Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$47

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-14

last 10-01 08:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

68% 58% +$1

Politics

26% 50% -$3

Tech

5% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	08-18 16:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	2	$3	5	+5	No	+$0	08-20 19:24
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$1	09-16 23:21
Will Macy's say "China" during earnings call?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-09 01:00
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:43
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 22:27
spx up or down on august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$1	08-17 13:07
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-10 19:34
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-16 07:02
will nvda reach 232 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-17 22:40
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	08-14 17:01
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-13 07:29
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-18 06:58
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-20 21:39
will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-16 15:21
spy up or down on august 19 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-19 04:42
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-08 16:11
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-07 16:04
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-24 00:12
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 23:53
spx up or down on september 3 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-03 01:52
wti up or down on september 2 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$1	09-02 06:22
will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-14 08:56
will nvda reach 232 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-19 14:21
Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-22 23:28
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	08-18 16:03
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-11 19:48
Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-01 10:54
will spy reach 790 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-17 04:22
will meta dip to 570 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-17 00:36
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-13 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 08:54:54	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5bcf95…
09-25 21:10:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1a5bc5…
09-25 13:04:48	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x861b4e…
09-25 03:43:38	will aapl reach 340 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf51b55…
09-24 19:36:47	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6cc851…
09-22 23:28:35	Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x71d7c7…
09-20 21:39:22	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x747a1c…
09-19 23:53:25	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x85b76f…
09-19 07:43:27	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x91e296…
09-16 23:21:30	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x6ab1a7…
09-16 15:21:02	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xdd2182…
09-16 07:02:37	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2a10e6…
09-13 21:53:12	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xf0e90a…
09-13 07:29:39	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x34cfc6…
09-11 19:48:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x80d4c7…
09-10 19:34:27	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x7d3514…
09-09 22:27:43	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1d7b38…
09-09 01:00:19	Will Macy's say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xddc233…
09-08 16:11:16	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x5dbabf…
09-08 06:41:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc7284e…
09-07 16:04:27	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd5495b…
09-03 01:52:09	spx up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x05021a…
09-02 06:22:49	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5b819e…
09-01 10:54:00	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x886b3e…
08-24 00:12:15	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x0a76d9…
08-20 19:24:57	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd563f7…
08-20 14:01:15	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xbf92a4…
08-20 02:45:21	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xe7f1c3…
08-19 14:21:52	will nvda reach 232 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x19f6d6…
08-19 04:42:18	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x277943…
08-18 16:03:13	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x47a0ef…
08-18 06:58:01	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x2ecda4…
08-17 22:40:45	will nvda reach 232 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x800575…
08-17 13:07:13	spx up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x2630d5…
08-17 04:22:30	will spy reach 790 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x00fd91…
08-17 00:36:03	will meta dip to 570 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8d31bb…
08-14 17:01:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6050f9…
08-14 08:56:48	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x0ad721…