Basic-Lute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,270

lifetime

Volume

$7.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-25 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% 100% +$4

Politics

29% 0% $-14

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

11% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	77	$561	466	466	+0	open	—	04-09 10:41
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	45	$422	315	315	-0	open	—	04-09 17:59
will usdai launch a token by march 31	23	$396	261	590	-330	open	—	03-30 16:53
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	58	$381	261	261	+0	open	—	04-08 19:52
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	47	$321	230	230	+0	open	—	04-07 15:42
will patrick cantlay win the 2026 masters tournament	14	$297	13,753	13,753	+0	open	—	04-07 15:43
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	17	$258	157	178	-21	open	—	03-30 16:49
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	14	$234	131	131	+0	open	—	04-02 15:36
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	6	$225	141	141	+0	open	—	03-28 18:23
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	43	$198	413	413	+0	open	—	04-08 06:37
will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	12	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$159	19,860	19,860	+0	open	—	04-07 15:42
will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$152	88	88	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	22	$131	105	105	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt5	6	$131	203	203	+0	open	—	04-02 15:36
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	30	$100	145	145	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$99	75	75	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt2m 14pt4m square kilometers	3	$82	43	43	+0	open	—	04-01 14:22
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	46	$81	73	73	+0	open	—	04-09 04:58
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$75	107	62	+45	open	—	04-12 20:01
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	5	$67	60	60	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	25	$64	118	118	+0	open	—	04-08 06:37
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	5	$44	45	45	+0	open	—	04-23 18:36
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	10	$44	65	15	+50	Yes	+$4	04-25 03:59
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	15	$41	71	66	+5	open	—	04-10 19:43
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$39	3,137	3,137	+0	open	—	03-31 21:27
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	11	$39	35	35	+0	open	—	04-09 17:59
dota2 l1ga playti 2026 07 08	3	$36	80	0	+80	open	—	07-08 16:00
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$36	47	0	+47	open	—	04-11 21:41
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$32	45	45	+0	open	—	04-10 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 22:19:13	btc updown 15m 1785017700	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa5ff74…
07-25 18:09:03	eth updown 15m 1785002400	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xf0ad32…
07-25 16:15:58	crichundred sun sou 2026 07 25	Sunrisers Leeds	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x46f320…
07-25 14:18:06	ufc bre7 mtucha 2026 07 25	Brendson Ribeiro	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x937f7c…
07-25 13:51:51	eth updown 15m 1784987100	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x0c572d…
07-25 13:42:18	btc updown 5m 1784986800	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x625d43…
07-25 13:19:13	ufc cod8 ahusse 2026 07 25	Abdul Hussein	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1e6df7…
07-25 11:50:48	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Islam Dulatov	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x41cf19…
07-25 11:45:27	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Islam Dulatov	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x049f4d…
07-25 11:40:16	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Islam Dulatov	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x035046…
07-25 11:35:15	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Islam Dulatov	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x845789…
07-25 11:30:13	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Islam Dulatov	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa1b923…
07-25 11:07:27	doge updown 15m 1784977200	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x577911…
07-25 10:03:19	eth updown 15m 1784973600	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xd2de73…
07-25 09:54:07	sol updown 15m 1784972700	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb6d3db…
07-25 09:09:27	sol updown 15m 1784970000	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf7e426…
07-25 03:07:33	doge updown 15m 1784948400	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7f3970…
07-25 03:04:36	eth updown 15m 1784948400	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x1f237e…
07-24 23:03:25	doge updown 15m 1784934000	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8c4238…
07-24 22:22:19	sol updown 15m 1784931300	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x45a6db…
07-24 21:34:33	btc updown 15m 1784928600	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x96de88…
07-24 21:27:48	eth updown 5m 1784928300	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9dbb4e…
07-24 20:52:54	itf pric malkin 2026 07 24	Misa Malkin	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd22e8c…
07-24 20:04:55	eth updown 15m 1784923200	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb765bd…
07-24 14:09:36	btc updown 15m 1784901600	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xb74343…
07-24 06:36:18	btc updown 15m 1784874600	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x26e1a4…
07-24 06:08:58	sol updown 15m 1784872800	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x83888e…
07-24 05:09:00	doge updown 15m 1784869200	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc2971e…
07-23 23:22:36	btc updown 15m 1784848500	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe4d81b…
07-23 22:09:00	eth updown 15m 1784844000	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x4a9418…
07-23 22:08:39	btc updown 15m 1784844000	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa5903c…
07-23 22:08:13	sol updown 15m 1784844000	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9a90d1…
07-23 18:09:36	sol updown 15m 1784829600	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3d7fb3…
07-23 17:21:57	btc updown 15m 1784826900	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1ae9b2…
07-23 08:01:40	itf boosara takahas 2026 07 23	Yusuke Takahashi	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x99feec…
07-23 07:53:15	itf gadient sandru 2026 07 23	Nicole Gadient	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x7e8e5a…
07-23 07:47:39	itf orlov kumstat 2026 07 23	Jan Kumstat	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x176537…
07-23 02:57:42	btc updown 5m 1784775300	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf28fc1…
07-23 00:06:42	btc updown 15m 1784764800	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xb6b429…
07-22 23:27:18	sol updown 5m 1784762700	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9fe32e…
07-22 22:03:25	eth updown 15m 1784757600	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x3933cc…
07-22 21:48:18	doge updown 15m 1784756700	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4ecb3b…
07-22 20:16:09	crichundred sou wel 2026 07 22	Southern Brave	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd6571b…
07-22 17:40:55	wta burel urgesi 2026 07 22	Clara Burel	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x375a16…
07-22 14:22:24	itf lignier marine 2026 07 21	Mihai Razvan Marinescu	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x561d78…
07-22 09:27:16	eth updown 5m 1784712300	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb2de24…
07-22 02:07:06	btc updown 15m 1784685600	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x68c414…
07-22 00:05:43	doge updown 15m 1784678400	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xed0756…
07-22 00:05:27	eth updown 15m 1784678400	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x0cde6b…
07-21 23:51:19	btc updown 15m 1784677500	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xb97f2d…
07-21 23:33:25	atp michels gea 2026 07 20	Alex Michelsen	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa6b472…
07-21 23:28:18	atp michels gea 2026 07 20	Alex Michelsen	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x82f8c0…
07-21 23:22:57	atp michels gea 2026 07 20	Alex Michelsen	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe93538…
07-21 23:00:25	atp michels gea 2026 07 20	Alex Michelsen	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd94b06…
07-21 22:55:12	atp michels gea 2026 07 20	Alex Michelsen	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x561d7f…
07-21 22:21:49	atp tomic boyer 2026 07 20	Tristan Boyer	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x60dc1f…
07-21 13:42:52	wta basilet grant 2026 07 21	Tyra Caterina Grant	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf95de4…
07-21 13:42:22	wta basilet grant 2026 07 21	Tyra Caterina Grant	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x44cf6b…
07-21 11:52:06	doge updown 15m 1784634300	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x773209…
07-20 15:20:36	doge updown 15m 1784560500	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x109833…
07-20 13:00:00	val blg xlg 2026 07 20	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x815824…
07-20 10:36:51	doge updown 15m 1784543400	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdcf20d…
07-20 04:04:45	eth updown 15m 1784520000	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x8644e1…
07-20 04:02:37	xrp updown 15m 1784520000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6758cc…
07-20 03:04:18	lol 3v ncg 2026 07 19	3v Team	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x513adf…
07-20 01:23:52	doge updown 15m 1784510100	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd93b1e…
07-19 23:47:34	eth updown 15m 1784504700	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x390d8d…
07-19 21:02:18	sol updown 15m 1784494800	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb3de0a…
07-19 21:02:16	eth updown 15m 1784494800	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xfcb380…
07-19 19:05:07	sol updown 15m 1784487600	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa58e80…
07-19 17:22:00	sol updown 15m 1784481300	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x75afba…
07-19 11:21:24	eth updown 15m 1784459700	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xb4962d…
07-19 10:47:27	eth updown 15m 1784457900	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x103985…
07-19 09:04:00	doge updown 15m 1784451600	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2a96ba…
07-19 09:03:19	sol updown 15m 1784451600	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x023a3d…
07-19 08:05:18	sol updown 15m 1784448000	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe1ad02…
07-19 08:03:19	eth updown 15m 1784448000	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x14ffb0…
07-19 06:51:27	sol updown 15m 1784443500	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf979f1…
07-19 05:08:30	sol updown 15m 1784437200	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x793b74…
07-19 02:54:28	sol updown 15m 1784429100	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe7296b…
07-19 01:47:18	sol updown 15m 1784425500	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x10af80…
07-19 01:17:21	sol updown 15m 1784423700	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x837e83…
07-18 22:28:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x439e9e…
07-18 21:53:16	xrp updown 15m 1784411100	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7cc781…
07-18 21:44:07	itf mandlik cross 2026 07 18	Kayla Cross	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x68aa90…
07-18 21:18:34	doge updown 15m 1784409300	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xaab586…
07-18 21:17:21	xrp updown 15m 1784409300	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0e0fb0…
07-18 19:53:22	sol updown 15m 1784403900	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf4d953…
07-18 19:18:45	eth updown 15m 1784402100	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xf00bb2…
07-18 18:20:57	sol updown 15m 1784398500	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7f6938…
07-18 17:51:00	eth updown 15m 1784396700	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x98c3a0…
07-18 17:47:46	doge updown 15m 1784396700	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc433ca…
07-18 15:04:19	xrp updown 15m 1784386800	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdc6c6a…
07-18 14:52:28	doge updown 15m 1784385900	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd57e6f…
07-18 14:51:16	sol updown 15m 1784385900	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7a2e15…
07-18 09:01:54	xrp updown 15m 1784365200	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6dee49…
07-18 00:17:18	sol updown 15m 1784333700	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd5a11e…
07-17 21:48:43	xrp updown 15m 1784324700	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x458ee4…
07-17 20:53:31	sol updown 15m 1784321100	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x825157…
07-17 20:53:30	btc updown 15m 1784321100	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf20ca0…