Mature-Tenor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-11 16:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

94% 99% -$4

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	25	+25	No	-$24	05-15 04:41
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 04:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-29 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 09:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 07:40
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 25c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:33
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:09
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 00:39
highest temperature in karachi on april 22 2026 33c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 15:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 07:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 15:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 07:15
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 50 51f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:01
highest temperature in los angeles on april 19 2026 70 71f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 02:14
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:41
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 66forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 00:42
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:15
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:32
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 36c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 01:30
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 11:59
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 16:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7df50c…
11-09 08:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6d48d2…
11-08 12:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x765a4b…
11-07 02:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x099acd…
11-05 16:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xb191ae…
11-04 02:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d8c5a…
11-03 15:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c5748…
11-02 13:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb05cb7…
10-31 17:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d61b4…
10-30 09:56:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6cf98…
10-29 08:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9b1ea…
10-28 07:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99ffd7…
10-27 08:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b63db…
10-26 09:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72b2f8…
10-24 10:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dfc17…
10-22 10:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6510a0…
10-20 04:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f9921…
10-19 08:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b0cb6…
10-18 08:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fdff6…
10-17 09:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f4383…
10-16 08:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93fc0d…
10-15 09:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44e48b…
10-14 09:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04e1e8…
10-13 08:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0159e…
10-12 08:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f65ff…
10-11 08:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x301d01…
10-08 08:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27812f…
10-07 13:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca672c…
10-06 07:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde1ec1…
10-04 10:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea891f…
10-03 05:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x220cb4…
10-02 07:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40e100…
10-01 08:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca3c9c…
09-30 12:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ed71d…
09-29 11:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2e854…
09-28 09:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc57bb4…
09-27 08:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30560d…
09-25 08:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53ea4b…
09-24 08:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38b4ef…
09-23 06:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5b3fd…
09-22 07:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb33f98…
09-21 08:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47bee8…
09-20 05:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x766c42…
09-19 07:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b469e…
09-18 01:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d86c5…
09-17 03:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecb4ad…
09-16 07:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb6509…
09-15 08:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95f24e…
09-14 08:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeae0c8…
09-12 10:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4465d4…
09-11 07:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e53ba…
09-10 02:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06f400…
09-09 09:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa375b5…
09-09 01:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7acdf4…
09-08 02:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa40b50…
09-07 08:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf035d0…
09-06 17:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb1633…
09-06 09:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ff25d…
09-05 09:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2b43b…
09-04 09:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05fe53…
09-03 09:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x552372…
09-02 06:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a9da1…
08-30 08:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbad36d…
08-29 07:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8934e7…
08-28 07:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee1a91…
08-27 07:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0f690…
08-26 08:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d5f0e…
08-25 08:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6be476…
08-24 09:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc6875…
08-23 14:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2d687…
08-22 07:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08e705…
08-21 06:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d1040…
08-20 08:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecda34…
08-19 08:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53d1ec…
08-18 06:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02a1fa…
08-17 07:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab1083…
08-16 11:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f88fc…
08-15 09:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9637c8…
08-14 06:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa18420…
08-13 07:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7247da…
08-12 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd15a55…
08-11 03:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7f520…
08-10 00:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc28d1…
08-09 01:14:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87413b…
08-08 07:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e3e01…
08-07 00:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa588e…
08-06 00:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2c1a7…
08-05 07:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e0627…
08-04 07:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x716a8e…
08-03 01:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fb130…
08-02 01:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf516ca…
08-01 06:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9deca…
07-31 07:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e947d…
07-30 06:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06d5c2…
07-29 06:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58d431…
07-28 06:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47aeae…
07-27 07:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41778b…
07-26 06:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90334f…
07-25 01:04:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefb71d…
07-24 09:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde97f9…