Plump-Frontier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$670

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-28 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% 0% $-200

Crypto

33% 0% $-500

Politics

19% — —

Sports

7% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul	2	$3.4K	642	2,769	-2,128	open	—	05-22 18:16
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian	2	$2.3K	2,523	0	+2,523	open	—	05-22 17:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	2	$2.0K	1,075	1,075	+0	open	—	05-26 09:47
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	1	$1000	1,030	0	+1,030	Milwaukee Brewers	+$30	05-06 19:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$603	349	349	+0	open	—	05-25 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$500	549	0	+549	Up	$-500	05-08 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$442	391	391	+0	open	—	05-18 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$427	335	335	+0	open	—	05-18 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$392	304	304	+0	open	—	05-19 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$355	208	208	+0	open	—	05-19 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$255	249	249	+0	open	—	05-18 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$253	240	240	+0	open	—	05-18 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$230	200	200	+0	open	—	05-18 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$225	171	171	+0	open	—	05-18 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$224	189	189	+0	open	—	05-18 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$214	145	145	+0	open	—	05-18 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$210	126	126	+0	open	—	05-18 20:03
Istanbul: Maria Timofeeva vs Francesca Jones	2	$200	248	0	+248	Maria Timofeeva	$-200	05-08 10:13
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$193	148	148	+0	open	—	05-26 15:21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$169	302	0	+302	open	—	04-27 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$145	140	140	+0	open	—	05-18 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$122	78	78	+0	open	—	05-18 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	5	$112	134	12	+122	open	—	05-19 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$100	267	0	+267	open	—	05-18 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$75	66	61	+5	open	—	05-19 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	6	$70	44	44	+0	open	—	05-19 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$69	47	47	+0	open	—	05-18 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$63	43	43	+0	open	—	05-18 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$61	45	45	+0	open	—	05-19 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$36	3,013	13	+3,000	open	—	05-19 20:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 00:04:59	Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x0bfe33…
05-28 00:03:55	Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x737a84…
05-26 17:30:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	25¢	$9	0xa6d041…
05-26 15:21:29	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	148	63¢	$93	0x0f51a1…
05-26 15:20:43	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x691121…
05-26 10:14:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x28b799…
05-26 09:47:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	1,075	92¢	$989	0x15ae79…
05-26 09:45:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0x5dc293…
05-25 21:10:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	349	87¢	$303	0xe689af…
05-25 20:52:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0xff849f…
05-23 16:27:07	Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbd5012…
05-22 18:16:46	Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	SELL	2,769	100¢	$2,766	0x088691…
05-22 17:47:30	Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	642	94¢	$600	0x00de0f…
05-22 17:26:04	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian	Victoria Mboko	BUY	2,174	92¢	$2,000	0xb7bc0b…
05-22 17:21:57	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian	Victoria Mboko	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x6a6e0f…
05-19 20:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3,000	1¢	$30	0x041009…
05-19 20:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x70b769…
05-19 20:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x796141…
05-19 20:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xb27def…
05-19 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xde6ee5…
05-19 20:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1ae06c…
05-19 20:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1a3685…
05-19 14:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8694e0…
05-19 14:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x5f1d80…
05-19 14:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x141a14…
05-19 14:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	45	68¢	$31	0x93f2cc…
05-19 14:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x1aac54…
05-19 13:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x545fac…
05-19 13:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3103c7…
05-19 13:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x241e8f…
05-19 13:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x8c0968…
05-19 13:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x81457e…
05-19 13:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$4	0xf2d1dd…
05-19 13:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8308ba…
05-19 13:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xbff9cb…
05-19 13:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xb65427…
05-19 12:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xbd20e3…
05-19 12:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x26efa0…
05-19 12:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$0	0xe09c4c…
05-19 12:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x0b19a4…
05-19 12:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5f5a2c…
05-19 12:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xb93534…
05-19 12:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xab4878…
05-19 12:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x878726…
05-19 12:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5da9cb…
05-19 12:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0x35d0d4…
05-19 12:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x714f49…
05-19 12:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x90009f…
05-19 12:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x33fd31…
05-19 12:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x5273cd…
05-19 12:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x732fcb…
05-19 12:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x90e699…
05-19 12:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	61	70¢	$42	0x2a679b…
05-19 12:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xc8c438…
05-19 02:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	108	97¢	$104	0x07012a…
05-19 02:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x63b69b…
05-19 02:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	196	42¢	$82	0x0a750d…
05-19 02:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	196	54¢	$105	0xc8a7b4…
05-19 01:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	159	97¢	$154	0xadef26…
05-19 01:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x19cedf…
05-19 01:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xe2c8f2…
05-19 01:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	49	82¢	$40	0x99993a…
05-19 01:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x9082df…
05-18 20:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	267	37¢	$100	0x5e847c…
05-18 20:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	49	23¢	$11	0x37416d…
05-18 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x9ef2a9…
05-18 20:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x9fee6a…
05-18 20:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x29ab3b…
05-18 20:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x958c13…
05-18 20:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xcd7a3b…
05-18 20:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0xaa841c…
05-18 20:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x8bcf26…
05-18 20:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x1298f8…
05-18 20:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf64e96…
05-18 20:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	59	70¢	$41	0x77978d…
05-18 20:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x5b07c1…
05-18 20:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	81	54¢	$44	0xed0eb5…
05-18 20:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xae3ff2…
05-18 20:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	145	79¢	$114	0x014f19…
05-18 20:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x41a728…
05-18 20:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	35	84¢	$29	0x5c468f…
05-18 20:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0xe0c6ce…
05-18 20:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	43	76¢	$33	0xc63526…
05-18 20:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x2c2de3…
05-18 20:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	159	77¢	$122	0xe828b9…
05-18 20:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x0189d8…
05-18 20:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	233	51¢	$119	0xb46f27…
05-18 20:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x2f7f16…
05-18 20:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0xd25457…
05-18 20:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xc89a16…
05-18 20:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	122	85¢	$104	0x920d57…
05-18 20:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x052205…
05-18 19:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xbce603…
05-18 19:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2d0e88…
05-18 19:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	165	72¢	$118	0xf42ae9…
05-18 19:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0x9c8ef8…
05-18 19:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	143	75¢	$107	0x9ee937…
05-18 19:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x8faf35…
05-18 19:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	192	62¢	$120	0x4299e6…
05-18 19:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x3b8d62…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	56	$88.2K	1,778	06-01 04:51
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	51	$58.3K	6,658	05-22 17:55
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	51	$18.1K	2,834	05-19 20:23
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	51	$13.8K	2,235	05-22 15:02
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	49	$15.2K	459	05-19 20:24
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	49	$14.7K	4,394	05-19 20:24
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	49	$14.4K	4,281	05-19 20:24
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	49	$14.3K	4,037	05-19 20:24