Sweet-Oldie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$931

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 07-06 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

55% 18% +$4,292

Other

43% 0% -$4,915

Sports

2% 0% -$295

Crypto

0% 0% -$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$3.7K	4,627	4,627	+0	Yes	+$2,944	04-07 22:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$2.7K	10,007	10,007	+0	Yes	+$2,310	04-07 22:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$2.0K	18,511	2,500	+16,011	No	-$1,596	04-10 17:57
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	6	$755	8,464	2,463	+6,001	No	-$457	04-08 10:48
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$619	2,524	524	+2,000	No	-$421	04-13 03:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$440	550	550	+0	Yes	+$242	04-07 22:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	5	$423	15,536	2,736	+12,800	No	-$306	04-13 03:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$400	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$400	04-14 22:53
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	6	$296	4,078	0	+4,078	No	-$296	05-09 22:23
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$295	28,540	0	+28,540	No	-$295	07-06 03:04
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$277	5,607	607	+5,000	No	-$237	04-13 03:28
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	2	$244	2,605	0	+2,605	No	-$244	04-17 22:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$210	33,333	3,333	+30,000	No	-$190	04-17 21:02
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	3	$202	774	774	+0	No	-$23	04-10 06:24
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	2	$192	2,313	313	+2,000	No	-$162	04-08 18:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$178	6,475	1,475	+5,000	No	-$125	04-08 18:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$175	3,500	0	+3,500	No	-$175	04-08 14:09
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$161	11,067	0	+11,067	No	-$161	04-19 00:32
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$143	7,610	579	+7,031	No	-$119	04-13 03:31
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$134	5,686	597	+5,089	No	-$106	04-13 03:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$122	20,407	0	+20,407	No	-$122	04-14 22:53
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	1	$116	1,080	0	+1,080	No	-$116	05-09 22:20
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$115	8,393	436	+7,957	No	-$97	04-13 03:36
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$109	6,039	0	+6,039	No	-$109	04-10 06:27
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$109	17,205	665	+16,540	No	-$103	04-19 00:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$100	4,102	0	+4,102	No	-$100	04-08 18:27
will wti crude oil settle at 100110 on april 8	1	$99	2,033	0	+2,033	No	-$99	04-08 13:54
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$79	8,635	529	+8,106	No	-$71	04-13 03:33
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$76	11,708	476	+11,232	No	-$70	04-17 21:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$74	5,055	0	+5,055	No	-$74	04-19 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 03:04:08	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,938	0¢	$2	0x5e51b5…
05-11 14:03:02	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26,602	1¢	$293	0xf5f42b…
05-09 22:23:56	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x5d2ad9…
05-09 22:23:54	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	8¢	$5	0x418ed5…
05-09 22:23:11	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	8¢	$68	0xab2d60…
05-09 22:23:00	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$75	0x8cd319…
05-09 22:22:30	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,231	7¢	$88	0xd10fdf…
05-09 22:21:17	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	878	7¢	$60	0x2205e4…
05-09 22:20:16	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,080	11¢	$116	0x6b9293…
04-21 15:09:22	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	Yes	BUY	762	1¢	$9	0x9bc509…
04-21 15:08:20	will trump say gay during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x3b272f…
04-21 15:07:40	will trump say reasonable during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	Yes	BUY	272	2¢	$5	0xcd54fe…
04-21 15:07:22	will trump say khamenei or khomeini during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$4	0x944e2a…
04-21 15:06:58	will trump say gulf of america or gulf of trump during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0xc6f568…
04-21 15:05:40	will trump say gay during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	Yes	BUY	904	1¢	$7	0x41daa4…
04-21 15:05:18	will trump say eight wars or eighth war during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	Yes	BUY	188	1¢	$2	0x331928…
04-21 15:04:50	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xb234cd…
04-19 22:37:50	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	372	2¢	$9	0x000ff9…
04-19 00:38:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	1¢	$40	0x315fae…
04-19 00:33:22	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x57edf8…
04-19 00:32:48	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xd8ab92…
04-19 00:32:22	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8,500	0¢	$17	0x615fde…
04-19 00:31:14	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	602	1¢	$6	0x090b37…
04-17 22:09:44	U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	Yes	BUY	689	3¢	$18	0x6715a2…
04-17 21:07:22	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x658549…
04-17 21:03:16	Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x0857f4…
04-17 21:02:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,333	0¢	$10	0x4c21ff…
04-14 22:53:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20,407	1¢	$122	0xa5bc55…
04-14 22:53:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33,333	1¢	$200	0x84093a…
04-14 22:53:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$400	0x38d876…
04-13 03:37:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,409	1¢	$26	0x4c20b0…
04-13 03:36:59	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xf9999d…
04-13 03:36:29	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	475	1¢	$5	0x897c0b…
04-13 03:33:45	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0xf46da7…
04-13 03:33:05	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,106	0¢	$10	0xad93d2…
04-13 03:32:47	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,040	0¢	$19	0x7b2b5f…
04-13 03:32:29	Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,232	1¢	$7	0xa4b75f…
04-13 03:31:47	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,557	1¢	$22	0x003ed3…
04-13 03:31:15	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,014	1¢	$20	0xbf88e3…
04-13 03:31:05	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,031	1¢	$21	0x0ad9d7…
04-13 03:30:43	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,614	1¢	$15	0x6445be…
04-13 03:28:23	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	607	3¢	$20	0x1c645c…
04-13 03:28:07	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	524	19¢	$99	0xa69f93…
04-13 03:27:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	2,046	2¢	$35	0x456df3…
04-13 03:22:31	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,524	21¢	$520	0xe6f155…
04-13 03:22:09	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	5,607	5¢	$257	0x7c3534…
04-11 10:47:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,055	3¢	$34	0xa7d75a…
04-10 17:57:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,011	9¢	$271	0x903dea…
04-10 17:57:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	2,846	3¢	$74	0x24b53f…
04-10 06:27:29	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6,039	2¢	$109	0xd36e23…
04-10 06:24:57	Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	685	8¢	$55	0xdbf0bc…
04-09 22:57:33	U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,916	12¢	$225	0x5ef110…
04-09 22:57:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,500	9¢	$225	0x0c4dc8…
04-09 20:37:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15,500	10¢	$1,550	0xc3b6b1…
04-09 18:28:37	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	958	4¢	$35	0xa7928c…
04-09 13:51:59	Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	89	39¢	$35	0x1bd3bf…
04-09 09:19:57	Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	774	15¢	$112	0x59b93a…
04-08 18:27:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,174	2¢	$50	0x0df2cb…
04-08 18:25:43	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,475	2¢	$27	0x6b56d1…
04-08 18:25:05	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	313	5¢	$15	0xc8cf0b…
04-08 18:24:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	690	3¢	$24	0x39572f…
04-08 14:09:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,928	3¢	$50	0x5443d6…
04-08 14:09:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,500	5¢	$175	0xc37667…
04-08 13:56:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	4,460	2¢	$96	0x89cf33…
04-08 13:54:15	will wti crude oil settle at 100110 on april 8	Yes	BUY	2,033	5¢	$99	0xcc1ea1…
04-08 13:53:15	will hegseth say cia during press conference	Yes	BUY	325	8¢	$25	0x850f97…
04-08 10:48:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	8,230	2¢	$194	0x9e3b9c…
04-08 10:48:31	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	6¢	$120	0x429742…
04-08 10:47:31	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	665	0¢	$3	0x85f453…
04-08 10:47:07	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	529	1¢	$4	0x6bfc5d…
04-08 10:46:45	Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	476	1¢	$3	0xc00001…
04-08 10:45:25	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	579	2¢	$12	0x8c843f…
04-08 10:44:33	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	436	2¢	$9	0x24400d…
04-08 10:43:57	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	597	2¢	$14	0x44c263…
04-08 10:43:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	463	6¢	$29	0x443865…
04-08 01:43:39	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6,475	2¢	$151	0xaf51d4…
04-08 00:15:35	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,313	8¢	$177	0x8e1e67…
04-08 00:07:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,323	9¢	$300	0x287cb4…
04-07 23:03:39	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,268	6¢	$200	0x19ca02…
04-07 23:02:31	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,580	2¢	$110	0x4ee16c…
04-07 23:01:47	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,529	1¢	$65	0xf84774…
04-07 23:01:29	Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,476	1¢	$60	0x360e99…
04-07 23:01:15	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,665	2¢	$70	0xc06cfa…
04-07 23:00:47	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,436	1¢	$80	0x84c6f2…
04-07 23:00:21	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,597	3¢	$100	0x108db5…
04-07 22:59:53	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,053	3¢	$131	0x89de51…
04-07 22:36:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	862	66¢	$569	0xd25feb…
04-07 22:35:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,139	73¢	$831	0xd84241…
04-07 22:33:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	4,001	80¢	$3,200	0x3d389e…
04-07 22:20:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	550	62¢	$341	0xc4bbf9…
04-07 22:04:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	2,083	37¢	$777	0xb86f77…
04-07 21:26:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,000	17¢	$174	0x810f12…
04-07 15:40:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	3,084	3¢	$106	0x985c79…
04-07 15:38:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	626	17¢	$106	0xea40ea…
04-07 01:52:03	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,159	5¢	$60	0x316511…
04-06 11:11:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	423	18¢	$76	0x6e0f92…
04-06 11:11:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,600	4¢	$72	0xb4ff69…
04-05 22:55:39	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	714	6¢	$46	0x4d1f2d…
04-05 21:35:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	870	10¢	$87	0x488be0…
04-05 21:35:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	3,323	2¢	$83	0x04988e…