&L

+$51

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

824

Trades

2,484

lifetime

Volume

$9.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-22

last 10-28 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 49% -$357

Other

13% 0% -$21

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 746 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	+20	$13	64¢	$13	+$0	10-28 07:30
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	94¢	$9	+$1	10-27 17:06
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	+6	$5	93¢	$5	+$0	10-27 15:54
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	No	+20	$3	7¢	$1	-$1	10-27 15:54
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	+16	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	10-27 19:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+0	-$52	82¢	$0	+$52	10-28 02:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	3	$438	327	326	+0	open	—	10-28 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	12	$109	197	0	+197	Up	-$14	10-26 13:37
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	25	$97	732	0	+732	Up	+$3	10-24 14:24
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	5	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	10-24 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	5	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	10-24 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	10-24 16:11
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	10	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	10-24 17:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	10-24 14:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	8	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	10-24 19:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	8	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-24 23:00
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	11	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-24 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	14	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	10-24 17:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	5	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	10-24 22:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	10	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-24 23:27
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	8	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-24 21:49
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	7	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	10-24 17:07
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	7	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-24 19:17
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	10	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	10-24 16:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	12	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-24 21:33
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	9	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-24 14:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	7	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	10-24 22:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	7	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-24 21:16
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	9	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-24 19:02
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	7	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	10-24 19:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	9	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-24 16:31
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	10-24 14:55
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	14	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	10-24 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	7	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	10-24 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	9	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	10-24 16:16
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	13	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	10-24 22:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:03:59	Will HEICO (HEI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xb39ca4…
10-28 08:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb6d2c3…
10-28 08:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xa9758d…
10-28 08:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xb6aeb4…
10-28 08:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x265aef…
10-28 08:11:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?	Yes	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0xc55fd1…
10-28 07:36:43	will the us 30 year fixed rate mortgage hit 7pt75 high by december 31 2026 from october 27	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xe83740…
10-28 07:36:41	will the us 30 year fixed rate mortgage hit 7pt75 high by december 31 2026 from october 27	No	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x0a5fde…
10-28 07:30:59	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x66a395…
10-28 07:24:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x76848d…
10-28 07:07:34	will credo technology crdo be added to the sp 500 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4dc07d…
10-28 07:07:34	will credo technology crdo be added to the sp 500 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x141fc9…
10-28 07:05:50	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x85779e…
10-28 06:39:25	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x6f147a…
10-28 06:22:53	Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc621d5…
10-28 06:09:11	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x70d4df…
10-28 06:08:58	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xf5ae32…
10-28 06:08:58	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa9082a…
10-28 06:06:32	Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf278ba…
10-28 06:06:32	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xdc9c7e…
10-28 06:06:31	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x478b52…
10-28 06:06:31	Will "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" have a Metascore of at least 90?	No	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x46f4cd…
10-28 06:06:28	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x89db34…
10-28 06:06:26	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x420bd7…
10-28 05:56:52	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xad4dbf…
10-28 05:39:08	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6d8e5d…
10-28 05:38:01	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x57bc66…
10-28 05:37:52	Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe40511…
10-28 05:35:37	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x9150f4…
10-28 05:35:35	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0x548d7e…
10-28 05:31:56	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbcc0dc…
10-28 05:25:47	will medline mdln be added to the sp 500 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x2d81a7…
10-28 05:12:02	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x06c222…
10-28 05:10:56	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x2ecb74…
10-28 05:10:44	Will Rocket Companies (RKT) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x0ed3c1…
10-28 05:10:41	Will Rocket Companies (RKT) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x751840…
10-28 05:07:40	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xeab085…
10-28 05:05:47	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xb6a9fa…
10-28 05:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x07db47…
10-28 05:01:35	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x723ef5…
10-28 05:01:14	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30?	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x909a04…
10-28 05:00:22	Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x6908fd…
10-28 05:00:16	Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x20b0bf…
10-28 04:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1779ba…
10-28 04:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x294c9e…
10-28 04:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xff2e36…
10-28 04:47:56	Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xaa26ca…
10-28 04:46:59	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xe040ca…
10-28 04:46:56	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xcffd8c…
10-28 04:44:26	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4af4fe…
10-28 04:43:11	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x130c56…
10-28 04:43:02	Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0dfde1…
10-28 04:39:37	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xf738e2…
10-28 04:39:35	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3e8f26…
10-28 04:35:32	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xc3bd9f…
10-28 04:34:14	Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x981be4…
10-28 04:32:46	Muse Charm released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5ce7d8…
10-28 04:32:13	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x708069…
10-28 04:31:56	israel election arab party and likud in coalition	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb31ab0…
10-28 04:31:41	will rocket companies rkt be added to the sp 500 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xbb3f4b…
10-28 04:31:35	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xf24fb3…
10-28 04:31:31	Will "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" have a Metascore of at least 90?	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xd4d72c…
10-28 04:31:31	Will "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" have a Metascore of at least 90?	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xd42bb5…
10-28 04:31:26	Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xd8cce6…
10-28 04:31:25	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xeb8bc3…
10-28 04:31:25	Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x479001…
10-28 04:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x8e9d66…
10-28 04:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x8f9fce…
10-28 03:40:40	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x00e172…
10-28 02:41:29	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	326	75¢	$245	0xa2aa86…
10-28 02:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x9e4efc…
10-28 02:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x12ea0a…
10-28 02:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x7e2779…
10-28 01:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb2b19d…
10-28 01:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x0a5296…
10-28 01:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xdf27b6…
10-28 00:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x5a425f…
10-28 00:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x83f4bb…
10-28 00:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xabf831…
10-27 23:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xaa8ae7…
10-27 23:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcf2d96…
10-27 22:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x67f515…
10-27 22:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x08a0e8…
10-27 22:45:44	Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xcb2abe…
10-27 22:37:53	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x91d367…
10-27 22:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x5fbb3b…
10-27 22:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xb2d37e…
10-27 22:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x1e74b3…
10-27 21:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x17209c…
10-27 21:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xafa9e4…
10-27 21:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x622486…
10-27 21:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x3f8efd…
10-27 21:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x3fce24…
10-27 21:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x32a54b…
10-27 20:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa09fd1…
10-27 20:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa657ec…
10-27 20:30:59	Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0ae1eb…
10-27 20:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x24c23c…
10-27 20:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xf431cb…
10-27 20:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe8294d…