Cultured-File — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$415

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

639

Trades

723

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-27 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Other

48% 52% -$376

Sports

42% 52% +$715

Crypto

9% 53% +$56

Politics

1% 50% -$18

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+50	$1	2¢	$1	$0	10-19 22:55
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+11	$1	4¢	$1	$0	10-19 22:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	11	$333	312	312	+0	Up	+$27	10-19 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	10	$240	875	791	+83	Down	+$32	10-19 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$235	217	217	+0	Down	+$35	10-19 19:05
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	1	$200	417	0	+417	Finland	+$217	05-31 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$185	183	183	+0	Down	+$35	10-19 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	6	$163	164	164	+0	Down	+$9	10-19 18:58
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$113	595	0	+595	Sean Strickland	+$482	05-08 18:18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	1	$100	156	0	+156	Spirit	+$56	10-26 13:26
cs2 ast10 ts7 2026 03 13	1	$90	112	0	+112	Astralis	-$90	03-12 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	7	$88	83	83	+0	Up	+$16	10-19 22:49
cs2 og1 nxs1 2026 03 13	1	$85	116	0	+116	OG	+$30	03-13 15:05
dota2 liquid tundra 2026 03 12	1	$81	121	0	+121	Team Liquid	+$40	03-12 13:42
cs2 nip eye 2026 03 12	1	$81	125	0	+125	EYEBALLERS	-$81	03-12 13:44
cs2 tl1 gg5 2026 03 13	1	$81	125	0	+125	Gaimin Gladiators	-$81	03-13 15:02
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$80	160	0	+160	Alexander Volkanovski	+$80	10-21 23:43
cs2 am fav 2026 03 11	1	$76	121	0	+121	Favbet	+$45	03-11 11:01
val ns1 nrg 2026 03 13	1	$72	124	0	+124	Nongshim RedForce	-$72	03-13 15:17
cs2 encea1 lilmix 2026 03 12	1	$72	121	0	+121	Lilmix	-$72	03-12 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$70	150	0	+150	Down	-$58	10-19 22:42
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	1	$70	143	0	+143	Hanwha Life Esports	+$73	06-11 12:57
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	1	$70	127	0	+127	Top Esports	-$70	05-30 17:41
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	1	$70	156	0	+156	B8	-$70	06-01 15:03
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)	1	$70	127	0	+127	T1	-$70	05-28 06:54
cs2 ast10 pain 2026 06 08	1	$70	115	0	+115	paiN	-$70	06-08 10:10
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	1	$70	146	0	+146	LGD Gaming	+$76	06-01 19:35
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	1	$70	113	0	+113	Sharks	-$70	06-01 10:48
nba gsw uta 2026 03 09 total 227pt5	2	$64	107	0	+107	Over	-$64	03-09 17:03
cs2 bcg og1 2026 03 13	1	$63	115	0	+115	OG	-$63	03-13 15:22
nba phx ind 2026 03 12 total 225pt5	1	$63	119	0	+119	Over	-$63	03-12 13:31
nba phi det 2026 03 12 spread home 15pt5	1	$63	119	0	+119	Pistons	-$63	03-12 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:12:26	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	T1	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x849c69…
10-27 15:05:36	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x4eda10…
10-26 13:26:30	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x09cea3…
10-25 18:10:47	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x08066d…
10-21 23:43:56	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x15738d…
10-19 22:55:12	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x20248b…
10-19 22:52:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x074871…
10-19 22:51:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x2656e8…
10-19 22:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x6b4cfc…
10-19 22:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x39dd71…
10-19 22:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4028fe…
10-19 22:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	66	65¢	$43	0x261f20…
10-19 22:47:39	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0b35bd…
10-19 22:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8bbb3d…
10-19 22:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x430afe…
10-19 22:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x64ab22…
10-19 22:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6a59e8…
10-19 22:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4d2f45…
10-19 22:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7f06f8…
10-19 22:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x076b97…
10-19 22:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x01839e…
10-19 19:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0xc82280…
10-19 19:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xddedf5…
10-19 19:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8911ea…
10-19 19:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	143	70¢	$100	0xf81f9a…
10-19 19:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0x41cc6f…
10-19 19:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	117	58¢	$69	0x7e52ef…
10-19 19:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x456060…
10-19 19:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0xbe432d…
10-19 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb6a117…
10-19 19:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x154653…
10-19 19:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xb6d7c3…
10-19 19:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb4f0b1…
10-19 19:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xb906c3…
10-19 19:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7accf0…
10-19 19:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xade28b…
10-19 19:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	217	62¢	$135	0xa10315…
10-19 19:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x2ae0e6…
10-19 19:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xefe350…
10-19 19:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	367	21¢	$76	0xa73eda…
10-19 19:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	425	14¢	$59	0xdb1840…
10-19 19:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x02d186…
10-19 19:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x67842e…
10-19 19:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xaba65b…
10-19 19:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x021ec1…
10-19 19:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xab3a20…
10-19 19:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xcb5d03…
10-19 18:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x014a14…
10-19 18:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	112	51¢	$57	0x8f6bc5…
10-19 18:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0xaf03b6…
10-19 18:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xdb84d2…
10-19 18:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1b3292…
10-19 18:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47	56¢	$26	0x3cff56…
10-19 18:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xdfb076…
10-19 18:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	42	67¢	$28	0x20f39c…
10-19 18:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x3c9801…
10-19 18:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	81	52¢	$42	0x9a1dc4…
10-19 18:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x20ba7d…
10-19 18:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	60	66¢	$39	0xec3200…
10-19 18:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x72ab78…
10-15 20:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc0c39b…
10-15 20:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x2e86eb…
10-15 20:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9186ac…
10-15 20:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x5552a9…
10-15 20:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa64b1b…
10-15 20:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xb8c386…
10-15 20:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0b1c74…
10-15 19:58:32	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0xc5459f…
10-15 19:58:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x0315f8…
10-12 20:26:30	Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5)	Galorys	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x38532f…
10-12 12:36:29	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbd43f4…
10-12 12:02:33	Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Coventry City FC O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc495ba…
10-12 12:01:09	Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf16399…
10-12 11:57:33	Set Handicap: Lukas Neumayer (-1.5) vs Elmer Moeller (+1.5)	Elmer Moeller	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc4397d…
10-12 11:54:51	Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)	Maryville University	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x518d23…
10-12 11:52:54	Will IF Gnistan win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x559f59…
10-11 18:56:36	Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb04160…
10-11 18:55:12	Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x3581d9…
10-11 18:53:42	HFX Wanderers FC vs. Cavalry FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7d504c…
10-11 14:28:01	KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x55fc5e…
10-11 14:26:40	Spread: Commanders (-10.5)	Giants	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xd6a2e1…
10-11 14:24:52	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x44720e…
10-11 14:23:31	Spread: 49ers (-3.5)	Seahawks	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x05d879…
10-10 00:09:44	M15 Pontevedra: Ziga Sesko vs Sergio Callejon Hernando	Sergio Callejon Hernando	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xb766ac…
10-10 00:07:56	Spread: Jets (-2.5)	Browns	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x50e14a…
10-10 00:06:37	W35 Wagga Wagga: I Wen Wan vs Ena Shibahara	Ena Shibahara	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x027ab6…
10-10 00:05:41	W50 Heraklion: Ipek Oz vs Alice Tubello	Ipek Oz	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x28c066…
10-10 00:04:25	M15+H Rodez: Jelle Sels vs Emile Hudd	Emile Hudd	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdb84cd…
10-10 00:03:29	M25 Luan: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yanki Erel	Yanki Erel	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa4bfb5…
10-10 00:01:32	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe74dbd…
10-10 00:00:38	W50 Burgas: Alena Kovackova vs Anastasiia Sobolieva	Anastasiia Sobolieva	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6f9128…
10-09 19:32:08	Spread: Perth Wildcats (-3.5)	New Zealand Breakers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x533433…
10-09 19:30:22	Spread: Texans (-6.5)	Titans	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xefc2c1…
10-09 19:28:25	Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-4.5) vs Jan-Lennard Struff (+4.5)	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa1ddab…
10-09 19:26:41	Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - South America League Stage 2 Playoffs	Black Dragons e-Sports	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7267f4…
10-09 19:22:38	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	Procyon Gaming	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc25fe0…
10-09 19:21:10	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd49574…
10-09 19:19:19	r6siege faze liquid 2026 10 10	FaZe Clan	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x93fe6f…
10-08 21:41:42	W50 Burgas: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Luisina Giovannini	Anastasiia Sobolieva	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfac254…
10-08 21:40:47	Game Spread: Iga Swiatek (-5.5) vs Elise Mertens (+5.5)	Elise Mertens	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x95f618…