Ill-Verification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

$53

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-23 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

64% 94% +$9

Crypto

30% 100% +$5

Politics

6% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No		+47	$47	100¢	$47	+$0	10-06 06:52
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	09-15 10:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	3	$946	492	492	+0	No	+$2	07-10 18:46
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	1	$385	385	0	+385	No	+$0	03-05 15:53
Will CZ post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$270	270	0	+270	No	+$0	05-05 12:53
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 20?	1	$240	240	0	+240	No	+$0	05-18 07:31
will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	1	$230	231	0	+231	No	+$1	01-09 07:16
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$230	231	0	+231	No	+$1	01-09 07:15
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	02-08 11:55
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-08 11:54
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$185	187	0	+187	No	+$2	01-16 08:54
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$180	180	0	+180	No	+$0	06-21 07:47
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	1	$175	176	0	+176	No	+$1	04-14 08:43
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 580plus	1	$172	172	0	+172	No	+$0	04-20 04:12
will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	1	$165	165	0	+165	No	+$0	03-22 07:30
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$164	166	0	+166	No	+$2	05-18 07:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$160	161	0	+161	No	+$1	05-21 00:55
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	05-05 12:51
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$141	141	0	+141	No	+$0	08-10 09:03
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	1	$127	127	0	+127	No	+$0	03-22 07:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$122	63	63	+0	No	+$2	05-21 11:24
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	06-04 06:18
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$112	113	0	+113	No	+$1	04-14 08:42
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$111	111	0	+111	No	+$0	03-22 07:32
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-04 06:19
xrp above 1pt7 on june 7 2026	1	$81	81	0	+81	No	+$0	06-04 06:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$74	74	0	+74	No	+$0	04-14 08:39
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$70	71	0	+71	No	+$1	04-14 08:41
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	09-15 10:38
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	10-06 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-05 12:50
Will Solana reach $200 in October?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	10-23 07:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 07:24:05	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x021d9e…
10-06 06:54:28	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xaf89e0…
10-06 06:52:43	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xc9a794…
09-23 08:57:38	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0ba47f…
09-15 10:39:54	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x13b2cd…
09-15 10:38:51	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0x4a8309…
08-10 09:04:04	Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb6c5a0…
08-10 09:03:10	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xbdf317…
07-10 18:46:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	492	96¢	$474	0x2eeb1f…
07-07 07:31:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	246	96¢	$236	0x81da5b…
07-07 07:31:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	246	96¢	$236	0xdef0bf…
06-21 07:47:53	Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x9f8bb6…
06-04 06:19:24	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaa9c65…
06-04 06:18:03	Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x6a34ba…
06-04 06:11:13	xrp above 1pt7 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x6efb27…
05-21 11:24:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	63	97¢	$62	0xf70594…
05-21 00:55:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0xaa1656…
05-21 00:54:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x4e9f80…
05-18 07:31:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 20?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x6c7338…
05-18 07:28:52	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$164	0x30bd60…
05-05 12:53:10	Will CZ post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x71bb0b…
05-05 12:51:12	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x4c99fd…
05-05 12:50:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4f08d1…
04-20 04:12:58	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 580plus	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x2c07fc…
04-14 08:43:07	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x9f5448…
04-14 08:42:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xe6ac01…
04-14 08:41:07	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x66a967…
04-14 08:39:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0xecfd51…
03-22 07:32:33	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x8cd22a…
03-22 07:30:59	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xd515d5…
03-22 07:27:55	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xb6191e…
03-05 15:53:21	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	385	100¢	$385	0x833690…
02-08 11:55:31	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xeab655…
02-08 11:54:29	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xae6853…
01-28 13:15:53	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x91aacc…
01-16 08:54:48	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	187	99¢	$185	0x4a2029…
01-09 07:16:22	will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	No	BUY	231	100¢	$230	0x71c45b…
01-09 07:15:56	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	231	100¢	$230	0x11a634…