Basic-Lute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

905

lifetime

Volume

$6.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-10 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% 100% +$4

Politics

36% 0% $-14

Sports

13% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 198 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	77	$561	466	466	+0	open	—	04-09 10:41
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	45	$422	315	315	-0	open	—	04-09 17:59
will usdai launch a token by march 31	23	$396	261	590	-330	open	—	03-30 16:53
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	58	$381	261	261	+0	open	—	04-08 19:52
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	47	$321	230	230	+0	open	—	04-07 15:42
will patrick cantlay win the 2026 masters tournament	14	$297	13,753	13,753	+0	open	—	04-07 15:43
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	17	$258	157	178	-21	open	—	03-30 16:49
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	14	$234	131	131	+0	open	—	04-02 15:36
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	6	$225	141	141	+0	open	—	03-28 18:23
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	43	$198	413	413	+0	open	—	04-08 06:37
will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	12	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$159	19,860	19,860	+0	open	—	04-07 15:42
will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$152	88	88	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	22	$131	105	105	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt5	6	$131	203	203	+0	open	—	04-02 15:36
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	30	$100	145	145	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$99	75	75	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt2m 14pt4m square kilometers	3	$82	43	43	+0	open	—	04-01 14:22
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	46	$81	73	73	+0	open	—	04-09 04:58
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$75	107	62	+45	open	—	04-12 20:01
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	5	$67	60	60	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	25	$64	118	118	+0	open	—	04-08 06:37
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	5	$44	45	45	+0	open	—	04-23 18:36
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	10	$44	65	15	+50	Yes	+$4	04-25 03:59
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	15	$41	71	66	+5	open	—	04-10 19:43
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$39	3,137	3,137	+0	open	—	03-31 21:27
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	11	$39	35	35	+0	open	—	04-09 17:59
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$36	47	0	+47	open	—	04-11 21:41
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$32	45	45	+0	open	—	04-10 21:16
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	2	$26	30	30	+0	open	—	04-02 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 12:49:33	btc updown 15m 1781095500	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x286fe4…
06-10 11:19:49	btc updown 15m 1781090100	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4e5e05…
06-09 16:52:58	btc updown 15m 1781023500	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x1986bb…
06-09 16:52:55	btc updown 15m 1781023500	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd8d751…
06-09 13:07:22	btc updown 15m 1781010000	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0ddf85…
06-09 12:17:21	btc updown 15m 1781007300	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x22284e…
06-09 10:19:58	btc updown 15m 1781000100	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x880c20…
06-08 18:11:31	btc updown 15m 1780941600	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x0fdfe8…
06-08 09:15:01	cs2 abyssa dingcu 2026 06 08	Abyssal	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x84f102…
06-08 07:31:24	cs2 abyssa dingcu 2026 06 08	Abyssal	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x07fe56…
06-08 06:37:09	cs2 abyssa dingcu 2026 06 08	Abyssal	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7fe6a7…
06-08 06:19:04	cs2 abyssa dingcu 2026 06 08	Abyssal	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7f3de0…
06-08 03:30:45	cs2 abyssa dingcu 2026 06 08	Abyssal	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa5bbab…
06-08 00:46:04	cs2 xi clutch 2026 06 08	XI Esport	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x104845…
06-07 22:16:04	btc updown 15m 1780870500	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x2716d4…
06-07 18:17:58	cs2 b8 gl1 2026 06 07	B8	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x518b16…
06-07 15:26:13	btc updown 15m 1780845300	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xac9df3…
06-07 13:21:43	btc updown 15m 1780838100	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xd74aac…
06-07 09:11:04	btc updown 15m 1780822800	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x9ae66b…
06-07 05:46:55	btc updown 15m 1780811100	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x04f0b4…
06-07 00:40:54	btc updown 15m 1780792200	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x2bc63f…
06-06 21:25:55	btc updown 15m 1780780500	Up	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xd90ccf…
06-06 16:56:03	btc updown 15m 1780764300	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xda01ee…
06-06 03:48:10	btc updown 15m 1780717500	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcf2d8b…
06-05 18:50:06	btc updown 15m 1780685100	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x84467b…
06-05 14:56:39	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xff6721…
06-05 09:22:36	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x3ba8ed…
06-05 04:36:10	btc updown 15m 1780633800	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xe238bb…
06-05 04:36:10	btc updown 15m 1780633800	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xdc68b4…
06-05 04:36:10	btc updown 15m 1780633800	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x611159…
06-05 01:34:18	btc updown 15m 1780623000	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc3b5e4…
06-05 01:34:16	btc updown 15m 1780623000	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcbff4d…
06-05 01:25:13	btc updown 15m 1780622100	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x341d2d…
06-04 19:16:09	btc updown 15m 1780600500	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb6df20…
06-04 18:32:39	btc updown 15m 1780597800	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xbd8962…
06-04 10:29:55	cs2 m80 nrg 2026 06 04	M80	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8f1acf…
06-04 09:42:04	cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04	GamerLegion	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x8e0bfd…
06-04 05:15:28	btc updown 15m 1780550100	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc5e495…
06-04 03:26:09	btc updown 15m 1780542900	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x01f196…
06-03 19:16:18	Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x6a3ca9…
06-03 18:55:27	Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xcd43da…
06-03 18:16:46	Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x76d798…
06-03 15:11:37	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3378bf…
06-03 14:56:46	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x3390b9…
06-03 14:53:55	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc03aa4…
06-03 14:51:24	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x837040…
06-03 14:49:30	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5bc818…
06-03 14:47:55	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9f5c52…
06-03 14:45:42	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd57bc0…
06-03 14:25:07	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Liquid	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x746793…
06-03 14:09:00	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Liquid	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xdfef97…
06-03 14:00:34	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xb1ba63…
06-03 14:00:13	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Liquid	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x986000…
06-03 13:58:53	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Liquid	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc4d4f5…
06-03 11:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe09b90…
06-01 19:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xca5a9f…
06-01 18:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x5d634d…
06-01 17:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xfd77bf…
06-01 16:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xfe4310…
06-01 16:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xd9a93a…
06-01 15:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xf95b6e…
06-01 15:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x5467aa…
06-01 15:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x32bb6d…
06-01 00:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x673892…
05-31 22:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xca7f00…
05-31 21:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf2baf0…
05-31 17:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x82bc40…
05-31 17:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfb5f50…
05-31 17:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x1e0f3a…
05-31 11:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x43e280…
05-31 10:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x70ccb2…
05-31 09:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xedc3f0…
05-30 16:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x583474…
05-30 15:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x214972…
05-30 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7fc855…
05-30 14:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xbd5cda…
05-30 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3de841…
05-30 12:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xa5f6b4…
05-30 12:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x419ee4…
05-30 12:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x08c51d…
05-30 12:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x4ba614…
05-30 12:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xdf9147…
05-29 16:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x29ff61…
05-29 16:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf8fe3f…
05-29 16:03:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x83e049…
05-29 15:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf6f31…
05-29 15:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf904f7…
05-29 15:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x97a5de…
05-29 15:28:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x435704…
05-29 15:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x901ad2…
05-29 14:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x5ffa9c…
05-29 14:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x510f93…
05-29 14:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x83d706…
05-29 14:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x75ee6b…
05-29 13:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4eef1c…
05-29 11:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xde5d82…
05-29 11:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xbe0835…
05-29 11:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa6c2b1…
05-29 11:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd53cb8…
05-29 11:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x97cf6f…