Dishonest-Nail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$95.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$623

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-03 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 100% +$28

Politics

14% — —

Other

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$4.0K	2,028	2,028	+0	open	—	04-01 14:32
ethereum above 2100 on march 9	1	$3.7K	3,717	0	+3,717	open	—	03-09 13:22
ethereum above 2100 on march 8	1	$3.7K	3,680	0	+3,680	open	—	03-08 12:50
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	1	$3.6K	3,605	0	+3,605	open	—	06-10 02:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	7	$3.5K	3,600	0	+3,600	open	—	06-03 19:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	1	$3.4K	3,460	0	+3,460	open	—	05-18 12:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$3.4K	3,424	0	+3,424	Yes	+$7	05-11 00:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	1	$3.4K	3,400	0	+3,400	open	—	05-16 14:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$3.4K	3,400	0	+3,400	open	—	05-14 20:59
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$3.2K	3,230	0	+3,230	open	—	05-19 19:45
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$3.0K	3,051	0	+3,051	open	—	04-01 14:32
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$3.0K	3,005	0	+3,005	open	—	05-12 11:59
bitcoin above 66k on march 11	2	$2.6K	2,662	0	+2,662	open	—	03-11 12:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	3	$2.5K	2,524	0	+2,524	Yes	+$20	05-06 01:27
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	23	$2.3K	2,405	0	+2,405	open	—	04-15 12:01
bitcoin above 68k on march 13	1	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	03-13 08:50
bitcoin above 66k on march 12	1	$2.0K	2,032	0	+2,032	open	—	03-12 10:44
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 11	1	$2.0K	2,007	0	+2,007	open	—	03-12 02:57
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$2.0K	2,014	0	+2,014	open	—	05-20 16:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-19 00:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	2	$2.0K	1,999	0	+1,999	open	—	05-19 13:42
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	4	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-28 00:25
ethereum above 1800 on march 7	1	$1.8K	1,767	0	+1,767	open	—	03-07 10:57
bitcoin above 68k on march 24	1	$1.6K	1,610	0	+1,610	open	—	03-24 15:24
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	2	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	04-09 19:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 22	1	$1.5K	1,550	0	+1,550	open	—	03-21 20:34
bitcoin above 74k on march 20	8	$1.5K	1,540	0	+1,540	open	—	03-20 07:43
bitcoin above 78k on march 17	1	$1.5K	1,524	0	+1,524	open	—	03-17 13:17
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	7	$1.5K	1,522	0	+1,522	open	—	03-23 11:06
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	5	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	03-19 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:22:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	3,605	100¢	$3,601	0xb051af…
06-03 19:19:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3,148	97¢	$3,038	0x6cc7d1…
06-03 19:17:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0xc6fd2b…
06-03 19:10:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x4e49d3…
06-03 19:10:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2c3c32…
06-03 19:06:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0x4bb67a…
06-03 19:05:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$41	0xca492e…
06-03 19:05:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	202	97¢	$195	0x8239e2…
05-20 16:31:12	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,230	100¢	$1,228	0x18beef…
05-20 16:30:46	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,014	99¢	$2,000	0xc190ba…
05-19 19:45:33	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3,230	100¢	$3,224	0xd65947…
05-19 13:42:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	930	100¢	$927	0x29d765…
05-19 13:36:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,066	0xeb5c9e…
05-19 01:39:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1,227	99¢	$1,212	0xf808d0…
05-19 00:51:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xaafb84…
05-19 00:48:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x5a09fc…
05-18 12:58:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6255c6…
05-18 12:57:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3,460	100¢	$3,450	0x743567…
05-16 14:31:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3,400	100¢	$3,393	0xa64589…
05-14 20:59:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,400	100¢	$3,383	0x6ab15a…
05-12 11:59:32	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,991	0x156248…
05-12 11:57:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5c5fa9…
05-11 00:35:37	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x83d392…
05-11 00:35:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3,424	100¢	$3,417	0x8aa06f…
05-06 01:27:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	812	99¢	$806	0xfb5397…
05-06 00:59:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0xb179ff…
05-05 21:14:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,524	99¢	$1,511	0x35bbec…
05-02 23:48:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,161	100¢	$1,160	0x4da7e0…
05-02 17:02:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xb58f26…
05-02 17:02:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$184	0xa51ab7…
05-02 17:02:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	234	99¢	$232	0x8d5c0b…
05-02 17:02:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xf4eaed…
05-02 17:02:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa09d9b…
05-02 17:00:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xe5ab34…
05-02 16:58:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	290	99¢	$288	0x8c71a0…
05-02 16:56:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xe7421d…
05-02 08:42:32	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	278	100¢	$278	0x4516f4…
05-02 05:05:08	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$322	0x49a711…
05-02 02:24:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	440	100¢	$439	0x0f3a96…
05-02 01:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x5ed715…
04-28 00:26:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	794	100¢	$792	0x9ed3ec…
04-28 00:25:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	1,200	66¢	$792	0x236fc2…
04-27 15:17:32	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	185	95¢	$176	0x2fa213…
04-15 19:14:10	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	738	88¢	$649	0x5c851c…
04-15 19:03:56	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x53ae85…
04-15 18:07:46	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	444	88¢	$391	0x210035…
04-15 12:01:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xf58f68…
04-15 10:18:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	147	96¢	$141	0x3a2345…
04-15 09:55:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0xbb3732…
04-15 09:52:44	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	113	96¢	$108	0x6585b0…
04-15 09:52:28	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x90ef5d…
04-15 07:31:54	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x5f5ea2…
04-15 06:59:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$52	0xec9170…
04-15 06:47:26	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xa827b3…
04-09 19:40:51	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	1,550	98¢	$1,519	0xfe011c…
04-09 19:39:55	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2ef345…
04-04 08:22:23	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbcbf1b…
04-04 08:08:51	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	108	95¢	$103	0xffc9d3…
04-04 05:13:37	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	117	95¢	$111	0xcefd81…
04-04 01:38:25	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0x9e500e…
04-03 23:42:27	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0x7ba471…
04-03 22:10:39	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x888068…
04-03 21:53:05	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	89	95¢	$85	0xaa3bc3…
04-03 18:29:35	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	112	95¢	$106	0x8ed71b…
04-03 17:58:05	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x3ead66…
04-03 17:56:03	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	114	95¢	$108	0xf312e9…
04-03 17:45:35	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x8de1ee…
04-03 17:39:43	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0xd7ba5b…
04-03 17:23:25	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x791e25…
04-03 17:22:27	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0x572902…
04-02 13:03:45	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	631	98¢	$618	0x6b1455…
04-02 13:03:29	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xac3008…
04-02 13:03:29	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5f3434…
04-02 13:03:19	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbeadd3…
04-02 13:03:13	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x70ba52…
04-02 13:02:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xeeeeac…
04-02 13:02:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1fb7fc…
04-02 13:02:49	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xadf3a9…
04-02 13:02:19	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xbed953…
04-02 13:02:17	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x9ac0ea…
04-02 13:02:17	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x88e83e…
04-02 13:02:17	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x25d400…
04-02 13:02:07	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfa1172…
04-01 14:32:49	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3,051	99¢	$3,024	0xc39173…
04-01 14:32:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	2,028	100¢	$2,024	0x34740f…
03-25 10:54:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	2,028	99¢	$2,010	0x304ed7…
03-24 15:24:21	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	1,610	100¢	$1,608	0x7c73ce…
03-23 11:06:53	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	1,422	96¢	$1,368	0xf41bc5…
03-23 11:06:29	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x335e82…
03-23 11:06:27	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x13be3c…
03-23 10:21:57	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0539ba…
03-23 10:21:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd825d0…
03-23 10:21:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x806208…
03-23 10:11:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xba979f…
03-21 20:34:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 22	No	BUY	1,550	100¢	$1,544	0x583cdf…
03-20 07:43:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 20	No	BUY	159	99¢	$158	0x77436c…
03-20 07:41:39	bitcoin above 74k on march 20	No	BUY	440	99¢	$436	0x8a38f0…
03-20 07:40:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 20	No	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0xd31f3d…
03-20 07:40:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 20	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x7b3b2e…
03-20 07:28:11	bitcoin above 74k on march 20	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x63863d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	46	$185.5K	2,823	06-09 22:24
Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd	46	$952	102	06-06 07:36
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	42	$1.54K	42	05-19 18:09
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	41	$54.0K	619	05-19 15:20
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	40	$558.7K	4,101	05-19 13:33
Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316	39	$17.5K	1,414	05-19 14:55
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	37	$811	373	03-27 09:44
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	36	$161.4K	1,735	05-19 15:01