Trusting-Luck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$175

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-09 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 1?	2	$386	194	194	+0	open	—	06-01 18:24
solana above 60 on february 24	2	$343	172	172	+0	open	—	02-25 04:17
solana above 100 on january 31	2	$333	167	167	+0	open	—	01-31 14:47
xrp above 1 on june 10 2026	1	$197	199	0	+199	open	—	06-09 21:21
xrp above 1 on june 9 2026	1	$196	197	0	+197	open	—	06-08 15:24
xrp above 1 on june 5 2026	1	$195	196	0	+196	open	—	06-05 04:50
xrp above 1 on june 4 2026	1	$195	195	0	+195	open	—	06-04 04:52
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 3?	1	$194	195	0	+195	open	—	06-03 05:02
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 2?	1	$194	194	0	+194	open	—	06-01 18:25
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 29?	1	$192	192	0	+192	open	—	05-28 20:37
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 21?	1	$192	192	0	+192	open	—	05-21 04:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	1	$191	192	0	+192	open	—	05-20 04:27
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 19?	1	$191	191	0	+191	open	—	05-19 04:48
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 15?	1	$190	191	0	+191	open	—	05-15 04:46
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 14?	1	$190	190	0	+190	open	—	05-14 04:46
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 13?	1	$190	190	0	+190	Yes	+$0	05-13 04:48
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 12?	1	$189	190	0	+190	No	+$0	05-12 04:44
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 8?	1	$189	189	0	+189	No	+$0	05-08 04:37
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 7?	1	$189	189	0	+189	No	+$0	05-07 04:15
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 6?	1	$188	189	0	+189	No	+$0	05-06 04:12
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$187	188	0	+188	Yes	+$2	05-05 04:07
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 3?	1	$185	185	0	+185	open	—	05-03 10:32
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 4?	1	$185	187	0	+187	open	—	05-04 04:35
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 2?	1	$184	185	0	+185	open	—	05-02 06:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 1?	1	$184	184	0	+184	open	—	05-01 08:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	1	$183	183	0	+183	open	—	04-28 03:57
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 30?	2	$183	184	0	+184	open	—	04-30 04:35
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$183	183	0	+183	open	—	04-24 04:28
ethereum above 2000 on april 23	1	$182	183	0	+183	open	—	04-23 04:04
xrp above 1pt3 on april 22	1	$182	182	0	+182	open	—	04-22 04:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:21:03	xrp above 1 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	199	99¢	$197	0xa877a9…
06-08 15:24:43	xrp above 1 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	197	99¢	$196	0x1907d9…
06-05 04:50:04	xrp above 1 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	196	99¢	$195	0x070edc…
06-04 04:52:01	xrp above 1 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x651a8c…
06-03 05:02:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0xcc955a…
06-01 18:25:57	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x23a962…
06-01 18:24:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x44c12d…
05-31 19:45:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	194	99¢	$192	0x3957e9…
05-28 20:37:47	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0xf5bb69…
05-21 04:41:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 21?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0xa62e70…
05-20 04:27:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$191	0x2f7109…
05-19 04:48:56	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 19?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x5d5598…
05-15 04:46:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 15?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0x2edb06…
05-14 04:46:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 14?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x6df505…
05-13 04:48:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x12647c…
05-12 04:44:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 12?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x314618…
05-08 04:37:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 8?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x607ac7…
05-07 04:15:27	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 7?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0xb642b1…
05-06 04:12:12	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 6?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0x8e5c1c…
05-05 04:07:18	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	188	99¢	$187	0x3f2514…
05-04 04:35:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 4?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$185	0xdb56e6…
05-03 10:32:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 3?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xe03bb9…
05-02 06:08:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 2?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$184	0xe41c4e…
05-01 08:40:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xe55170…
04-30 04:35:44	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 30?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0xf86891…
04-30 04:35:14	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb2394f…
04-28 03:57:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x12c6dd…
04-24 04:28:00	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x10d461…
04-23 04:04:08	ethereum above 2000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x127634…
04-22 04:06:08	xrp above 1pt3 on april 22	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x5c827e…
04-21 04:19:24	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0x6c6547…
04-20 04:08:28	solana above 70 on april 20	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0x8e5afc…
04-18 04:23:10	xrp above 1pt7 on april 18	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xe787b8…
04-17 03:42:24	xrp above 1pt6 on april 17	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x6e95af…
04-16 04:09:22	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0xbe8f63…
04-15 04:11:08	solana above 70 on april 15	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xd3df2a…
04-14 04:07:17	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x5426db…
04-13 04:11:31	solana above 70 on april 13	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x19c2ea…
04-11 04:35:21	solana above 70 on april 11	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x1a6305…
04-10 04:23:49	bitcoin above 66k on april 10	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x47012b…
04-09 03:54:45	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xea3d06…
04-08 04:03:15	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xa09e3d…
04-07 04:10:27	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x0e38d3…
04-06 03:57:17	solana above 70 on april 6	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0x1acebb…
04-04 09:19:13	xrp above 1pt2 on april 4	Yes	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x65fdb1…
04-03 04:38:25	xrp above 1pt1 on april 3	Yes	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xe948a2…
04-02 04:59:07	ethereum above 1700 on april 2	Yes	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0x261771…
04-01 04:35:35	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x98ffe4…
03-31 04:04:23	xrp above 1pt1 on march 31	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x1772af…
03-30 04:00:14	xrp above 1pt1 on march 30	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x2be46c…
03-29 07:17:48	ethereum above 1800 on march 29	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x3bffff…
03-27 04:35:47	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$176	0x6ac0aa…
03-26 04:30:47	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x65a336…
03-25 04:16:27	xrp above 1pt2 on march 25	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x3f40f0…
03-24 04:04:53	xrp above 1pt2 on march 24	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x9cbec2…
03-23 04:41:41	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xb86943…
03-20 09:11:03	xrp above 1pt2 on march 20	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x3b856e…
03-19 04:22:27	xrp above 1pt2 on march 19	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x839684…
03-18 04:11:19	ethereum above 2000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xdbdca2…
03-17 04:26:47	ethereum above 2000 on march 17	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xc07c1b…
03-15 07:09:13	xrp above 1pt2 on march 16	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xcca116…
03-13 04:32:29	xrp above 1pt1 on march 13	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0xd259f9…
03-12 04:01:29	xrp above 1 on march 12	Yes	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xe1edd6…
03-11 04:16:05	xrp above 1pt2 on march 11	Yes	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xdf29b4…
03-09 16:29:01	bitcoin above 58k on march 10	Yes	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xe327ba…
03-06 05:05:39	xrp above 1pt2 on march 6	Yes	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x47f75b…
03-05 04:44:07	xrp above 1pt2 on march 5	Yes	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0xf6486e…
03-04 10:20:39	ethereum above 1700 on march 4	Yes	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0xc8a015…
03-03 05:28:53	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x9803bb…
02-28 06:52:11	solana above 60 on february 28	Yes	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0xb96047…
02-27 04:42:30	xrp above 1pt1 on february 27	Yes	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x8f13c5…
02-26 04:32:32	bitcoin above 62k on february 26	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x8efab7…
02-25 04:18:44	ethereum above 1600 on february 25	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x51a629…
02-25 04:17:10	solana above 60 on february 24	Yes	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x164183…
02-24 04:56:56	solana above 60 on february 24	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x5e5765…
02-20 05:43:20	ethereum above 1600 on february 20	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x81a47c…
02-19 05:32:52	ethereum above 1600 on february 19	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x00bfd5…
02-18 05:07:06	xrp above 1pt2 on february 18	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x194c34…
02-14 08:35:07	xrp above 1pt2 on february 14	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xe803db…
02-13 05:59:25	xrp above 1pt1 on february 13	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x09e4e7…
02-12 07:44:57	xrp above 1 on february 12	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x034aea…
02-11 07:44:37	xrp above 1pt2 on february 11	Yes	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x277511…
02-10 06:00:27	xrp above 1pt2 on february 10	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x5a98d2…
02-09 07:14:17	xrp above 1pt1 on february 9	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x5ef065…
02-04 06:30:22	solana above 80 on february 4	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x51d5a3…
02-03 04:29:34	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xd0d39e…
02-02 06:25:50	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0x71a089…
02-01 07:54:00	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x7082fb…
01-31 14:47:36	solana above 100 on january 31	Yes	SELL	167	99¢	$166	0xa99e3b…
01-31 06:34:24	solana above 100 on january 31	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x93d342…
01-30 05:23:10	solana above 90 on january 30	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x228940…
01-29 05:45:12	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x0bc4f9…
01-28 04:28:23	bitcoin above 84k on january 28	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x72acc1…
01-27 06:34:49	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0x9801fb…
01-26 07:56:05	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0xb63ec2…
01-25 10:53:08	xrp above 1pt8 on january 25	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x6218ff…
01-23 05:02:30	xrp above 1pt7 on january 23	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x748f56…
01-22 05:45:50	xrp above 1pt6 on january 22	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x6b6937…
01-21 05:56:40	xrp above 1pt7 on january 21	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0xd13851…
01-20 06:23:16	bitcoin above 86k on january 20	Yes	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x0c19a3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	52	$2.63K	1,042	04-16 13:54
Bony-Flag 0x8eeb…a4d1	46	$27.3K	186	06-09 14:42
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	45	$2.65K	1,131	06-09 17:07
Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac	44	$818	819	06-04 12:52
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	43	$7.10K	188	06-09 17:07
0x7242eae4a7b72d60d55019234c39a6a138b12ddb 0xb39c…1315	43	$4.18K	417	04-27 15:25
Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316	42	$1.99K	249	05-28 04:26
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	40	$121.0K	2,534	04-27 16:19