Muffled-Monopoly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$201

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

381

Trades

809

lifetime

Volume

$4.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 07-01 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% -$203

Other

1% 50% +$3

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$165	152	92	+61	Down	+$22	05-19 02:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	7	$93	101	30	+71	Up	+$10	05-19 07:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$78	163	59	+104	Up	+$14	05-19 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$69	36	36	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$65	69	60	+9	Down	+$9	05-20 18:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$61	46	46	+0	Up	+$30	05-19 07:44
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$52	29	29	+0	Down	+$2	05-23 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$51	34	34	+0	Up	+$12	05-23 08:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$50	27	27	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$49	32	32	+0	Up	+$15	05-20 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$47	69	28	+41	Up	-$9	05-21 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$45	42	26	+17	Down	+$1	05-23 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$44	35	35	+0	Up	+$5	05-23 07:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$43	84	0	+84	Down	-$43	05-19 08:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$42	27	27	+0	Down	+$10	05-19 07:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$38	76	20	+56	Up	-$34	05-20 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$36	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	05-19 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$36	125	25	+100	Up	+$10	05-28 01:23
CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5	2	$33	18	18	+0	Over	+$4	05-24 01:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$32	24	24	+0	Up	+$8	05-24 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$30	18	18	+0	Down	+$5	05-23 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-22 23:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$30	58	0	+58	Down	-$30	05-19 08:22
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$30	42	0	+42	Down	+$12	05-19 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$30	59	0	+59	Up	-$30	05-23 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	05-23 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$28	133	21	+112	Up	+$2	05-20 20:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$28	49	0	+49	Down	-$28	05-28 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 16:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x120e9b…
07-01 16:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa7c2b4…
07-01 16:29:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x904af4…
07-01 16:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x6bb7dc…
07-01 16:21:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb2397a…
07-01 16:20:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa35ae8…
07-01 16:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x7d0c35…
07-01 16:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xafe952…
07-01 16:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x1384c5…
07-01 16:18:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb75b58…
07-01 16:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x61dcc6…
07-01 16:16:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3acf00…
07-01 16:14:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x997be0…
07-01 16:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x825141…
07-01 16:12:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb47562…
07-01 16:11:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x84c329…
07-01 16:10:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x179a09…
07-01 16:09:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3db340…
07-01 16:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x496ce0…
05-31 21:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdd13ad…
05-31 20:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x84420f…
05-31 20:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x99f10f…
05-31 20:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x957ee9…
05-31 20:35:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf949ff…
05-31 20:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xee11de…
05-31 20:24:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x161df9…
05-31 19:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x7e4b28…
05-31 19:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0xf12d96…
05-31 19:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9708b4…
05-31 19:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x2f104d…
05-31 19:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1105ae…
05-31 19:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb9f653…
05-31 16:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x7397b1…
05-31 16:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd1293e…
05-31 16:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xf8c1b7…
05-31 16:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x389701…
05-31 16:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x341404…
05-31 16:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xea8209…
05-31 16:23:58	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x8984a3…
05-31 16:20:56	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x174872…
05-31 16:16:05	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbaa9bc…
05-31 16:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb40e59…
05-31 16:14:29	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5cb850…
05-31 16:12:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcfcf3c…
05-31 01:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb68c0a…
05-31 01:05:58	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xc670e2…
05-31 01:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2e9a61…
05-31 01:00:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbcd50d…
05-31 00:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x604109…
05-31 00:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6e3ab8…
05-31 00:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0x1999cd…
05-31 00:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7508f9…
05-31 00:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0xb15c27…
05-31 00:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x968759…
05-31 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x9bb7a9…
05-31 00:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0f9958…
05-31 00:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x7b0f1c…
05-31 00:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0x838168…
05-31 00:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb28902…
05-31 00:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xa3e5fc…
05-30 23:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x95d979…
05-30 22:32:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb2bbd8…
05-30 22:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x453b7a…
05-30 22:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x6a886a…
05-30 22:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xa80e2d…
05-30 22:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x41fbc3…
05-30 22:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x19948d…
05-30 03:15:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xc22ba8…
05-30 03:11:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x36126c…
05-30 03:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa19cd6…
05-30 03:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xab1f3f…
05-30 02:01:27	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xad2924…
05-30 02:00:30	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x49577c…
05-30 01:59:16	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6f61a3…
05-30 01:55:44	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x85d251…
05-30 01:53:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x474d19…
05-30 01:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3f6c75…
05-30 01:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2a67b1…
05-30 01:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5a7eef…
05-30 01:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x82ac4f…
05-30 01:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3eaded…
05-30 01:40:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc27453…
05-30 01:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xc9c92e…
05-30 01:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2a08f8…
05-28 22:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0x0a2b8d…
05-28 22:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x56dce9…
05-28 22:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x116bf4…
05-28 22:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0e17ef…
05-28 22:27:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x969360…
05-28 22:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4466d0…
05-28 22:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7570fc…
05-28 22:24:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x5da33d…
05-28 22:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x289fad…
05-28 22:21:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa3933e…
05-28 22:20:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8c441e…
05-28 22:20:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xed98aa…
05-28 22:19:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdf6401…
05-28 22:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x22943a…
05-28 22:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x0439c0…
05-28 22:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	88¢	$28	0x9e187f…