Innocent-Accommodation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

290

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$3.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 218 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% -$3

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 14:18
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:06
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:20
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 15:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:26
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 25corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 06:15
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:09
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:41
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:07
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 35c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:20
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:48
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:06
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:54
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 06:51
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaf0d5f…
10-27 16:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b32bc…
10-27 07:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa1584d…
10-26 05:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7416de…
10-24 06:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xc0849a…
10-22 09:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x139922…
10-20 04:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ed44f…
10-19 06:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1be40c…
10-18 07:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f2146…
10-17 07:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7b63e…
10-16 05:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac9577…
10-15 06:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d5c67…
10-14 07:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc026af…
10-13 14:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb46a28…
10-13 04:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67514a…
10-12 01:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea88a3…
10-11 03:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4b39c…
10-08 05:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35f513…
10-07 08:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cf6b9…
10-06 07:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb3c18…
10-04 07:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75602d…
10-03 03:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73505a…
10-02 07:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc69955…
10-01 07:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	No	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x466830…
10-01 07:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	167	5¢	$8	0x41c8fc…
09-30 09:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03cfdb…
09-29 06:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6697b8…
09-28 08:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60300e…
09-27 02:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fb1c7…
09-25 07:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ac6fa…
09-24 06:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0e880…
09-23 05:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0c473…
09-22 06:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ed4d2…
09-21 08:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f2b79…
09-20 03:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43bf03…
09-19 06:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x542e31…
09-18 01:09:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd52d9e…
09-17 01:07:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03bdc4…
09-16 08:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14f4c2…
09-15 23:33:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe007df…
09-15 02:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6051f9…
09-14 00:52:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fd46d…
09-13 12:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3183a3…
09-12 07:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81572f…
09-11 01:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d59fd…
09-10 01:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35e580…
09-09 00:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4d4b3…
09-08 01:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x190e3c…
09-07 01:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bc1cb…
09-06 07:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x138007…
09-06 01:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e1db6…
09-05 09:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe59980…
09-04 08:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf5a84…
09-03 01:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60d974…
09-01 01:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd580a3…
08-30 00:13:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe04d1c…
08-29 05:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde819a…
08-28 01:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x080405…
08-27 01:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfdb2d1…
08-26 02:00:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x246810…
08-25 06:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41b51f…
08-24 07:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bc660…
08-23 07:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf231a4…
08-22 06:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe37713…
08-21 01:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x560ca7…
08-20 05:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc61f97…
08-19 07:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb8340…
08-18 00:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x972d40…
08-17 06:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd63c3a…
08-16 01:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01e98e…
08-15 02:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee5e9d…
08-14 01:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfec145…
08-13 00:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x056239…
08-12 06:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34b418…
08-11 00:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x543b04…
08-10 00:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7fc73…
08-09 07:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f8407…
08-09 00:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d45cd…
08-08 00:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d724f…
08-07 00:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ceb0f…
08-06 00:21:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24e702…
08-05 00:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbd1d4…
08-04 03:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0dfba…
08-03 00:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x727652…
08-02 00:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85a05c…
08-01 00:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00dccb…
07-31 07:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d7ce4…
07-30 00:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37f087…
07-29 00:16:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1bbc9…
07-28 00:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffa1a3…
07-27 01:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb5831…
07-26 08:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bdd76…
07-26 01:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95091e…
07-25 00:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3222b6…
07-24 01:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5ef3c…
07-23 00:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6268e3…
07-22 01:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ef4ab…
07-20 23:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x442f80…
07-19 22:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d288b…
07-18 22:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c35a5…