Present-Study — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

22.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

81% 25% $-2

Other

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes		+4	$1	83¢	$4	+$3	05-06 00:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	1	$1	3	+3	Over	$-1	05-04 23:10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:24
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5	1	$1	2	+2	No	$-1	05-05 00:54
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5	1	$1	2	+2	No	$-1	05-05 00:55
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	1	$1	3	+3	Under	+$2	05-06 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:28:50	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6c692c…
05-06 00:24:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0870cc…
05-05 00:55:08	Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xede4bb…
05-05 00:54:36	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xea36e0…
05-04 23:10:00	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xb186d8…