Witty-Decadence-Tolerant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

+$194

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$751

1 position

First seen

2026-05-17

last 11-12 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

97% 23% -$110

Sports

3% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes		+800	$557	94¢	$751	+$194	10-05 16:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	16	$607	837	37	+800	open	—	10-05 16:54
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?	1	$92	99	0	+99	No	+$7	09-17 12:28
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	3	$90	125	0	+125	Yes	+$35	08-01 07:00
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	1	$62	100	0	+100	Ben Shelton	-$62	09-09 07:06
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	3	$55	45	45	+0	open	—	07-24 15:37
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	1	$41	48	0	+48	Yes	+$7	06-09 22:35
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$30	35	0	+35	Yes	+$5	05-17 10:10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	1	$28	50	0	+50	Yes	-$28	11-03 09:55
Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?	1	$17	100	0	+100	No	-$17	08-28 23:54
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	1	$16	50	0	+50	No	-$16	11-03 08:58
Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	1	$12	50	0	+50	No	-$12	11-03 08:58
atp wong paul 2026 08 30	3	$10	40	0	+40	Tommy Paul	-$10	08-29 00:23
Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	5	$10	385	385	+0	No	$0	06-09 22:19
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	40	40	+0	Yes	-$7	11-12 09:32
Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	2	$8	84	84	+0	No	-$2	05-31 23:19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	1	$4	50	0	+50	No	-$4	09-19 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 09:32:24	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xbcdc3f…
11-11 00:29:27	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xda1a66…
11-03 09:55:18	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xb5059a…
11-03 08:58:13	Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xd31d07…
11-03 08:58:01	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x9b747d…
10-05 16:54:35	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x51570d…
10-05 10:09:53	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x433d7b…
10-05 10:09:53	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	194	68¢	$132	0x306379…
09-30 02:34:59	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x5b8a9f…
09-29 11:22:53	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x52b732…
09-28 10:00:39	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa381f8…
09-27 09:40:51	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x356810…
09-27 04:12:02	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xc97641…
09-26 23:59:51	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x4e4f5e…
09-19 15:14:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x960e12…
09-17 12:28:10	Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?	No	BUY	99	93¢	$92	0x5bc399…
09-11 10:06:45	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	198	75¢	$149	0xa45ddc…
09-09 12:28:16	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xa084eb…
09-09 07:06:33	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x79d93b…
08-29 00:23:48	atp wong paul 2026 08 30	Coleman Wong	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9a652e…
08-29 00:22:42	atp wong paul 2026 08 30	Coleman Wong	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x866549…
08-29 00:22:37	atp wong paul 2026 08 30	Coleman Wong	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xad0259…
08-28 23:54:51	Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x21eec1…
08-01 07:00:48	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	35	67¢	$23	0x57c453…
07-31 19:56:38	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xc5d6ad…
07-24 15:37:18	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	45	54¢	$24	0xf2e0f5…
07-24 15:04:57	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	SELL	37	59¢	$22	0x2a68e8…
07-13 20:27:46	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0x698600…
06-27 07:55:43	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	27	80¢	$21	0xe01d16…
06-16 22:20:59	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x720f8d…
06-16 04:09:40	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3e9315…
06-12 13:51:18	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe4804d…
06-11 18:04:03	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x26ef6a…
06-11 18:04:00	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x636be6…
06-09 22:35:25	Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	48	85¢	$41	0x6880a1…
06-09 22:19:04	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	162	0¢	$0	0x3c3e3a…
05-31 23:19:33	Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	84	3¢	$3	0x0e1dc5…
05-23 17:29:02	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0xefd313…
05-23 13:17:54	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x285c03…
05-23 13:06:18	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x51a5c3…
05-17 10:10:44	Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x6e6f4d…
05-17 08:41:17	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x15c710…
05-17 08:41:10	Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0xd1b850…