Hurtful-Set — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,082

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 05-14 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

55% — —

Other

28% — —

Crypto

16% 12% $-6

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp tiafoe nakashi 2026 02 27	2	$123	63	63	+0	open	—	02-28 06:58
nba por atl 2026 03 01 spread home 15pt5	2	$100	51	50	+0	open	—	03-02 01:43
nba nop lac 2026 03 01 spread home 6pt5	4	$53	56	0	+56	open	—	03-02 04:12
nba bkn bos 2026 02 27 spread home 18pt5	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	02-28 03:07
nba bkn bos 2026 02 27 spread home 16pt5	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	02-28 03:07
nba lal gsw 2026 02 28 spread away 4pt5	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-01 07:45
nba bkn sac 2026 03 22	1	$20	167	0	+167	open	—	03-23 00:29
nba cle det 2026 02 27	7	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 06:37
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$15	468	468	+0	open	—	04-26 03:32
wta annli sonmez 2026 02 26	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	02-27 00:14
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	2	$13	30	0	+30	open	—	04-07 05:19
nba sac dal 2026 02 26	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	02-27 03:22
sidemen charity match 2026 winner	2	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 15:25
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	1	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	04-10 01:53
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$9	81	0	+81	open	—	04-13 04:17
nba sac lal 2026 03 01 total 231pt5	3	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	03-02 04:18
nba hou gsw 2026 04 05 spread away 3pt5	2	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	04-05 04:31
mls orl mia 2026 03 01 mia	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	03-02 02:17
nba mem ind 2026 03 01 spread away 1pt5	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-02 00:24
nba hou was 2026 03 02 total 224pt5	2	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	03-02 13:36
btc updown 5m 1776747900	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	04-21 05:07
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	04-08 00:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	02-28 03:14
btc updown 5m 1777017300	2	$7	308	0	+308	open	—	04-24 08:00
btc updown 5m 1776656700	1	$7	104	0	+104	open	—	04-20 03:49
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	2	$7	25	0	+25	open	—	04-05 04:46
nba det orl 2026 03 01 spread away 4pt5	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-02 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$7	7	6	+0	open	—	04-25 02:04
sea rom juv 2026 03 01 total 2pt5	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-01 22:22
btc updown 5m 1776747300	3	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-21 04:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6ed794…
05-14 05:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xb64ca2…
05-14 05:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9ff268…
05-14 03:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd969c4…
05-14 03:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3cb057…
05-13 09:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x20c521…
05-13 08:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa30519…
05-13 08:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x90d313…
05-13 07:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x71ff68…
04-30 02:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x297364…
04-30 02:51:18	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe2232b…
04-30 02:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcbc5b4…
04-30 02:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4bbd16…
04-30 02:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x32cd37…
04-30 02:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xeead77…
04-30 02:18:08	Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc736c6…
04-30 02:18:02	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x02b6cd…
04-29 00:21:10	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa4f907…
04-29 00:21:00	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x48dd26…
04-29 00:18:50	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd62276…
04-29 00:18:24	Spread: Celtics (-9.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x70f866…
04-27 08:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x9ef15b…
04-27 08:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x617eb7…
04-27 07:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x1fc69f…
04-27 07:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x277979…
04-27 07:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xaaa7de…
04-27 07:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xfe5d80…
04-27 05:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x138a5b…
04-27 05:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x57ee2a…
04-27 05:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd137e9…
04-27 05:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfd6ad3…
04-27 05:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x76e18f…
04-27 05:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x94a952…
04-27 05:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x713d70…
04-27 04:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3f2a7e…
04-27 04:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x513c58…
04-27 04:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa1a3b0…
04-27 04:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x37e93b…
04-27 04:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x077a32…
04-27 04:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe6797d…
04-27 04:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x957179…
04-27 04:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x23e7c8…
04-27 04:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb33442…
04-27 03:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x65d57b…
04-27 03:42:46	Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5	Over	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x701445…
04-27 02:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xebf978…
04-27 02:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xd629c5…
04-27 02:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcc38e2…
04-27 02:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x81ac73…
04-27 02:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x46e9d5…
04-27 02:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x559c79…
04-27 02:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x99d030…
04-27 01:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x08ee2e…
04-26 12:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4dbddc…
04-26 12:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x1fa208…
04-26 12:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1a73ca…
04-26 12:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xddb427…
04-26 12:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd2be8d…
04-26 12:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x51079d…
04-26 12:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7d3c7f…
04-26 12:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcf8436…
04-26 11:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd0125d…
04-26 11:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x64ff1e…
04-26 11:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1b2451…
04-26 07:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x7e89a1…
04-26 06:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x63761b…
04-26 06:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdeadd6…
04-26 06:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x689da3…
04-26 06:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x516fa2…
04-26 05:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xa28189…
04-26 05:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf4d6b6…
04-26 05:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xca98df…
04-26 05:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1f88b4…
04-26 05:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x272995…
04-26 05:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2367e8…
04-26 03:32:44	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	468	1¢	$7	0xaf710a…
04-25 14:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe2990c…
04-25 11:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7126d4…
04-25 11:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7501d3…
04-25 07:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xada510…
04-25 07:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x840e5e…
04-25 07:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3b5838…
04-25 05:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8beeaf…
04-25 05:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xf08b10…
04-25 03:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xca8dba…
04-25 03:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3fa6f2…
04-25 03:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7651fb…
04-25 03:02:30	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x43d941…
04-25 03:02:08	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc472cf…
04-25 03:01:54	Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4a5818…
04-25 03:01:24	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x903fd4…
04-25 03:00:36	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x32557b…
04-25 03:00:06	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdd1520…
04-25 02:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd657a5…
04-25 02:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x15f696…
04-25 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x984003…
04-25 02:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x1778e7…
04-25 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x084159…
04-25 02:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x35d6c6…
04-25 02:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc5c0bf…