Stark-Acupuncture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$237

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$648

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 08-07 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

55% 8% -$133

Politics

32% 27% -$78

Crypto

7% 9% -$9

Sports

5% 0% -$18

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$60	92	92	+0	No	+$6	05-23 14:31
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$45	12,454	2,680	+9,774	No	-$40	04-30 23:27
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	2	$33	123	123	+0	No	-$18	07-23 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 23?	2	$32	29	29	+0	Yes	+$22	05-23 11:21
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	6	$30	5,604	4,937	+667	Yes	-$11	04-30 23:27
Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	7	$29	498	0	+498	No	-$29	04-29 14:13
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$24	95	95	+0	No	+$7	05-23 18:56
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	2	$24	7,857	0	+7,857	Yes	-$24	07-21 13:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$19	121	121	+0	No	+$11	05-23 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 25?	3	$19	39	36	+3	No	+$11	04-25 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 25?	2	$18	17	16	+1	Yes	+$13	04-25 16:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$16	78	78	+0	No	+$2	05-23 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on April 25?	5	$15	142	86	+56	No	-$11	04-25 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-23 12:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	19	19	+0	No	+$3	05-23 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 7?	1	$11	562	0	+562	No	-$11	08-07 10:40
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	04-25 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 7?	1	$9	137	0	+137	No	-$9	08-07 10:45
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	2	$9	40	40	+0	No	-$1	05-23 18:57
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?	1	$7	47	0	+47	No	-$7	07-23 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23?	2	$7	158	158	+0	No	-$1	05-23 12:54
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	2	$6	347	347	+0	No	-$4	05-23 18:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	2	$6	43	40	+3	No	$0	04-26 10:02
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	1	$6	71	0	+71	No	-$6	04-29 18:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$6	94	94	+0	No	$0	04-30 22:46
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 25?	2	$6	46	0	+46	No	-$6	04-25 15:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?	2	$5	46	46	+0	No	-$5	05-23 14:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on May 23?	2	$5	237	237	+0	No	-$5	05-23 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 23?	2	$5	80	80	+0	No	-$5	05-23 14:44
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$5	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	04-30 19:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 10:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	137	7¢	$9	0xeb0f12…
08-07 10:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	562	2¢	$11	0x0ff1c1…
07-23 15:28:15	Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x7f781a…
07-23 15:21:42	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	SELL	123	6¢	$8	0x8363d5…
07-23 10:54:33	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	BUY	123	21¢	$26	0xbe42d9…
07-21 13:57:55	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	BUY	1,857	0¢	$6	0x593952…
07-21 13:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	184	1¢	$1	0x177253…
07-21 13:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x458c2a…
07-21 13:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$2	0xb0a267…
07-21 13:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x0f1067…
07-21 13:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0xf0b711…
07-21 13:51:18	Will General Motors say "Horsepower" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$2	0x87d056…
07-21 13:46:06	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$18	0x376f5c…
05-23 18:58:01	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	SELL	347	0¢	$1	0x02a25c…
05-23 18:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0x94ee99…
05-23 18:57:42	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xd25448…
05-23 18:57:40	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x43e7a5…
05-23 18:57:38	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xbdc52b…
05-23 18:57:35	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x59349e…
05-23 18:57:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x4cbad4…
05-23 18:57:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x14fb61…
05-23 18:57:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	121	13¢	$15	0x72badd…
05-23 18:56:56	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	95	17¢	$16	0xe19871…
05-23 14:56:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0xa90f46…
05-23 14:50:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x303101…
05-23 14:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x3e42c4…
05-23 14:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$1	0x118f7b…
05-23 14:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x3b7254…
05-23 14:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0xbf6bb4…
05-23 14:44:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	SELL	237	0¢	$0	0xe2af14…
05-23 14:44:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0xd68b3b…
05-23 14:31:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0xcb10e2…
05-23 14:31:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xe5b5f2…
05-23 14:28:28	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	95	9¢	$9	0xa68b80…
05-23 13:58:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	11¢	$9	0x636473…
05-23 12:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	65	4¢	$3	0x1468c6…
05-23 12:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	SELL	158	2¢	$3	0x0be2e7…
05-23 12:42:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x02e94c…
05-23 12:38:55	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xb250b1…
05-23 12:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd10e0e…
05-23 12:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0xdc5f38…
05-23 12:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc641a3…
05-23 12:21:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0x701fcb…
05-23 12:20:51	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xca95d9…
05-23 12:20:46	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x571885…
05-23 12:20:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xdaf6f2…
05-23 12:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	158	3¢	$4	0xd2fabb…
05-23 12:18:02	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	347	1¢	$5	0x17e62c…
05-23 11:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x2a5af8…
05-23 11:15:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	121	3¢	$4	0xae415e…
05-23 10:34:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	69	40¢	$28	0x385422…
05-23 10:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	376	0¢	$1	0x14d69a…
05-23 10:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$4	0x64dec3…
05-23 10:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x9873cd…
05-23 10:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0x458b49…
05-23 10:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa8d98c…
05-23 10:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0x720170…
05-23 10:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xcc2765…
05-23 09:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x23bab8…
05-23 09:26:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x2050ca…
05-23 09:25:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	418	1¢	$5	0xc9de2c…
05-23 09:25:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x3c2f00…
05-23 09:25:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	237	2¢	$5	0xd1cec9…
05-23 09:24:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xa1f868…
04-30 23:27:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xd734ff…
04-30 23:27:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xebd080…
04-30 23:26:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	2,008	0¢	$4	0x5d0db1…
04-30 22:50:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	775	0¢	$2	0x811cd3…
04-30 22:49:30	Will Trump say "Obamacare" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xa4357c…
04-30 22:47:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,320	0¢	$3	0x9d1d45…
04-30 22:46:54	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	94	3¢	$3	0x86506d…
04-30 22:16:16	Will Trump say "Obamacare" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb3e4ca…
04-30 22:08:54	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0xe3b9f3…
04-30 20:46:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x22959d…
04-30 20:31:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	2,008	0¢	$10	0x166eb0…
04-30 20:30:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4,244	0¢	$21	0xf0aa61…
04-30 19:16:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,185	0¢	$2	0xee1193…
04-30 19:15:38	Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xd03067…
04-30 11:42:00	Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x797d5a…
04-30 11:35:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2,680	0¢	$3	0xff15dd…
04-29 18:45:32	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	71	8¢	$6	0x92ad81…
04-29 18:42:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	2,929	0¢	$6	0x8ea085…
04-29 14:13:42	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x56bfcb…
04-29 14:12:10	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xd15f2d…
04-29 14:01:50	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	123	2¢	$3	0xf07cea…
04-29 13:30:02	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	103	4¢	$4	0xbfaf6e…
04-29 13:20:44	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0x16424f…
04-29 13:16:22	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	52	11¢	$6	0x0097e9…
04-29 13:10:38	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xa04841…
04-29 12:13:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,883	0¢	$6	0x8661c5…
04-29 11:29:34	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xd9794c…
04-29 11:29:16	Will Keir Starmer say "Sport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xa576f7…
04-29 11:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x9f2310…
04-29 11:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x87a7bf…
04-29 11:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xbef990…
04-29 11:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x39eed6…
04-29 11:21:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,046	0¢	$3	0xc20c79…
04-28 20:53:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	860	0¢	$3	0xdcfcec…
04-28 20:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0xf75ee0…
04-28 20:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$1	0x94262f…