Horrible-Grandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

736

Trades

782

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-07 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 71% -$19

Politics

16% 50% -$3

Other

2% 0% -$1

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	27	$123	132	132	+0	No	+$2	10-07 06:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	10	$36	41	41	+0	No	-$5	10-04 20:50
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	6	$23	30	30	+0	San Jose State	-$1	10-04 05:51
Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	10-03 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	-$4	09-09 04:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-28 02:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-28 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	09-07 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	09-08 00:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-27 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	09-07 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	09-07 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	-$2	05-27 21:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	-$2	05-28 01:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-28 02:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-28 03:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-30 06:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Up	-$2	05-28 01:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-27 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	09-07 01:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-27 22:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-28 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	09-07 01:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-27 20:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	-$2	05-28 03:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	05-28 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	09-07 13:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-27 19:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-27 16:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-27 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 06:04:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	41	85¢	$35	0x45b4c8…
10-07 06:04:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x50ad35…
10-04 20:50:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x6b071a…
10-04 20:50:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x3cc1b7…
10-04 20:38:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x59bbb8…
10-04 20:38:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x03a81f…
10-04 20:32:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x224c32…
10-04 20:30:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	No	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xacf940…
10-04 20:30:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	16	52¢	$9	0x5f2cdf…
10-04 20:12:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x2b60fe…
10-04 20:08:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xd1c0f3…
10-04 20:03:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x15542e…
10-04 14:15:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$1	0x5eba6d…
10-04 14:01:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xe5cbb6…
10-04 14:01:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x6f971e…
10-04 09:25:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6af98b…
10-04 09:02:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x72dfb9…
10-04 09:00:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xc8af62…
10-04 08:59:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3875c0…
10-04 05:51:25	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	San Jose State	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xe61688…
10-04 05:28:05	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	Hawai'i	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x3dfb2b…
10-04 05:22:55	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	Hawai'i	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xf3a1ea…
10-04 05:13:40	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	Hawai'i	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6a35f4…
10-04 05:09:43	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	San Jose State	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x594dfb…
10-04 05:09:04	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	Hawai'i	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x80ca7d…
10-04 05:05:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xefa2ab…
10-04 04:52:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x16df2b…
10-04 04:52:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x655f66…
10-03 16:53:45	Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x562e7f…
10-03 16:52:57	Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x56ff25…
09-16 11:37:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4d78ac…
09-16 11:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe0dbc2…
09-16 09:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe62557…
09-15 16:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6a6b53…
09-15 15:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc9fea3…
09-15 15:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcea8c6…
09-15 15:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbe834d…
09-15 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2d280e…
09-15 14:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcb827a…
09-15 14:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6ff04b…
09-15 14:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5a08ec…
09-15 14:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd17825…
09-15 14:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf291ac…
09-15 14:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb3e97a…
09-15 14:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8657d2…
09-15 14:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0d3b94…
09-15 13:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xce4614…
09-15 13:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x95b6da…
09-15 13:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x46308b…
09-15 12:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0e9565…
09-15 12:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd20973…
09-15 12:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd41737…
09-15 12:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb8382c…
09-15 12:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x83c5d8…
09-15 12:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x75b4b9…
09-15 11:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3074ab…
09-15 10:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa6ee3f…
09-15 10:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb5ea19…
09-15 09:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x485304…
09-15 09:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7a2f24…
09-15 09:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8f6931…
09-15 09:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9fb25c…
09-15 08:26:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7332b3…
09-15 08:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7b9b5b…
09-15 07:57:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb47434…
09-15 07:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x224bcb…
09-15 06:56:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xec1af6…
09-15 05:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6785a1…
09-15 05:36:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xebb513…
09-15 05:17:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xda09b4…
09-15 04:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe98df8…
09-15 04:36:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe9b582…
09-15 03:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x797ebc…
09-15 03:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8a5108…
09-15 02:16:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9cf5e0…
09-15 01:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5e916c…
09-15 01:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x561010…
09-15 00:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdb862b…
09-14 23:06:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0c5bf2…
09-14 22:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa8fce0…
09-14 22:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x872195…
09-14 22:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x97e79e…
09-14 22:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x755f69…
09-14 21:53:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x98893e…
09-14 21:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbb2b4e…
09-14 21:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x057d96…
09-14 21:26:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x83cd62…
09-14 21:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9decb0…
09-14 19:36:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x19ba19…
09-14 19:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdece77…
09-14 19:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe85e4b…
09-14 18:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xca1f82…
09-14 18:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xacc944…
09-14 18:41:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x22c0ae…
09-14 18:36:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x66465c…
09-14 18:01:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2cfc5a…
09-14 17:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xff93f9…
09-14 17:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x471973…
09-14 17:07:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xab9065…
09-14 17:01:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0b5b6c…