Basic-Lute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,525

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 08-14 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

55% — —

Other

23% 100% +$4

Politics

16% 0% $-14

Sports

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	77	$561	466	466	+0	open	—	04-09 10:41
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	45	$422	315	315	-0	open	—	04-09 17:59
will usdai launch a token by march 31	23	$396	261	590	-330	open	—	03-30 16:53
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	58	$381	261	261	+0	open	—	04-08 19:52
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	47	$321	230	230	+0	open	—	04-07 15:42
will patrick cantlay win the 2026 masters tournament	14	$297	13,753	13,753	+0	open	—	04-07 15:43
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	17	$258	157	178	-21	open	—	03-30 16:49
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	14	$234	131	131	+0	open	—	04-02 15:36
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	6	$225	141	141	+0	open	—	03-28 18:23
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	43	$198	413	413	+0	open	—	04-08 06:37
will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	12	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$159	19,860	19,860	+0	open	—	04-07 15:42
will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$152	88	88	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	22	$131	105	105	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt5	6	$131	203	203	+0	open	—	04-02 15:36
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	30	$100	145	145	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$99	75	75	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt2m 14pt4m square kilometers	3	$82	43	43	+0	open	—	04-01 14:22
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	46	$81	73	73	+0	open	—	04-09 04:58
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$75	107	62	+45	open	—	04-12 20:01
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	5	$67	60	60	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	25	$64	118	118	+0	open	—	04-08 06:37
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	5	$44	45	45	+0	open	—	04-23 18:36
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	10	$44	65	15	+50	Yes	+$4	04-25 03:59
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	15	$41	71	66	+5	open	—	04-10 19:43
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$39	3,137	3,137	+0	open	—	03-31 21:27
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	11	$39	35	35	+0	open	—	04-09 17:59
dota2 l1ga playti 2026 07 08	3	$36	80	0	+80	open	—	07-08 16:00
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$36	47	0	+47	open	—	04-11 21:41
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$32	45	45	+0	open	—	04-10 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 23:23:49	sol updown 15m 1786749300	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8df78f…
08-14 23:17:16	btc updown 15m 1786749300	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb91363…
08-14 23:07:28	sol updown 15m 1786748400	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x966b37…
08-14 23:04:33	sol updown 15m 1786748400	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2cc21b…
08-14 22:53:21	btc updown 15m 1786747500	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x973304…
08-14 22:52:36	eth updown 15m 1786747500	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x408cc3…
08-14 22:49:30	btc updown 15m 1786747500	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6bae0f…
08-14 22:48:24	btc updown 15m 1786747500	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x7831d2…
08-14 22:36:31	btc updown 15m 1786746600	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x22fefc…
08-14 22:36:25	btc updown 15m 1786746600	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa8b6f3…
08-14 22:21:48	sol updown 15m 1786745700	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd82df8…
08-14 22:20:57	btc updown 15m 1786745700	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xfd2bc5…
08-14 22:19:22	btc updown 15m 1786745700	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xd8b63b…
08-14 22:19:15	btc updown 15m 1786745700	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x4fcf68…
08-14 22:08:52	sol updown 15m 1786744800	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbd8c32…
08-14 22:03:07	btc updown 15m 1786744800	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc7e97d…
08-14 22:02:45	btc updown 15m 1786744800	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xbeb336…
08-14 22:02:39	btc updown 15m 1786744800	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7482a4…
08-14 21:53:25	eth updown 15m 1786743900	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x566ae6…
08-14 21:50:45	eth updown 15m 1786743900	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe4eeaa…
08-14 21:50:34	eth updown 15m 1786743900	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x72961e…
08-14 21:50:09	btc updown 15m 1786743900	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x60ebed…
08-14 21:49:48	btc updown 15m 1786743900	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x58ffbc…
08-14 21:49:34	btc updown 15m 1786743900	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x197df4…
08-14 21:39:31	eth updown 15m 1786743000	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x65ad6c…
08-14 21:34:21	sol updown 15m 1786743000	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd19ebd…
08-14 21:34:15	sol updown 15m 1786743000	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x68a323…
08-14 21:32:24	btc updown 15m 1786743000	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x863c41…
08-14 21:32:21	btc updown 15m 1786743000	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xc866e9…
08-14 21:32:16	btc updown 15m 1786743000	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x8646c3…
08-14 21:20:10	btc updown 15m 1786742100	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x6cc8d4…
08-14 21:20:07	btc updown 15m 1786742100	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x13e2b4…
08-14 21:20:00	btc updown 15m 1786742100	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xda270a…
08-14 21:08:48	btc updown 15m 1786741200	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x6faed1…
08-14 21:08:45	btc updown 15m 1786741200	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2a10c5…
08-14 21:02:46	btc updown 15m 1786741200	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4a3be8…
08-14 20:50:43	btc updown 15m 1786740300	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x97e40c…
08-14 20:50:37	btc updown 15m 1786740300	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x9b7b34…
08-14 20:50:30	btc updown 15m 1786740300	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe272ec…
08-14 20:50:19	sol updown 15m 1786740300	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8fdc47…
08-14 20:35:27	btc updown 15m 1786739400	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xb8ecef…
08-14 20:35:22	btc updown 15m 1786739400	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x594db1…
08-14 20:35:16	btc updown 15m 1786739400	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xb50546…
08-14 20:23:54	btc updown 15m 1786738500	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x68bbf2…
08-14 20:21:22	eth updown 15m 1786738500	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xaaa609…
08-14 20:20:24	sol updown 15m 1786738500	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9617e7…
08-14 20:18:27	sol updown 15m 1786738500	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x168400…
08-14 19:54:40	btc updown 15m 1786736700	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xeedc3b…
08-14 19:54:18	eth updown 15m 1786736700	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x3eb7c4…
08-14 19:54:13	eth updown 15m 1786736700	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x8a7b63…
08-14 19:47:52	btc updown 15m 1786736700	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x37c232…
08-14 19:47:49	btc updown 15m 1786736700	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd10656…
08-14 19:32:24	btc updown 15m 1786735800	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9b1831…
08-14 19:32:19	btc updown 15m 1786735800	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe6c31a…
08-14 19:32:16	btc updown 15m 1786735800	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x270457…
08-14 19:20:24	sol updown 15m 1786734900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6c4500…
08-14 17:50:39	eth updown 15m 1786729500	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9cdade…
08-14 17:49:49	btc updown 15m 1786729500	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xfa1c8b…
08-14 17:49:28	btc updown 15m 1786729500	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa59c87…
08-14 17:48:55	btc updown 15m 1786729500	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xcbcccd…
08-14 17:36:30	sol updown 15m 1786728600	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0adae6…
08-14 17:35:12	eth updown 15m 1786728600	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xaa5bac…
08-14 17:18:22	sol updown 15m 1786727700	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5a75e1…
08-14 17:09:49	btc updown 15m 1786726800	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x274e30…
08-14 17:09:22	btc updown 15m 1786726800	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x8cb8c7…
08-14 17:03:34	sol updown 15m 1786726800	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdcb0cc…
08-14 17:03:25	sol updown 15m 1786726800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd5997d…
08-14 16:47:42	btc updown 15m 1786725900	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0337bb…
08-14 16:47:28	btc updown 15m 1786725900	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x2c5358…
08-14 16:47:21	btc updown 15m 1786725900	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xa7238c…
08-14 16:35:46	btc updown 15m 1786725000	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x823c70…
08-14 16:35:42	btc updown 15m 1786725000	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd9de93…
08-14 16:22:51	btc updown 15m 1786724100	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8044a3…
08-14 16:17:19	sol updown 15m 1786724100	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x76f48c…
08-14 15:54:24	sol updown 15m 1786722300	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb3cc22…
08-14 15:20:30	btc updown 15m 1786720500	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x5ba96e…
08-14 15:20:13	btc updown 15m 1786720500	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x14f29c…
08-14 15:09:19	btc updown 15m 1786719600	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2db5ef…
08-14 15:06:54	btc updown 15m 1786719600	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x774be4…
08-14 15:06:37	sol updown 15m 1786719600	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2dbbe0…
08-14 15:06:31	sol updown 15m 1786719600	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x60241f…
08-14 14:51:15	sol updown 15m 1786718700	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd11893…
08-14 14:51:10	sol updown 15m 1786718700	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x507ba5…
08-14 14:47:48	btc updown 15m 1786718700	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xaf5544…
08-14 14:47:42	btc updown 15m 1786718700	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7287f9…
08-14 14:47:21	btc updown 15m 1786718700	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x26cd2b…
08-14 14:20:46	sol updown 15m 1786716900	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb14d43…
08-14 14:17:58	btc updown 15m 1786716900	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe5a382…
08-14 14:09:06	sol updown 15m 1786716000	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb0bb90…
08-14 14:04:54	btc updown 15m 1786716000	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x7636be…
08-14 14:04:43	btc updown 15m 1786716000	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x75d2ea…
08-14 14:04:39	btc updown 15m 1786716000	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x056cf0…
08-14 13:53:51	sol updown 15m 1786715100	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x35f846…
08-14 13:51:34	btc updown 15m 1786715100	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x61226a…
08-14 13:38:48	eth updown 15m 1786714200	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xcd163f…
08-14 13:23:31	btc updown 15m 1786713300	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe96704…
08-14 13:22:31	btc updown 15m 1786713300	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x8b64ac…
08-14 13:22:27	btc updown 15m 1786713300	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xf88f18…
08-14 12:54:16	btc updown 15m 1786711500	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x00c640…
08-14 12:54:00	btc updown 15m 1786711500	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x72a9a9…