Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$37

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-09

last 09-30 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

77% 64% +$9

Politics

17% 60% +$0

Tech

7% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	09-30 10:58
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	09-30 10:58
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-30 10:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$1	09-12 14:26
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	09-30 10:58
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	09-30 10:59
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	2	$1	2	2	+0	Yes	-$1	09-30 10:59
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	2	$1	1	1	+0	Yes	-$1	09-30 10:59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-12 00:11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	09-09 14:46
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 22:49
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	09-11 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	+$4	09-19 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	09-17 12:52
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-22 23:46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-20 09:36
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-22 06:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-10 07:35
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	09-22 14:37
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-26 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-17 03:16
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-23 16:01
Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-22 23:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-23 07:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-17 03:16
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-19 23:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-19 06:15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	09-21 18:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-18 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 10:59:29	Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	No	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xeeb3ba…
09-30 10:59:18	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xd64b9f…
09-30 10:59:03	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x321e96…
09-30 10:58:56	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xa152f0…
09-30 10:58:45	Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4382f7…
09-30 10:58:36	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x741248…
09-30 10:58:29	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x95523d…
09-30 05:04:09	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x29d001…
09-27 19:36:02	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfd60af…
09-27 09:43:26	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xda4cbf…
09-27 00:58:36	Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3f4def…
09-26 15:03:12	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x131527…
09-26 07:00:23	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x63dc01…
09-25 10:03:17	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x740471…
09-25 01:07:50	Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x73b258…
09-23 16:01:07	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe99023…
09-23 07:51:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe12487…
09-22 23:46:37	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc9900f…
09-22 23:45:49	Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1e67cb…
09-22 14:37:55	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf24394…
09-22 06:37:09	Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x688434…
09-21 18:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbe039f…
09-20 09:36:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2d385f…
09-19 23:31:06	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x940f57…
09-19 14:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x811f08…
09-19 06:15:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9af243…
09-18 22:04:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x18188f…
09-17 12:52:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xee21b7…
09-17 03:16:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8458cf…
09-17 03:16:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xab4ec3…
09-12 14:26:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc807b8…
09-12 08:33:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x58e58d…
09-12 00:11:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd60627…
09-11 15:50:40	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x287b2f…
09-10 07:35:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc619bf…
09-09 22:49:00	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x379771…
09-09 14:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x349e23…