Giant-Tummy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$2.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

73% 99% +$23

Politics

11% 90% -$13

Tech

9% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	05-29 15:15
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	2	$49	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 19:21
will mrbeasts video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	04-23 08:09
highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 20c	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-19 02:52
will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 2 326	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-05 21:19
highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 68 69f	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	03-17 21:18
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-20 08:18
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	04-30 20:28
cz binance of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 20 39	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 15:14
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 01:41
Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 19:10
will the median home value in miami be between 1180000 and 1200000 by april 1	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-01 13:01
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-26 13:37
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-18 07:54
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-08 04:15
will mrbeasts latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	04-09 05:22
will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	03-29 15:20
will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 17:05
ethereum above 2000 on june 16 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-15 10:42
highest temperature in miami on march 18 2026 76 77f	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-18 04:12
will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	06-08 20:24
will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-26 22:33
north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-01 02:00
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 16:01
bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:21
highest temperature in milan on march 20 2026 14c	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-20 11:55
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 21:13
will partido socialista obrero espaol psoe win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 415	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	03-15 19:28
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 02:19
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	03-13 13:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:14:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x889bd0…
08-31 05:53:31	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc962e1…
07-28 06:00:57	will andurils valuation hit high 150 by july 31 20260629184730571	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x542983…
07-08 04:15:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf5faf4…
07-08 04:01:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x27c0c4…
07-02 16:21:44	bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5872f4…
06-25 13:21:59	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdff1cf…
06-25 12:10:50	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4e89ed…
06-18 07:54:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7d3871…
06-17 14:45:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9f4354…
06-15 10:42:51	ethereum above 2000 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x936014…
06-09 17:05:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x087db4…
06-09 15:25:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x41194a…
06-08 20:24:10	will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x05581b…
06-07 02:25:19	will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x1480b4…
06-01 17:37:04	Will Kevin O'Neil advance from the CA-48 primary election?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x0d13dd…
05-30 05:00:59	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xc9c5fb…
05-29 15:15:23	Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xc6d45d…
05-26 13:37:54	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xabe94c…
05-25 21:32:12	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x88e392…
05-22 16:01:31	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa9c7d4…
05-22 08:16:11	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x5970bd…
05-18 13:16:06	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x12567b…
05-16 03:13:05	Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be less than 16,500,000?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x989cfe…
05-11 18:23:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8cb18e…
05-07 16:56:21	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x93381f…
05-05 21:13:40	Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf0683f…
05-05 18:48:22	Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xda6b01…
05-04 19:10:38	Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x86af7b…
05-04 00:08:36	Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3ebf5a…
04-30 20:28:16	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x811870…
04-29 08:54:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x58fbb3…
04-23 08:09:42	will mrbeasts video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x39d2b2…
04-22 23:13:58	will mrbeasts video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x6ef537…
04-18 20:01:16	Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5c5cbb…
04-13 19:21:19	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x3d044b…
04-13 09:20:13	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xbcb1dc…
04-09 05:22:21	will mrbeasts latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd68aa4…
04-08 19:30:21	will mrbeasts latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x69fda6…
04-05 21:19:25	will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 2 326	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x9bbd49…
04-05 17:26:57	will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 2 326	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x897e67…
04-01 13:01:07	will the median home value in miami be between 1180000 and 1200000 by april 1	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8ddb55…
04-01 02:00:47	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xdaae15…
03-31 12:46:51	will the median home value in miami be between 1180000 and 1200000 by april 1	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x26d44f…
03-30 07:38:30	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x3f380a…
03-30 01:30:42	will iran successfully target shipping on march 30 2026 469	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xd08f86…
03-30 00:01:52	will angus king vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026 161	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xd2e288…
03-29 15:20:14	will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa83826…
03-28 03:57:27	will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x8dd2ed…
03-27 15:14:45	cz binance of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 20 39	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6bb14b…
03-26 22:33:39	will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4214c6…
03-26 16:00:19	cz binance of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf1c4aa…
03-25 15:05:09	will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xde6a7f…
03-20 11:55:47	highest temperature in milan on march 20 2026 14c	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xab65a9…
03-20 08:18:57	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x7ede53…
03-19 23:34:47	highest temperature in milan on march 20 2026 14c	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x798cac…
03-19 23:04:21	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x8e45b3…
03-19 02:52:51	highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 20c	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7e9c3d…
03-19 01:41:01	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5090a0…
03-18 15:49:17	highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 20c	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xb9758b…
03-18 04:12:53	highest temperature in miami on march 18 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xa23a88…
03-18 00:00:29	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x708e33…
03-17 21:18:31	highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x5767b1…
03-17 14:26:19	highest temperature in miami on march 18 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x10cf1f…
03-17 03:03:27	highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x9130df…
03-16 15:12:19	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 10c	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x609c24…
03-16 02:42:29	will hamnet win exactly 1 award at the oscars	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x066917…
03-16 02:20:25	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbd38df…
03-16 02:19:09	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe659c8…
03-16 01:07:45	will avatar fire and ash win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8b2c95…
03-16 01:07:43	will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x204c7e…
03-16 00:31:59	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x74156d…
03-16 00:21:29	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xba6041…
03-15 23:31:49	will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x09b829…
03-15 19:28:29	will partido socialista obrero espaol psoe win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 415	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf33e35…
03-14 00:00:35	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd271d4…
03-14 00:00:35	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x772905…
03-14 00:00:35	will hamnet win exactly 1 award at the oscars	Yes	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x6bcad0…
03-14 00:00:35	will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5e1dbb…
03-14 00:00:35	will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x05b5e8…
03-14 00:00:33	will partido socialista obrero espaol psoe win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 415	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x3b4154…
03-14 00:00:21	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xff06c3…
03-14 00:00:21	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x97dfd8…
03-14 00:00:19	will avatar fire and ash win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc726f0…
03-13 13:41:49	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xdf1d45…
03-12 12:58:33	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x70acee…
03-11 04:19:29	will mrbeasts next video get less than 59 million views on day 4	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb06498…
03-10 19:13:11	will mrbeasts next video get less than 59 million views on day 4	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3ee71e…
03-10 17:29:55	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in february 876 736 952 866	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbe937b…
03-10 16:02:57	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd33d03…
03-10 01:37:33	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in february 876 736 952 866	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4f9da5…
03-09 04:00:51	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x0afe49…
03-08 16:53:49	will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 38 million views on day 2	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x054896…
03-08 10:38:17	will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 38 million views on day 2	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0820c1…
03-07 21:09:23	will greczula win melodifestivalen 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x874c4f…
03-06 13:31:13	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe8997a…
03-06 01:08:07	will greczula win melodifestivalen 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa881b5…
03-05 06:18:31	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x414659…
03-03 09:09:11	andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 160 189	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7af931…
03-03 04:00:21	highest temperature in wellington on march 3 2026 16c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbfe9e7…