Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$66

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 11-05 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

82% 25% -$160

Other

11% 50% -$5

Sports

8% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+196	$100	34¢	$66	-$34	11-05 07:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$456	208	463	-255	Yes	-$99	11-02 12:26
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	1	$300	405	0	+405	Yes	+$105	10-28 14:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	11-05 07:25
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	3	$92	446	0	+446	No	-$92	11-03 23:41
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$90	160	160	+0	Yes	+$10	05-02 01:44
will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	1	$50	416	0	+416	No	-$50	06-18 22:39
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$30	120	0	+120	No	-$30	11-02 12:26
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$22	13	13	+0	No	+$4	03-31 15:13
Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?	1	$20	1,086	0	+1,086	No	-$20	11-04 02:25
will progressive bulgaria pb win 95 or more seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$14	50	0	+50	Yes	+$36	04-08 22:36
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	1	$10	40	0	+40	No	-$10	04-21 12:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$9	178	0	+178	No	-$9	10-28 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 07:25:18	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x3d9cfc…
11-04 02:25:24	Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,086	2¢	$20	0xb95237…
11-03 23:41:18	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x92c0e7…
11-03 18:31:16	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	23¢	$47	0x3a913f…
11-03 17:50:22	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xd18816…
11-02 12:26:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0xb126ce…
11-02 12:26:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xe94063…
10-28 14:30:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	178	5¢	$9	0xa5079c…
10-28 14:24:29	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0x35ca42…
10-28 14:23:31	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	463	66¢	$306	0xcaddf8…
06-18 22:39:16	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	416	12¢	$50	0xac1727…
05-02 01:44:16	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	160	31¢	$50	0x05763a…
04-22 11:29:24	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0xc4058a…
04-21 12:36:20	Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x94a5b5…
04-08 22:36:03	will progressive bulgaria pb win 95 or more seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x1092f7…
03-31 15:13:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x983d71…
03-13 16:07:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xd787ab…