Burly-Bakeware — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

101

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$116.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$633

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-26 02:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

90% 96% +$6

Politics

9% 83% +$0

Crypto

1% 98% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$38.9K	62,058	0	+62,058	No	+$112	02-01 04:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	23	$33.5K	80,000	0	+80,000	Yes	-$1,455	02-01 09:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$15.8K	16,000	0	+16,000	No	+$225	01-31 11:14
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	11	$14.9K	16,000	0	+16,000	No	+$1,120	01-31 06:38
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$10.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	$0	01-31 09:15
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-20 18:36
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 80 99	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	04-02 04:41
ethereum above 2600 on march 28	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	03-27 03:48
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 4corbelow	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	03-21 09:15
highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 43corhigher	1	$148	149	0	+149	No	+$0	03-17 10:03
highest temperature in lucknow on march 15 2026 39c	1	$148	148	0	+148	No	+$0	03-14 09:02
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$128	64	64	+0	No	+$0	05-23 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on September 9?	2	$112	56	56	+0	No	+$0	09-09 06:27
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-05 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 10?	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	09-09 03:02
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-17 21:47
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	09-09 02:59
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	09-09 02:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	08-27 10:48
highest temperature in lucknow on april 10 2026 39c	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	04-09 08:12
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	3	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	02-21 02:43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	07-31 13:43
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	07-03 02:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-14 09:01
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	06-12 11:50
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	08-27 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 27?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	10-26 02:32
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 27?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	10-26 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C or higher on September 10?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	09-09 03:01
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	08-05 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 02:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on October 26?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7439f4…
10-26 02:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb44b4d…
10-26 02:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb3b892…
10-26 02:30:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6cb7ab…
10-26 02:30:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x141a70…
09-09 06:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on September 9?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x080fec…
09-09 03:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xcca0b1…
09-09 03:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on September 9?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xe041aa…
09-09 03:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C or higher on September 10?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcb7121…
09-09 02:59:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x63bec4…
09-09 02:58:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0xcd4a73…
08-27 10:49:42	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x3fb585…
08-27 10:48:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x644c0d…
08-27 10:47:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x44c913…
08-27 10:47:24	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd265b4…
08-27 10:46:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x24df89…
08-27 10:45:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd0974f…
08-27 10:45:22	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on August 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x49a280…
08-27 10:43:49	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x250ff9…
08-17 21:47:16	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x5e1106…
08-05 04:19:02	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xf29c2e…
08-05 03:41:18	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x15b3df…
08-05 03:40:27	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x67fd4e…
08-05 03:39:06	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8944ba…
08-05 03:38:03	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc1cba9…
08-05 03:37:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc04294…
07-31 13:43:20	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xd18d3c…
07-03 02:36:04	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x147f8c…
07-02 10:36:59	ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe8d142…
07-02 10:36:17	ethereum above 1100 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe6fea9…
07-02 10:36:04	ethereum above 2100 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2f726f…
07-02 10:35:47	ethereum above 1800 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb47bad…
07-02 10:34:50	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x98d530…
07-02 10:34:10	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x405f9a…
07-02 10:33:44	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8f1ab4…
06-12 11:50:13	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x10ebf2…
06-11 10:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x79508c…
06-11 10:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4871c9…
06-11 10:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc220d3…
06-11 10:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C or below on June 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3f5521…
06-11 10:29:57	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xda92c9…
06-11 10:29:21	will ethereum reach 2300 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3ca06f…
06-11 10:28:49	ethereum above 1100 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd7b79c…
06-11 10:28:30	ethereum above 2100 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5d2008…
05-23 05:52:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xe4b6fe…
05-05 05:09:56	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x3b0890…
05-05 05:09:04	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4f1c55…
05-05 05:08:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5c480c…
05-05 04:58:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x36c507…
05-05 04:57:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x72624d…
04-20 18:36:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfdd177…
04-15 05:59:42	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 17	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x416da3…
04-09 08:13:59	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc74744…
04-09 08:12:47	highest temperature in lucknow on april 10 2026 39c	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x4053fe…
04-02 04:41:09	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 80 99	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x3e276a…
03-30 09:59:00	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 240plus	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc063bd…
03-27 03:48:43	ethereum above 2600 on march 28	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x095998…
03-23 09:59:11	highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf221d0…
03-21 09:15:25	highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 4corbelow	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x6d86c9…
03-17 10:03:55	highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 43corhigher	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0x07e0ec…
03-14 09:02:31	highest temperature in lucknow on march 15 2026 39c	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xfbce7c…
03-14 09:01:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xd3eda1…
03-10 03:34:51	highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 7corbelow	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa731b3…
03-10 03:34:29	highest temperature in london on march 10 2026 17corhigher	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9b0740…
03-10 03:33:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x2525f4…
03-10 03:30:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 10	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfd106b…
03-10 03:30:25	will ethereum reach 2100 on march 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf18ee6…
03-10 03:29:41	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 11	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2d337c…
03-10 03:29:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x89d1ec…
03-10 03:28:31	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 9	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5b96aa…
03-01 04:33:39	highest temperature in atlanta on march 2 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb28eea…
03-01 04:33:21	highest temperature in atlanta on march 1 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x88a7a0…
02-28 05:03:37	will solana reach 110 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8b9139…
02-28 05:03:05	will ethereum reach 2600 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6dd6f5…
02-28 05:02:51	will bitcoin reach 78k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0e222a…
02-28 05:02:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x95691c…
02-28 05:01:43	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1fd650…
02-28 05:01:27	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x28379d…
02-25 04:41:30	xrp above 1pt9 on february 28	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfcb43e…
02-25 04:41:16	xrp above 0pt9 on february 27	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3b65a2…
02-25 04:40:50	xrp above 1pt2 on february 25	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4708a7…
02-24 11:48:22	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on february 26	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x791008…
02-24 11:48:10	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on february 25	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd5da42…
02-24 11:47:56	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on february 24	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3d82d8…
02-24 11:47:28	ethereum above 2500 on february 28	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1e63e0…
02-24 11:47:10	ethereum above 2500 on february 27	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd6a6e7…
02-24 11:46:56	ethereum above 2000 on february 24	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaef016…
02-24 11:46:16	ethereum above 2200 on february 25	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8d070a…
02-24 11:42:04	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x3d9419…
02-21 02:43:30	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x61f60e…
02-21 02:41:28	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 190 214	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x809cde…
02-21 02:41:00	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7c3cb9…
02-21 02:40:30	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 120 139	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x844bae…
02-21 02:40:20	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 580plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc739f6…
02-21 02:39:14	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3d2e95…
02-19 08:00:34	solana above 140 on february 22	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc135a4…
02-19 07:59:44	solana above 140 on february 21	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcabd7c…
02-19 07:59:30	solana above 120 on february 20	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x087746…
02-19 07:59:18	solana above 100 on february 19	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x691f82…
02-19 07:58:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0b6349…