Knobby-Mayor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$909

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

299

Trades

809

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-21 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 29% -$435

Other

33% 17% -$92

Politics

7% 10% -$379

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	31	$922	1,139	1,139	+0	Yes	+$335	05-12 16:19
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	22	$701	4,066	4,066	+0	No	+$45	06-07 07:04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	8	$618	932	932	+0	No	-$60	06-19 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	11	$595	5,121	2,943	+2,178	No	-$1	05-14 04:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 17:45 UTC	4	$365	641	641	+0	Up	+$37	06-19 17:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	22	$344	136,694	0	+136,694	No	-$344	05-21 20:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:20 UTC	4	$325	332	332	+0	Down	+$125	06-16 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 17:50 UTC	2	$308	235	235	+0	Up	+$108	06-19 17:54
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	11	$296	4,180	342	+3,838	No	+$122	05-15 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$269	210	210	+0	Up	+$122	06-20 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:25 UTC	3	$266	253	203	+50	Up	+$95	06-18 07:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 15?	2	$266	409	409	+0	No	-$42	05-14 19:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 17:15 UTC	5	$260	991	991	+0	Down	+$52	06-19 17:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 13:00 UTC	2	$256	400	400	+0	Up	+$56	06-19 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 03:30 UTC	2	$250	476	476	+0	Up	+$133	06-18 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:55 UTC	3	$249	373	323	+50	Up	+$47	06-19 12:59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$230	433	200	+233	No	+$13	05-26 15:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 18:00 UTC	2	$227	244	244	+0	Down	+$15	06-20 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:55 UTC	5	$215	272	272	+0	Up	-$5	06-18 07:58
cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	3	$210	279	279	+0	Team Falcons	-$24	06-20 18:47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$209	385	385	+0	Yes	+$9	06-16 12:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 18:30 UTC	4	$197	274	274	+0	Down	+$15	06-19 18:31
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	3	$194	220	220	+0	Yes	+$115	05-31 22:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 17:30 UTC	6	$188	706	588	+118	Up	-$121	06-19 17:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:30 UTC	6	$176	358	358	+0	Down	+$20	06-21 08:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 18:25 UTC	4	$176	246	246	+0	Down	+$6	06-19 18:28
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$174	810	810	+0	No	-$48	06-18 03:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:00 UTC	5	$171	416	416	+0	Up	-$69	06-20 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:35 UTC	1	$170	376	0	+376	Up	-$170	06-18 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:35 UTC	2	$167	178	178	+0	Up	-$7	06-20 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 08:43:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	137	54¢	$73	0x3c4de3…
06-21 08:41:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	94	81¢	$77	0x83b315…
06-21 08:41:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	94	63¢	$60	0x51e6dd…
06-21 08:37:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	174	29¢	$50	0xd5e84b…
06-21 08:37:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	39	25¢	$10	0x02bb4b…
06-21 08:35:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	213	18¢	$39	0x2a7e96…
06-21 08:33:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	140	24¢	$33	0xb7df44…
06-21 08:33:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	140	16¢	$22	0x231819…
06-21 08:33:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	147	27¢	$40	0x2b5425…
06-21 08:33:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	147	15¢	$22	0xfb7ee2…
06-21 08:31:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	71	35¢	$25	0xe01b7a…
06-21 08:30:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	71	47¢	$33	0xbe5c37…
06-21 08:28:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:25 UTC	Down	SELL	51	70¢	$35	0x425d70…
06-21 08:27:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0x2ed684…
06-21 08:27:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	81	43¢	$35	0xdfa20e…
06-21 08:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	81	42¢	$34	0x89242d…
06-21 08:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	61	61¢	$37	0xa4283b…
06-21 08:17:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	61	53¢	$32	0xde2c2a…
06-21 08:16:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	34	62¢	$21	0xf72125…
06-21 08:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xa6d622…
06-21 08:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	46	54¢	$25	0x28dbd6…
06-21 08:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x90b89a…
06-21 08:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x052741…
06-21 08:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xfea347…
06-21 08:12:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x146201…
06-21 08:11:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	65¢	$11	0xd9aee5…
06-21 08:10:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	26	43¢	$11	0x60fb89…
06-21 08:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0xbdc0fc…
06-21 08:06:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0xf337bf…
06-21 08:05:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xe447d5…
06-21 08:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x926555…
06-21 08:04:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x5eedf8…
06-21 08:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xe7d8c1…
06-21 08:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x1ceffa…
06-21 08:02:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0xc12774…
06-21 07:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	234	44¢	$103	0x5adf42…
06-21 01:03:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x8f19a9…
06-21 01:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x3fa2eb…
06-21 00:59:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0xd6f09b…
06-20 19:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x58b76f…
06-20 19:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:25 UTC	Down	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x395399…
06-20 19:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x83a651…
06-20 19:23:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0xe010c6…
06-20 19:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x1cfb8a…
06-20 19:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xacdb0f…
06-20 19:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x97ef15…
06-20 19:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x45e520…
06-20 19:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xf7f26b…
06-20 19:17:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xb3e8b4…
06-20 19:17:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x709742…
06-20 19:16:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0cee1f…
06-20 19:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xff2278…
06-20 19:11:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x88cc92…
06-20 19:10:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	133	2¢	$3	0x036fde…
06-20 19:07:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x18718e…
06-20 19:06:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	283	17¢	$48	0x26c498…
06-20 19:03:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	157	19¢	$30	0x00d25c…
06-20 19:01:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x518e44…
06-20 18:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	210	93¢	$195	0x116af7…
06-20 18:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	210	35¢	$74	0xe720df…
06-20 18:47:26	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Spirit	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x9f56db…
06-20 18:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x504ee2…
06-20 18:37:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:35 UTC	Down	SELL	178	45¢	$80	0xba29fe…
06-20 18:37:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	178	49¢	$87	0x3f9412…
06-20 18:33:40	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Spirit	SELL	277	33¢	$92	0xbd4d9c…
06-20 18:30:52	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Spirit	BUY	279	42¢	$117	0x9fc489…
06-20 18:21:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xf71862…
06-20 18:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x665c22…
06-20 18:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xf1b658…
06-20 18:17:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x5921a2…
06-20 18:09:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	244	50¢	$121	0x53de4f…
06-20 18:08:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	244	43¢	$106	0xdd4046…
06-20 13:21:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	67	27¢	$18	0xe97555…
06-20 00:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf87f33…
06-20 00:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xcd5015…
06-20 00:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x066ab6…
06-20 00:46:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x49beb0…
06-20 00:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x72721b…
06-20 00:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x34ad75…
06-20 00:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0426eb…
06-20 00:42:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0xbbe683…
06-20 00:41:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x604e48…
06-20 00:41:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0xaec81f…
06-20 00:39:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x291eef…
06-20 00:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x044ac6…
06-20 00:26:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x76cce1…
06-20 00:26:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x54c78d…
06-20 00:24:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x1006de…
06-20 00:24:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x39442c…
06-20 00:24:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3fb53b…
06-20 00:23:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaa81a4…
06-20 00:22:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	33	38¢	$13	0xd15630…
06-20 00:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xaf2ddd…
06-20 00:21:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	39	33¢	$13	0x7ebaf0…
06-20 00:20:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	39	47¢	$19	0x15bd77…
06-20 00:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	71	21¢	$15	0x49a9ed…
06-20 00:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x8a3ce3…
06-20 00:16:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0x9258d2…
06-20 00:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x7e50e3…
06-20 00:14:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	107	22¢	$24	0x0b9353…