Intelligent-Musician — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.90K

Unrealized P&L

+$106

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

2,055

Trades

4,399

lifetime

Volume

$59.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$267

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-12 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Other

76% 68% +$2,231

Crypto

12% 72% +$89

Politics

6% 38% -$578

Pop-Culture

3% 77% +$273

Tech

1% 100% +$60

Sports

1% 73% -$169

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+203	$140	100¢	$202	+$62	09-28 14:22
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No		+75	$21	86¢	$65	+$44	10-01 21:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	30	$2.2K	2,078	2,078	+0	cancelled	-$63	08-11 10:16
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	22	$2.0K	2,865	196	+2,669	Yes	+$395	10-09 18:46
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	33	$1.4K	2,181	7	+2,174	Yes	-$1,352	07-29 15:49
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	46	$1.3K	2,368	0	+2,368	No	-$612	09-30 17:31
Palermo: Noemi Basiletti vs Tyra Caterina Grant	4	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	cancelled	-$10	07-21 14:08
Will "Westside Whimsy - Jhené Aiko" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26?	17	$919	1,069	12	+1,057	Yes	+$110	09-16 06:38
will digger score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261005	22	$901	967	0	+967	No	+$67	09-29 16:11
Will "Verity" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	17	$880	964	0	+964	No	+$44	09-30 16:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$853	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$247	09-11 12:35
Will Chelsea FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers end in a draw?	10	$735	825	0	+825	No	+$90	07-27 23:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	37	$662	3,220	0	+3,220	No	-$442	09-14 16:45
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?	10	$661	817	0	+817	Yes	+$90	10-10 23:59
Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	20	$632	1,008	0	+1,008	No	+$257	09-27 03:17
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?	18	$615	630	0	+630	Yes	+$15	09-05 03:32
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top US Netflix show this week?	8	$583	630	0	+630	Yes	+$46	09-18 15:12
Will "The Whisper Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	22	$574	967	0	+967	No	-$9	09-13 18:42
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	14	$550	709	0	+709	Yes	-$487	09-30 12:26
Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	12	$522	943	0	+943	No	+$421	10-02 15:25
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	3	$516	660	0	+660	Yes	-$516	09-15 14:38
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	39	$484	2,249	0	+2,249	Yes	-$362	09-25 14:05
Will "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	30	$466	1,829	0	+1,829	Yes	-$426	09-14 08:31
Will the CAQ win 30 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	12	$462	1,291	0	+1,291	No	-$462	09-21 20:26
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	8	$457	582	0	+582	Yes	+$8	10-05 15:43
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	29	$456	807	12	+795	Yes	+$65	10-06 20:54
Will "Heart of the Beast" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	6	$437	451	0	+451	Yes	+$14	09-23 18:39
Will "Runner" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	15	$429	717	0	+717	Yes	+$288	09-11 20:09
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 62 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	7	$424	529	0	+529	No	+$105	10-09 16:29
Will "Digger" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	12	$423	486	0	+486	No	+$63	09-29 16:10
will the 1 global netflix show have at least 15 million views this week 20260805171354224	5	$411	377	52	+325	No	+$12	08-08 10:35
Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?	4	$368	417	0	+417	open	—	10-11 01:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 08:11:58	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x106c30…
10-12 06:37:56	Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xe4fc04…
10-12 01:29:38	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x878b94…
10-11 20:42:06	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x971ac0…
10-11 19:13:24	Will "Street Fighter" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8ba6a6…
10-11 17:07:31	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0xe450e9…
10-11 17:01:10	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfa24e2…
10-11 17:01:06	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x323c72…
10-11 05:28:42	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xb5b367…
10-11 04:29:50	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06b79e…
10-11 04:29:48	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbf5f90…
10-11 04:29:47	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x823587…
10-11 04:29:44	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	139	98¢	$137	0x5c5ce9…
10-11 04:28:15	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0xc95d2e…
10-11 04:23:06	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	149	2¢	$3	0x9f6971…
10-11 01:23:23	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	149	4¢	$7	0x912e8a…
10-11 01:16:26	Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfab81f…
10-10 23:59:57	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x69ade0…
10-10 23:59:55	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x6f3300…
10-10 23:59:55	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x51f522…
10-10 18:31:46	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x40d65e…
10-10 18:28:40	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x9e083c…
10-10 18:25:03	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x570d71…
10-10 18:24:28	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xb423c9…
10-10 18:24:27	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x04ec09…
10-10 17:03:43	Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xf48d16…
10-10 15:12:25	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xe03f40…
10-10 14:49:51	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x5b6ede…
10-10 14:49:46	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x0164c0…
10-10 14:16:21	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x460c01…
10-10 14:07:55	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xa2e067…
10-10 14:07:55	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x60fb0a…
10-10 14:07:15	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x739290…
10-10 14:06:31	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	81	81¢	$66	0x88515b…
10-10 13:10:31	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x0be6d9…
10-10 12:36:25	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xc8cfc0…
10-10 11:32:30	Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x2333fc…
10-10 11:29:12	Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xc1f2fe…
10-10 11:08:54	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x14e65f…
10-10 09:49:33	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0xa32173…
10-10 09:48:34	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0x54293b…
10-10 09:48:25	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x4dd176…
10-10 09:48:24	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x6013b6…
10-10 09:42:48	Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x875bdb…
10-10 09:40:24	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?	Yes	BUY	164	4¢	$7	0x079e17…
10-10 09:35:58	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x1f0952…
10-10 09:35:15	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xfcf71f…
10-10 08:58:00	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbcf602…
10-10 08:53:33	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0xbf9db6…
10-10 08:46:12	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x340e48…
10-10 06:30:58	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0x468714…
10-10 06:00:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?	Yes	BUY	171	5¢	$8	0x3ccdbb…
10-10 05:55:24	Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 18 million views this week?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x09d438…
10-10 05:15:33	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xc8f6a0…
10-10 04:50:18	Will "Street Fighter" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x7e45ea…
10-10 00:55:29	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x15b313…
10-10 00:13:10	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x2a0269…
10-10 00:04:11	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?	Yes	BUY	213	4¢	$8	0xed06b3…
10-09 23:28:22	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7d3150…
10-09 23:25:58	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 32 million views this week?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x924a81…
10-09 23:22:26	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x18327c…
10-09 22:26:34	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?	Yes	BUY	214	4¢	$9	0xebc345…
10-09 21:54:43	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x3296a0…
10-09 18:46:46	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	No	BUY	156	2¢	$2	0x646902…
10-09 18:46:44	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x439e17…
10-09 18:46:40	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x707a2e…
10-09 17:08:28	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0x8bb8a5…
10-09 17:08:25	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0x4de9ae…
10-09 17:08:23	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x08b340…
10-09 17:05:43	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x9ab15f…
10-09 16:43:23	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x0525d1…
10-09 16:31:10	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	55	47¢	$26	0xe919dc…
10-09 16:29:10	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 62 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x432062…
10-09 16:29:08	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 62 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x46f8ff…
10-09 16:25:23	will the social reckoning score at least 62 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	102	94¢	$96	0x537fcf…
10-09 16:19:38	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0xbbda7a…
10-09 15:43:34	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x05cd9b…
10-09 14:52:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?	Yes	BUY	97	4¢	$4	0xc632d1…
10-09 14:22:30	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x0dd828…
10-09 13:20:57	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	112	12¢	$13	0x82ed33…
10-09 13:03:09	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 62 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x7c825c…
10-09 12:56:28	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x9d55f7…
10-09 12:55:07	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	201	84¢	$170	0x51e0eb…
10-09 12:51:45	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x2dc508…
10-09 12:47:46	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x81dc69…
10-09 12:38:31	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	196	83¢	$163	0xb38e82…
10-09 12:38:31	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	SELL	196	82¢	$161	0xaadce2…
10-09 12:38:12	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x219871…
10-09 12:37:55	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x3e5964…
10-09 12:37:30	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xa9dfdb…
10-09 08:30:51	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x10b0a3…
10-09 07:55:06	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x378f48…
10-09 06:54:57	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?	Yes	BUY	204	12¢	$24	0x3fdecb…
10-09 05:27:54	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x6e8f0a…
10-09 04:34:07	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x2f180b…
10-09 03:39:06	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xebaea6…
10-09 03:31:57	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2df475…
10-09 03:25:47	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x1b7992…
10-09 03:13:20	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xfbda04…
10-09 02:43:39	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 62 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	103	83¢	$85	0xc68f5d…