Strident-Caboose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

24.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,657

lifetime

Volume

$4.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-08 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 20% $-7

Sports

6% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-1,167	$-6	0¢	$-4	+$2	06-01 06:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 9 12am et	71	$132	230	36	+194	open	—	02-09 05:36
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$105	260	110	+150	open	—	06-05 06:59
will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	3	$82	1,100	100	+1,000	open	—	06-05 07:01
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	5	$82	10,750	0	+10,750	open	—	06-08 12:00
btc updown 15m 1770621300	3	$51	59	36	+23	open	—	02-09 07:25
btc updown 5m 1774882500	10	$43	85	0	+85	open	—	03-30 14:56
btc updown 15m 1770625800	8	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	02-09 08:35
btc updown 5m 1774881300	29	$39	332	0	+332	open	—	03-30 14:37
btc updown 5m 1774279200	10	$39	71	57	+14	open	—	03-23 15:23
btc updown 15m 1770633900	9	$38	42	31	+10	open	—	02-09 10:50
btc updown 5m 1774280100	11	$33	70	70	+1	open	—	03-23 15:38
btc updown 15m 1770642900	8	$31	36	36	+1	open	—	02-09 13:28
xrp up or down february 9 1am et	4	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	02-09 06:08
btc updown 15m 1770631200	7	$30	34	23	+10	open	—	02-09 10:09
btc updown 5m 1774278900	6	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	03-23 15:18
btc updown 15m 1770629400	7	$29	30	24	+6	open	—	02-09 09:38
btc updown 15m 1770628500	7	$28	35	25	+10	open	—	02-09 09:25
btc updown 15m 1770620400	2	$28	25	25	+0	open	—	02-09 07:10
btc updown 15m 1770634800	6	$26	25	24	+0	open	—	02-09 11:13
bitcoin up or down february 9 1am et	10	$25	40	10	+30	open	—	02-09 06:09
nba por lac 2026 03 31	11	$25	85	44	+42	open	—	04-01 05:05
btc updown 15m 1770619500	2	$24	23	22	+0	open	—	02-09 06:52
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	2	$22	100	100	+0	open	—	06-05 06:58
will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	3	$21	250	250	+0	open	—	06-05 06:58
btc updown 15m 1770630300	5	$21	24	18	+6	open	—	02-09 09:55
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 27?	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	05-27 03:33
bitcoin up or down february 8 6pm et	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	02-08 23:19
btc updown 15m 1774679400	6	$18	31	0	+31	open	—	03-28 06:43
btc updown 15m 1770409800	18	$18	23	0	+23	open	—	02-06 20:40
btc updown 5m 1775658900	7	$17	15	14	+1	open	—	04-08 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 12:00:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x87e2a5…
06-08 07:32:54	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0x13a9b8…
06-05 07:01:48	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x9ceeba…
06-05 06:59:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0x3c199b…
06-05 06:58:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	110	23¢	$25	0x026bc1…
06-05 06:58:22	will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x7b1cb2…
06-05 06:58:16	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xbbe8db…
06-05 06:58:13	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x3d870d…
06-05 06:07:15	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	34	22¢	$8	0xebeea5…
06-04 05:19:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	169	22¢	$37	0x09698c…
06-04 05:01:45	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xd54ac3…
06-04 04:53:13	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x017c09…
06-04 04:23:40	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x491612…
06-04 04:17:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	47	22¢	$10	0xbb42d3…
06-04 04:15:07	will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	129	6¢	$8	0x5b33b7…
06-04 04:15:06	will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	121	6¢	$8	0x745e08…
06-04 04:05:16	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	110	38¢	$42	0x5e592d…
06-03 02:35:53	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x45059a…
06-01 06:39:36	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,167	0¢	$6	0xcb7558…
06-01 06:39:18	will bitcoin reach 81k on june 1	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa886b9…
06-01 04:49:43	will bitcoin reach 81k on june 1	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x828c53…
05-31 08:15:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x14deac…
05-31 08:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xad63a1…
05-27 03:33:06	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x530129…
05-14 22:14:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0xb73b6f…
05-14 22:13:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x3abcfd…
05-14 22:13:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x9de300…
05-14 22:13:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x44ae47…
05-07 17:26:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2ca72c…
05-05 10:55:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf56b2e…
05-05 05:54:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xaa73e8…
05-05 03:32:16	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc81de6…
05-05 03:32:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x21edcc…
05-03 05:03:20	Will Solana reach $90 in May?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x24dcc9…
05-03 04:47:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x6c9a59…
05-03 00:16:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x50a147…
05-03 00:16:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x33076f…
05-02 23:06:56	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	183	1¢	$1	0xa4c563…
05-02 23:06:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9b38e2…
05-02 21:53:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x81af8f…
05-02 06:48:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xd08e69…
05-02 06:48:04	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	183	1¢	$2	0x6a0007…
05-02 05:02:28	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x4a53df…
05-02 05:02:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x29eca3…
05-02 05:02:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 2?	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$1	0x04dc4a…
05-02 04:47:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe8144c…
05-01 18:31:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$1	0xe41bfb…
05-01 17:54:22	Will Solana reach $85 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x699590…
05-01 17:32:42	Will XRP reach $1.40 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2e5541…
05-01 16:42:20	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa0c71e…
05-01 16:42:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	96	0¢	$0	0x9b59fe…
05-01 16:41:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 1?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x9b08f8…
05-01 16:40:46	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x7423bb…
05-01 15:39:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x961834…
05-01 13:57:42	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x7fd96e…
05-01 12:36:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$1	0xe27a5e…
05-01 12:36:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x768167…
05-01 06:32:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0xc47f79…
05-01 05:50:18	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc0977e…
05-01 05:30:22	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x3fe066…
05-01 05:18:00	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0044e1…
05-01 05:08:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xda4728…
05-01 04:34:52	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x203678…
05-01 04:28:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 1?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa00299…
05-01 04:28:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x8339a1…
05-01 04:00:28	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xce439d…
05-01 04:00:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x4028e8…
05-01 04:00:24	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xaf34e8…
05-01 04:00:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x40e523…
05-01 04:00:20	Will Solana reach $85 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,405	0¢	$2	0x280396…
05-01 04:00:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	560	0¢	$1	0x4bc122…
04-30 01:40:54	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x657e8a…
04-30 01:40:36	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6b1276…
04-30 01:20:42	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xe54a7b…
04-30 01:20:38	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x08dfb1…
04-30 01:05:38	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x01f631…
04-30 00:50:42	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xbd36ee…
04-30 00:50:36	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x81f407…
04-30 00:05:40	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xccbe44…
04-30 00:05:38	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb1cf0a…
04-29 23:55:42	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x16cb4f…
04-29 23:55:36	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x472149…
04-29 23:00:40	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xe55bca…
04-29 23:00:36	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd66ebc…
04-29 22:45:40	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x8879b6…
04-29 22:45:36	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa3b5a0…
04-29 22:37:10	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xf6ebca…
04-29 22:35:38	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x350052…
04-29 22:06:00	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xda1666…
04-29 21:50:36	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xad136f…
04-29 19:45:38	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x0821d4…
04-29 19:00:38	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x607d10…
04-29 17:40:40	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe26062…
04-29 17:40:38	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf73f6c…
04-29 17:30:38	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xaffd2a…
04-29 16:30:36	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3434de…
04-29 15:50:36	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x78a049…
04-29 13:40:36	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x01e032…
04-29 12:35:38	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5af907…
04-29 11:45:38	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x479b86…