Repentant-Developer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$250

Unrealized P&L

+$412

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$110.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$364

Open exposure

$4.41K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$49

Crypto

31% 100% +$74

Politics

16% 100% +$128

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+4,428	$4,000	100¢	$4.4K	+$412	06-20 16:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	16	$4.2K	0	4,590	-4,590	open	—	01-07 15:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$4.0K	4,428	0	+4,428	open	—	06-20 16:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	2	$3.9K	1,875	2,466	-591	open	—	06-20 16:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$3.8K	1,716	2,311	-595	open	—	06-20 16:19
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	4	$3.6K	2,073	2,073	+0	open	—	04-01 02:16
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	4	$3.6K	1,924	1,924	+0	open	—	02-28 07:08
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	4	$3.4K	1,879	1,879	+0	open	—	03-29 15:57
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	5	$3.3K	2,080	2,080	+0	open	—	02-28 07:08
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$3.1K	1,610	1,610	+0	open	—	01-14 02:24
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	5	$2.9K	1,704	1,704	+0	open	—	05-28 19:24
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$2.4K	3,741	0	+3,741	open	—	02-03 19:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	4	$2.4K	1,327	1,311	+16	open	—	04-30 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$2.1K	1,169	1,169	+0	open	—	05-28 19:25
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$1.6K	3,701	0	+3,701	open	—	02-03 19:02
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$1.6K	1,865	0	+1,865	open	—	02-03 19:02
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.2K	654	654	+0	open	—	02-28 07:09
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$1.2K	1,392	0	+1,392	open	—	02-03 19:00
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	933	710	+222	open	—	04-23 23:48
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$1.2K	682	682	+0	open	—	03-16 03:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$1.1K	423	840	-417	open	—	05-28 19:25
will hyperliquid dip to 24 in march	7	$1.1K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-17 11:17
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$1.1K	633	633	+0	open	—	03-30 23:44
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$1.1K	633	633	+0	open	—	03-28 13:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$1.1K	643	643	+0	open	—	03-16 02:02
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$1.1K	603	603	+0	open	—	04-30 19:05
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$1.1K	583	583	+0	open	—	03-28 13:41
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$1.1K	583	583	+0	open	—	02-21 01:37
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$1.0K	1,247	0	+1,247	open	—	03-30 19:20
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$1.0K	544	544	+0	open	—	02-28 07:08
si hit 150 high jan 2026	3	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	01-26 18:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 17:25:13	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	423	71¢	$300	0x222b7f…
06-30 17:25:11	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xd76f37…
06-27 18:32:47	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0x00d290…
06-27 14:55:53	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x24099e…
06-27 00:45:55	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	340	38¢	$129	0x4bb741…
06-26 15:55:58	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xd3b749…
06-26 15:55:52	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x69602d…
06-26 01:00:26	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0x3a3193…
06-24 20:39:28	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	354	65¢	$230	0x1f3f14…
06-24 17:21:26	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	403	74¢	$300	0xee71ef…
06-21 16:54:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	290	10¢	$29	0xaf263c…
06-21 01:01:59	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xb30d5b…
06-20 16:36:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,763	93¢	$3,500	0x8abdd7…
06-20 16:35:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x35ebca…
06-20 16:19:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,311	99¢	$2,290	0x1e8e5a…
06-20 16:18:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,466	99¢	$2,439	0xff3e04…
06-20 13:37:58	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	340	59¢	$200	0x041503…
06-17 17:31:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0xd07e31…
06-17 17:04:22	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0xa240b1…
06-16 00:23:12	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xf92672…
06-16 00:15:46	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x4c7920…
06-15 15:26:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xfc44e1…
06-15 14:19:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0xb34988…
06-14 19:36:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	358	84¢	$300	0x80dd79…
06-12 20:30:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	346	87¢	$300	0x8b3e32…
06-11 23:25:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x985adf…
06-11 12:09:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xf153a7…
06-09 22:52:37	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	351	85¢	$300	0xa4f226…
06-09 22:33:54	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	367	82¢	$300	0x5af092…
06-09 22:33:36	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	371	81¢	$300	0x84df35…
06-09 22:32:40	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0x1661af…
06-05 13:19:03	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	352	85¢	$300	0x95db55…
06-05 13:19:03	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x03adb9…
06-04 14:45:54	btc updown 5m 1780584300	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x19b02a…
06-04 12:46:06	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	423	71¢	$300	0x92076d…
06-04 00:37:43	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0x36bcf9…
06-02 18:09:22	Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?	No	BUY	376	80¢	$300	0x3ece4a…
06-01 16:00:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	361	99¢	$359	0xc023f9…
05-28 19:30:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,716	87¢	$1,500	0x19cac8…
05-28 19:30:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,875	80¢	$1,500	0x20041f…
05-28 19:29:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0x442614…
05-28 19:25:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	351	100¢	$350	0xe1b4c3…
05-28 19:25:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	353	99¢	$350	0x943513…
05-28 19:25:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	402	100¢	$401	0x2c65eb…
05-28 19:25:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	840	99¢	$835	0xa4b071…
05-28 19:25:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,169	100¢	$1,166	0x38b69d…
05-28 19:24:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,704	99¢	$1,687	0x3d3d1e…
05-28 14:28:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	338	31¢	$106	0x45312d…
05-23 17:56:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	402	87¢	$350	0x839cd8…
05-23 17:50:28	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	358	84¢	$300	0x061cf5…
05-23 17:49:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0xd73537…
05-21 20:30:56	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0xb81109…
05-21 20:30:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xb07276…
05-20 13:39:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0xe526ce…
05-20 13:38:50	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x728bc0…
05-18 17:15:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x319835…
05-18 12:59:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0xb1ebd9…
05-18 00:25:17	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x3c517e…
05-18 00:24:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	355	85¢	$300	0x84a0fa…
05-16 01:09:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	292	72¢	$210	0x0cc3d3…
05-15 17:04:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	725	69¢	$500	0xa25647…
05-15 17:03:49	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	386	59¢	$228	0x2724c5…
05-13 22:54:18	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x9da1fb…
05-13 21:41:50	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xd3f032…
05-13 14:18:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x972c4e…
05-12 15:28:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x8387da…
05-12 14:58:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	338	59¢	$200	0xd9c313…
05-12 13:56:48	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0x7f3d54…
05-11 23:22:36	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 in May?	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x6cb6ca…
05-07 17:34:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	423	71¢	$300	0x088ca6…
05-06 17:10:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0xa5a04f…
05-05 17:16:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0xbc1f2d…
05-05 17:15:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	410	73¢	$300	0x8c0fae…
05-05 14:45:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0x1a4505…
05-05 13:22:16	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	386	78¢	$300	0xf60c30…
05-05 12:43:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xeae612…
05-03 23:15:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0x663e21…
04-30 20:08:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	1,311	100¢	$1,308	0xc194e5…
04-30 19:05:44	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xce36fd…
04-30 18:08:48	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x46eac2…
04-30 18:08:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	324	74¢	$240	0xa0014f…
04-30 18:07:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	351	85¢	$300	0xdab1f9…
04-30 18:02:50	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	542	100¢	$539	0x0646c6…
04-30 14:47:26	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	330	87¢	$287	0x63d77e…
04-30 00:18:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	233	93¢	$216	0xc988b2…
04-29 21:27:58	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	603	83¢	$500	0xe5ac78…
04-29 21:20:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	368	100¢	$367	0x4a60f6…
04-28 03:15:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x3f11e8…
04-28 02:59:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x199540…
04-27 17:06:10	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	320	86¢	$275	0x4130b4…
04-25 19:26:12	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xd2dc69…
04-25 16:25:34	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x1516d9…
04-23 23:48:18	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x504fc0…
04-22 16:27:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in April?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x6fe682…
04-21 16:38:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x4e25a6…
04-21 15:12:40	btc updown 5m 1776784200	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x72b6a0…
04-20 22:57:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xa0d2c6…
04-20 20:02:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	352	85¢	$300	0x5f69d7…
04-18 16:25:24	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	SELL	328	56¢	$184	0x64acbc…
04-18 01:53:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	469	64¢	$300	0xea359c…