Basic-Lute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$764

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

7,948

Trades

13,036

lifetime

Volume

$37.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-28 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 49% -$617

Other

13% 44% -$86

Politics

6% 29% -$89

Sports

2% 52% +$30

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 443 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	77	$561	466	466	+0	No	-$40	04-09 10:41
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	45	$422	315	315	-0	Yes	-$6	04-09 17:59
will usdai launch a token by march 31	23	$396	261	590	-330	No	+$16	03-30 16:53
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	58	$381	261	261	+0	No	-$8	04-08 19:52
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	47	$321	230	230	+0	No	+$24	04-07 15:42
will patrick cantlay win the 2026 masters tournament	14	$297	13,753	13,753	+0	No	-$22	04-07 15:43
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	17	$258	157	178	-21	Yes	+$12	03-30 16:49
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	14	$234	131	131	+0	Yes	-$5	04-02 15:36
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	6	$225	141	141	+0	Yes	+$2	03-28 18:23
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	43	$198	413	413	+0	No	-$17	04-08 06:37
will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	12	$167	100	100	+0	No	+$33	03-31 21:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$159	19,860	19,860	+0	Yes	$0	04-07 15:42
will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$152	88	88	+0	Yes	+$24	03-31 21:24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	22	$131	105	105	+0	Yes	-$1	03-31 21:26
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt5	6	$131	203	203	+0	No	-$28	04-02 15:36
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	30	$100	145	145	+0	Yes	-$1	03-31 21:26
will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$99	75	75	+0	No	-$16	03-31 21:26
will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt2m 14pt4m square kilometers	3	$82	43	43	+0	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:22
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	46	$81	73	73	+0	Yes	-$5	04-09 04:58
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$75	107	62	+45	Yes	+$37	04-12 20:01
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	5	$67	60	60	+0	No	+$0	03-31 21:24
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	25	$64	118	118	+0	No	-$3	04-08 06:37
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	1	$50	68	0	+68	No	-$50	06-29 19:59
wta basilet grant 2026 07 21	10	$46	87	0	+87	cancelled	-$3	07-21 14:03
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	5	$44	45	45	+0	Yes	-$4	04-23 18:36
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	10	$44	65	15	+50	Yes	+$4	04-25 03:59
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	15	$41	71	66	+5	No	-$3	04-10 19:43
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$39	3,137	3,137	+0	No	-$7	03-31 21:27
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	11	$39	35	35	+0	No	+$0	04-09 17:59
dota2 l1ga playti 2026 07 08	3	$36	80	0	+80	cancelled	+$4	07-08 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x27b540…
10-28 21:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x02656b…
10-28 21:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1bf7a5…
10-28 21:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xa70679…
10-28 18:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x0dea19…
10-28 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x2c8ad6…
10-28 18:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x3654e6…
10-28 18:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x62d83c…
10-28 18:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x90c33c…
10-28 18:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x8141e6…
10-28 14:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x452566…
10-28 12:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xb47a54…
10-28 12:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc696b2…
10-28 12:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x10fc36…
10-28 11:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x3e9989…
10-28 10:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x26aa6c…
10-28 09:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xfd9b07…
10-28 07:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xbab935…
10-28 04:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xfa6424…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x2c5042…
10-28 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x4dfcd7…
10-28 01:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x450e6c…
10-28 01:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9ef966…
10-28 00:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x551754…
10-28 00:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x066aa4…
10-28 00:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8df37c…
10-28 00:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa29bb2…
10-27 23:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x48ceae…
10-27 21:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xd61459…
10-27 21:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdd517b…
10-27 20:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb11d96…
10-27 19:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2d7538…
10-27 19:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x712ff4…
10-27 18:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa3bfd2…
10-27 16:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x22e833…
10-27 13:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa92ea7…
10-27 07:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x94ca59…
10-27 07:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xef4fe7…
10-27 07:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x41a0e4…
10-27 06:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1c2e9c…
10-27 05:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x97c673…
10-27 02:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x622756…
10-27 02:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x13e108…
10-27 02:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x507a45…
10-27 01:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb362d3…
10-27 01:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xa6e28a…
10-27 01:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x35c90b…
10-27 00:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1ff27e…
10-27 00:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xc83dd0…
10-26 21:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x56dffa…
10-19 09:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd8282f…
10-18 23:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x14de45…
10-18 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xb7c736…
10-18 17:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x549d8e…
10-16 17:03:34	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5934e9…
10-16 16:38:06	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x15df8a…
10-16 16:24:31	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x460d6a…
10-16 13:37:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xbbf834…
10-16 12:20:27	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd0b6c8…
10-16 11:35:55	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfd5218…
10-16 10:54:31	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb5a653…
10-16 08:24:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc0f3d5…
10-16 07:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8ed384…
10-16 07:02:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa6d774…
10-16 06:17:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x95cde2…
10-16 05:09:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x659553…
10-16 04:53:55	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x158936…
10-16 04:45:49	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x82a842…
10-16 04:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd9d91b…
10-16 04:22:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1a3473…
10-16 04:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcd2a98…
10-16 03:23:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x19afc2…
10-16 03:18:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf867c0…
10-16 02:05:57	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd9bc73…
10-16 02:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xa036d9…
10-16 01:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x650faa…
10-16 01:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd74d0e…
10-16 01:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x709fcb…
10-16 01:19:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb5a74f…
10-16 00:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x66ceb7…
10-15 23:39:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9ffc15…
10-15 23:01:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf02131…
10-15 21:50:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc29c62…
10-15 21:09:42	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x87c2ea…
10-15 21:05:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x16b767…
10-15 20:24:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6d794d…
10-15 20:08:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6969b3…
10-15 19:47:02	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb2cb3f…
10-15 18:54:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x07165b…
10-15 17:50:14	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0xcc24c5…
10-15 17:23:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe51281…
10-15 17:19:59	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5dd10f…
10-15 16:54:02	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd1d045…
10-15 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x49ff29…
10-15 14:49:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8b9d6c…
10-15 14:48:17	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7a1076…
10-15 12:51:25	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x79dab9…
10-15 09:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x94502d…
10-15 06:53:07	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf26831…
10-15 06:08:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9f65c7…