Wrong-Dumbwaiter-Dozen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$126

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$358

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 09-01 08:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% -$126

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 19:15 UTC	2	$54	462	0	+462	Up	-$54	08-27 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:25 UTC	2	$26	18	18	+0	Up	+$6	08-25 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:05 UTC	2	$21	43	43	+0	Down	+$1	08-25 21:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:35 UTC	3	$15	47	13	+33	Down	-$1	08-25 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:10 UTC	3	$12	52	14	+39	Up	-$4	08-25 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:30 UTC	4	$12	75	25	+50	Down	$0	08-25 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 19:55 UTC	3	$12	32	15	+17	Up	$0	08-25 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:20 UTC	2	$11	27	27	+0	Down	+$3	08-25 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:50 UTC	2	$11	62	0	+62	Up	+$1	08-25 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:30 UTC	1	$10	36	0	+36	Down	-$10	08-25 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:15 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	08-25 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$9	15	12	+3	Down	-$3	09-01 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:05 UTC	2	$8	86	0	+86	Up	-$8	08-25 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	05-19 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:40 UTC	1	$7	12	0	+12	Down	-$7	08-25 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-19 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-19 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-19 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$6	10	6	+4	Up	+$0	05-19 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-20 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-19 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:25 UTC	1	$4	25	0	+25	Down	-$4	08-25 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$4	14	0	+14	Up	-$4	06-02 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:40 UTC	1	$4	19	0	+19	Down	-$4	08-25 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	1	$4	15	0	+15	Down	-$4	08-25 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$4	14	14	+0	Up	$0	05-19 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-20 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$3	9	0	+9	Down	+$2	05-19 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$3	9	0	+9	Down	-$3	05-19 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$3	7	0	+7	Down	-$3	05-19 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 08:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x45ed63…
09-01 08:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0xbfbceb…
09-01 08:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xeeae9c…
08-27 19:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x9f12b1…
08-27 19:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x90e2ff…
08-25 21:41:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xca269a…
08-25 21:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x74ca18…
08-25 21:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x24d45a…
08-25 21:27:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x76ae78…
08-25 21:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe10486…
08-25 21:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	43	25¢	$11	0x2c59fc…
08-25 21:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x6def4b…
08-25 21:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x39c9d0…
08-25 20:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7f3d7c…
08-25 20:53:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x512530…
08-25 20:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x7689fd…
08-25 20:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x54fdfa…
08-25 20:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xd2976a…
08-25 20:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xc916d5…
08-25 20:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x40b2d7…
08-25 20:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x8cc445…
08-25 20:32:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc49ad4…
08-25 20:32:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x31ce0b…
08-25 20:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x5b4508…
08-25 20:22:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0xbdbb4f…
08-25 20:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xb91281…
08-25 20:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x808723…
08-25 20:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0x7a3383…
08-25 20:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0x442792…
08-25 20:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xca53f6…
08-25 20:07:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0xbdd8bb…
08-25 20:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x2945cf…
08-25 20:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xe86eb4…
08-25 19:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9596ab…
08-25 19:56:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xc38309…
08-25 19:55:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x5ab977…
07-14 19:21:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x53d986…
06-02 19:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xab1039…
06-02 19:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5a2cdc…
06-02 19:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6ddab6…
06-02 19:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8d76f4…
05-21 12:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdc74d1…
05-20 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe5cd3b…
05-20 13:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x47ade0…
05-20 13:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5cdaf7…
05-20 13:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x049f03…
05-20 13:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2efea4…
05-20 13:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa069db…
05-20 13:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc9bd30…
05-20 13:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8732be…
05-20 13:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x119d40…
05-20 12:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb0d082…
05-20 12:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xc7f9dd…
05-20 12:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6b099b…
05-20 12:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xac88d1…
05-20 12:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x305b90…
05-20 09:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2ac8e0…
05-20 09:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8a515b…
05-20 09:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x275e7e…
05-20 09:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x420cbc…
05-20 09:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb49559…
05-20 09:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa950cf…
05-20 09:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa29c5a…
05-20 09:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe411f0…
05-20 09:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf09804…
05-20 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8003d6…
05-20 08:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x24d207…
05-20 08:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7462b6…
05-20 08:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd22341…
05-20 08:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfc0846…
05-20 08:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe84726…
05-20 08:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6cd4e6…
05-20 08:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x16140b…
05-20 08:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd2872f…
05-19 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x404b15…
05-19 19:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd3fe4e…
05-19 19:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x04117d…
05-19 19:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xeaea74…
05-19 19:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6f2234…
05-19 19:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xa5c47b…
05-19 19:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4d02f8…
05-19 19:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe31ced…
05-19 19:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x470c2a…
05-19 18:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe4e9d6…
05-19 18:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x642136…
05-19 18:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x495b0d…
05-19 18:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf49b7f…
05-19 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x08aeb0…
05-19 18:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1fe27d…
05-19 18:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7af71f…
05-19 18:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf8d471…
05-19 18:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa6efe9…
05-19 18:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8216e2…
05-19 18:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb5e61e…
05-19 18:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xce814e…
05-19 18:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0a2726…
05-19 15:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfa21ac…
05-19 15:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x344d8c…
05-19 15:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd9a566…
05-19 15:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x281cf0…