Realized P&L
+$1.15K
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
84.0%
Resolved
1,646
Trades
2,389
lifetime
Volume
$16.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$40
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 07-23 21:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
73% 61% +$689
Politics
17% 75% +$266
Sports
6% 70% +$119
Pop-Culture
1% 90% +$91
Tech
1% 67% -$16
Crypto
1% 56% +$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +15 $13 100¢ $15 +$2 05-21 06:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? No +12 $11 87¢ $10 -$1 05-26 02:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? No +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$1 05-25 06:12
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-23 21:16
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 5¢ $0 -$5 05-21 02:05