Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.09K

Unrealized P&L

+$446

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$1.77K

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 10-28 22:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

91% 58% +$3,980

Tech

9% 75% +$113

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes		+2,085	$1,197	72¢	$1.5K	+$315	10-27 07:26
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes		+329	$128	79¢	$260	+$132	10-28 16:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	8	$4.2K	3,250	1,950	+1,300	No	+$459	09-18 06:59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	46	$3.6K	3,100	3,100	+0	Yes	+$1,702	10-24 08:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	32	$3.1K	4,000	1,500	+2,500	No	+$614	10-18 18:57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	14	$2.2K	2,117	1,174	+943	No	-$15	09-16 21:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	15	$2.0K	2,900	2,775	+125	No	-$92	10-19 14:51
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	5	$1.9K	2,069	16	+2,053	No	+$204	10-27 19:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	7	$1.2K	2,085	0	+2,085	open	—	10-27 07:26
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	11	$1.1K	1,235	0	+1,235	No	+$152	10-28 22:35
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	1	$900	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$900	08-09 10:43
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	5	$747	533	420	+113	Yes	+$114	10-11 11:02
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	89	$742	1,073	1,068	+5	No	+$29	10-15 03:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	19	$671	1,492	1,492	+0	No	-$149	09-18 05:37
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	11	$528	839	0	+839	Yes	+$311	10-11 17:48
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	16	$477	1,146	1,146	+0	No	-$332	10-09 03:07
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	11	$387	486	486	+0	open	—	10-03 22:52
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	8	$348	600	600	+0	Yes	-$48	09-16 12:45
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$210	357	0	+357	Yes	+$147	10-05 02:18
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	4	$207	195	195	+0	open	—	10-01 15:53
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	3	$183	300	300	+0	No	-$33	10-06 02:35
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	19	$170	374	0	+374	No	+$204	10-19 09:43
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	1	$128	329	0	+329	open	—	10-28 16:04
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 14 2026	8	$123	965	965	+0	No	-$111	10-15 00:03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	7	$87	79	79	+0	open	—	10-03 18:54
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	3	$72	153	153	+0	open	—	10-03 18:53
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	8	$48	600	600	+0	No	-$18	10-09 03:06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	22	$37	1,930	1,930	+0	No	+$2	10-18 11:18
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	1	$24	81	0	+81	Yes	+$57	10-18 01:18
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	8	$11	500	500	+0	No	-$6	10-08 21:56
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	4	$9	34	34	+0	Yes	+$3	09-08 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:35:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7f32ff…
10-28 22:34:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xe47840…
10-28 22:34:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$11	0x300353…
10-28 22:34:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x9ae6d7…
10-28 22:33:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	163	85¢	$139	0x0f3dde…
10-28 16:05:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	705	88¢	$622	0xfa5552…
10-28 16:04:58	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	329	39¢	$128	0x92b2a9…
10-28 16:02:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xa081e1…
10-28 16:02:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x4d68c0…
10-28 16:02:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xe2dc86…
10-28 16:02:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x84ce42…
10-28 16:02:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x701701…
10-27 19:49:56	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	900	90¢	$810	0x2bb49c…
10-27 19:49:53	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x36601d…
10-27 19:49:51	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,142	90¢	$1,028	0xc20e3a…
10-27 07:26:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xe83296…
10-27 07:26:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	42¢	$17	0xad0cd8…
10-27 07:26:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x2ff296…
10-26 18:18:42	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x87af88…
10-26 18:09:53	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x9309c7…
10-26 17:58:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	42¢	$19	0x3329c2…
10-24 08:05:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	302	90¢	$271	0x476ab6…
10-24 08:04:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	90¢	$110	0x1061b5…
10-24 07:57:27	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x878aac…
10-24 07:50:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xec40fe…
10-24 07:50:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x955083…
10-24 07:50:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x873318…
10-24 07:50:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x7e0552…
10-24 07:50:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x74dfaa…
10-24 07:50:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x6d4869…
10-24 07:50:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x1191cb…
10-24 07:50:38	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xc47de5…
10-24 07:50:38	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x6eb809…
10-24 07:50:38	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x4c84de…
10-24 07:50:36	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,691	90¢	$1,522	0x7b4e05…
10-23 15:58:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,889	59¢	$1,114	0x90a6bd…
10-19 14:51:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	475	30¢	$143	0x6abafa…
10-19 09:43:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x399868…
10-19 06:14:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0x37d766…
10-19 04:56:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0xb6fa17…
10-19 04:05:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe5a175…
10-19 02:30:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x1fc761…
10-18 18:57:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	469	59¢	$276	0x9cb293…
10-18 18:55:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8fe22b…
10-18 17:44:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0x82bb31…
10-18 17:38:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x35ca97…
10-18 17:36:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9313c4…
10-18 17:18:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x45b559…
10-18 16:27:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x3fb6b8…
10-18 16:25:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x955e7a…
10-18 16:25:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x85d0d2…
10-18 16:24:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x16ad2d…
10-18 16:21:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xc925f4…
10-18 16:21:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa26125…
10-18 16:17:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x244b3b…
10-18 16:16:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0xd3d309…
10-18 16:15:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x728c17…
10-18 16:15:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x0c47e1…
10-18 11:18:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,930	1¢	$19	0x840d8b…
10-18 06:11:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,792	60¢	$1,075	0x116c25…
10-18 06:08:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	79	60¢	$47	0xc4abda…
10-18 04:46:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	129	59¢	$76	0x0f00bc…
10-18 03:03:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	35¢	$29	0x4128ba…
10-18 02:53:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	35¢	$36	0x6c93cf…
10-18 02:15:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x4c8b1d…
10-18 02:01:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x5c31d8…
10-18 01:40:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0xa4a55b…
10-18 01:24:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0x1ab598…
10-18 01:18:54	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	30¢	$24	0x2cb59c…
10-18 01:06:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x14e546…
10-18 01:06:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x6abba2…
10-18 01:06:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xf5427e…
10-18 01:06:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x4590a0…
10-18 01:00:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x32a1e2…
10-18 00:59:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	35¢	$48	0x8eb782…
10-18 00:59:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	35¢	$44	0xbbc6e3…
10-18 00:42:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	323	40¢	$131	0xaedc45…
10-18 00:42:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	40¢	$71	0x539a42…
10-18 00:30:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xd4d9fc…
10-18 00:26:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	291	44¢	$128	0x04df77…
10-18 00:25:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	47¢	$76	0x75b416…
10-18 00:25:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x748292…
10-15 07:47:49	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	31	66¢	$20	0x2349e0…
10-15 07:42:35	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x111170…
10-15 07:27:56	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xa98cec…
10-15 06:26:07	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	882	66¢	$582	0x40077e…
10-15 04:50:35	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd2915d…
10-15 04:18:08	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	112	66¢	$74	0xf6b570…
10-15 04:02:32	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	360	66¢	$238	0x14972b…
10-15 03:50:50	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xb4ba23…
10-15 03:49:32	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	Yes	SELL	356	19¢	$68	0x765dd5…
10-15 00:03:16	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x023642…
10-14 23:18:58	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	276	0¢	$1	0xe2ad6e…
10-14 22:50:19	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9062ed…
10-14 22:22:31	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	159	1¢	$1	0xc03150…
10-14 22:12:43	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	Yes	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0xb94683…
10-14 21:46:13	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x5609c8…
10-14 21:45:15	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	Yes	SELL	139	36¢	$50	0xc06475…
10-14 21:10:54	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xd93e7d…
10-14 21:04:49	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	Yes	SELL	37	36¢	$13	0x2a2007…