Nocturnal-Activation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-09 13:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

74% — —

Politics

24% 0% $-8

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	8	$136	92	92	+0	No	$-6	04-19 13:07
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	8	$113	72	72	+0	Yes	$-2	04-25 23:51
btc updown 15m 1773245700	11	$99	212	0	+212	open	—	03-11 16:26
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$83	55	55	+0	open	—	04-10 02:52
btc updown 15m 1773375300	12	$79	170	0	+170	open	—	03-13 04:26
btc updown 15m 1773244800	10	$62	166	0	+166	open	—	03-11 16:06
btc updown 15m 1773384300	9	$59	106	21	+85	open	—	03-13 06:50
btc updown 15m 1773386100	10	$57	64	43	+22	open	—	03-13 07:24
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	7	$51	36	36	+0	open	—	04-26 00:00
btc updown 15m 1773240300	7	$51	109	0	+109	open	—	03-11 14:51
btc updown 15m 1773381600	7	$49	64	22	+42	open	—	03-13 06:07
btc updown 15m 1773243900	7	$48	113	0	+113	open	—	03-11 15:50
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	8	$43	34	29	+5	open	—	04-28 06:22
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	6	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	04-19 15:58
btc updown 15m 1773387900	5	$37	43	43	+0	open	—	03-13 07:50
btc updown 15m 1773359100	11	$33	85	43	+42	open	—	03-12 23:54
btc updown 15m 1773380700	7	$32	64	21	+42	open	—	03-13 05:55
btc updown 15m 1773378000	6	$32	43	43	+0	open	—	03-13 05:04
btc updown 15m 1773391500	3	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	03-13 08:50
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	5	$32	21	21	+0	open	—	04-28 07:49
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	8	$28	26	22	+4	open	—	04-28 08:41
btc updown 15m 1773238500	4	$27	79	0	+79	open	—	03-11 14:28
btc updown 15m 1773361800	6	$27	63	42	+21	open	—	03-13 00:41
btc updown 15m 1773243000	4	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	03-11 15:40
btc updown 15m 1773199800	11	$24	55	0	+55	open	—	03-11 03:41
btc updown 15m 1773377100	5	$23	42	42	+0	open	—	03-13 04:57
btc updown 15m 1773270000	11	$21	55	44	+11	open	—	03-11 23:12
btc updown 15m 1773382500	2	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	03-13 06:19
btc updown 15m 1773174600	4	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	03-10 20:35
btc updown 15m 1773171000	6	$20	65	0	+65	open	—	03-10 19:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:26:04	btc updown 5m 1781011500	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x57e3fe…
06-09 13:01:16	btc updown 5m 1781010000	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xa1f5cd…
06-09 12:10:03	btc updown 5m 1781006700	Up	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xe2c5fc…
06-09 12:10:03	btc updown 5m 1781006700	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x3a8f0e…
06-09 12:09:48	btc updown 5m 1781006700	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xf29b5d…
06-09 06:55:03	btc updown 5m 1780987800	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2c01ad…
06-09 06:51:04	btc updown 5m 1780987800	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x800737…
06-09 03:15:03	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x66f214…
06-09 03:12:16	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5f5660…
06-09 03:12:16	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4326c2…
06-09 03:12:16	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x33cf47…
06-09 03:12:16	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0x23a18f…
06-08 13:24:06	btc updown 5m 1780924800	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xab1c02…
06-08 10:30:03	btc updown 5m 1780914300	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa3fcc1…
06-08 10:26:04	btc updown 5m 1780914300	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xeafe87…
06-08 10:26:04	btc updown 5m 1780914300	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbccf17…
06-08 10:26:04	btc updown 5m 1780914300	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9b8e29…
06-08 04:12:24	btc updown 5m 1780891800	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x494033…
06-08 02:36:48	btc updown 5m 1780886100	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x87a79f…
06-08 01:30:03	btc updown 5m 1780881900	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x67cc3a…
06-08 01:26:07	btc updown 5m 1780881900	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x83d7f3…
06-07 10:00:03	btc updown 5m 1780826100	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x773430…
06-07 09:56:57	btc updown 5m 1780826100	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb1d77b…
06-07 09:16:03	btc updown 5m 1780823700	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x0ebb00…
06-07 09:07:00	btc updown 5m 1780823100	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x30ba59…
06-07 09:07:00	btc updown 5m 1780823100	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x24dffe…
06-07 08:55:03	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6541bf…
06-07 08:51:06	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc9a454…
06-07 08:51:06	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xc2c67c…
06-07 08:51:06	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x61e2e0…
06-07 07:15:03	btc updown 5m 1780816200	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x655881…
06-07 07:11:15	btc updown 5m 1780816200	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xdecda1…
06-07 06:40:03	btc updown 5m 1780814100	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x472b6a…
06-07 06:37:57	btc updown 5m 1780814100	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xad65b4…
06-07 06:37:57	btc updown 5m 1780814100	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x970ebd…
06-06 21:05:03	btc updown 5m 1780779600	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xcd651a…
06-06 21:04:37	btc updown 5m 1780779600	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xdbf7c1…
04-28 08:41:38	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xbc236b…
04-28 07:49:16	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xfcadf4…
04-28 07:48:58	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xc18637…
04-28 07:48:40	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x3b0c55…
04-28 07:48:10	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x644869…
04-28 07:46:34	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x2da489…
04-28 06:36:48	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x5babcb…
04-28 06:22:24	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x682e4a…
04-28 06:01:42	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xd1a85f…
04-28 06:01:14	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x04454c…
04-28 05:59:02	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x31c2a9…
04-28 05:15:26	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xfe5b23…
04-28 05:12:32	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x18a437…
04-27 14:53:40	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$7	0x18191e…
04-27 13:56:02	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x605f34…
04-27 08:05:08	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xa0dbcc…
04-26 21:12:38	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x89c650…
04-26 20:33:18	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x5b3daf…
04-26 20:30:26	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x0559f0…
04-26 00:00:10	Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	18	70¢	$13	0x5ef1d5…
04-25 23:58:28	Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0x784b47…
04-25 23:51:32	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x7af680…
04-25 23:42:48	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xd1cd27…
04-25 23:40:54	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xbcedb4…
04-25 23:36:50	Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x0a4070…
04-25 23:30:42	Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xcbd962…
04-25 23:29:12	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x8d5693…
04-25 23:29:10	Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x4e6a8d…
04-25 23:27:10	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xf60029…
04-25 23:27:10	Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x113569…
04-25 23:26:00	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$14	0x59b689…
04-25 23:25:42	Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xa97053…
04-19 15:58:58	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0x6e700a…
04-19 13:07:16	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0xb207a1…
04-19 08:32:52	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xec57f8…
04-19 08:30:50	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4b29b0…
04-19 07:22:42	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xabde43…
04-19 06:52:32	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x412839…
04-19 05:29:28	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x946ec3…
04-14 12:49:47	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	27	78¢	$21	0x7fd369…
04-13 22:07:29	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0xc35b50…
04-13 15:48:59	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x23210f…
04-13 15:43:17	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0xbe9304…
04-12 19:40:39	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x80ebfa…
04-12 19:04:47	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	22	75¢	$17	0x888658…
04-12 17:09:41	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x56868b…
04-12 13:11:27	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	24	77¢	$19	0xa72808…
04-12 08:27:33	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	26	80¢	$20	0xc2a67a…
04-11 12:17:37	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xbcd93f…
04-11 00:05:21	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xf3e747…
04-10 02:52:07	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xaffb83…
04-10 02:52:03	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x7e5a5e…
04-10 02:43:49	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb512a8…
04-10 02:42:35	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbb2f78…
03-13 08:50:19	btc updown 15m 1773391500	Down	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0xbec06e…
03-13 08:49:39	btc updown 15m 1773391500	Down	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0xf2d976…
03-13 08:49:27	btc updown 15m 1773391500	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xdca6ae…
03-13 07:50:03	btc updown 15m 1773387900	Up	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0xc1b4ad…
03-13 07:49:19	btc updown 15m 1773387900	Up	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0x494496…
03-13 07:48:29	btc updown 15m 1773387900	Up	SELL	21	40¢	$9	0x363406…
03-13 07:47:35	btc updown 15m 1773387900	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x4c9275…
03-13 07:47:35	btc updown 15m 1773387900	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x1a8ea7…
03-13 07:24:09	btc updown 15m 1773386100	Down	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0x020812…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	81	$7.04K	1,750	06-09 13:29
Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb	80	$23.3K	5,420	06-09 13:29
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	73	$1.79K	293	06-09 13:29
Puny-Grasp 0x3d51…2ca1	70	$1.23K	337	06-09 13:04
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	67	$2.12K	170	06-09 06:44
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	65	$18.9K	673	06-09 13:29
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	64	$277.0K	4,034	03-13 09:01
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	64	$164.4K	29,626	03-13 08:57