Periodic-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$515

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

266

Trades

2,536

lifetime

Volume

$26.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 15:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% +$515

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on february 26	40	$577	3,800	3,027	+773	No	+$147	02-26 16:38
bitcoin above 64k on july 31 2026	4	$439	500	500	+0	No	+$339	07-31 14:03
bitcoin up or down on january 26	11	$438	1,600	1,600	+0	Down	+$186	01-26 16:57
bitcoin above 72k on march 24	31	$391	1,750	1,750	+0	No	+$3	03-24 15:24
bitcoin above 68k on march 30	28	$379	2,097	1,797	+300	No	+$60	03-30 15:43
bitcoin above 68k on march 11	43	$354	2,300	2,300	+0	Yes	+$18	03-11 13:52
bitcoin above 68k on february 13	17	$350	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$50	02-13 09:35
bitcoin above 66k on february 26	10	$313	2,000	3,000	-1,000	Yes	+$157	02-26 14:51
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	24	$310	1,556	1,515	+41	Yes	-$11	03-03 15:43
bitcoin above 70k on march 5	37	$280	3,274	3,274	+0	Yes	+$19	03-05 16:05
bitcoin above 70k on march 14	22	$271	1,500	1,186	+314	Yes	-$41	03-14 15:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	13	$271	862	862	+0	Yes	+$39	04-28 14:10
bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	10	$263	820	820	+0	Down	+$5	06-24 13:42
bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	16	$261	650	650	+0	Up	+$63	03-20 14:30
bitcoin above 72k on march 25	31	$261	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$11	03-25 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	7	$256	400	400	+0	Up	+$82	05-08 15:56
bitcoin above 74k on march 6	29	$238	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$22	03-06 07:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	7	$234	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$74	05-11 14:33
bitcoin above 68k on february 15	13	$231	2,033	2,000	+33	Yes	+$29	02-15 15:45
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	16	$227	725	725	+0	Yes	+$51	04-09 08:54
bitcoin above 68k on march 31	12	$227	1,800	1,157	+643	No	+$61	03-31 15:12
bitcoin above 72k on april 8	17	$226	800	800	+0	No	+$46	04-08 15:15
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	8	$224	1,109	1,109	+0	No	+$13	04-06 14:11
bitcoin up or down on february 4	13	$223	977	977	+0	Down	-$2	02-04 15:05
bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	37	$214	2,001	2,001	+0	No	-$7	07-15 15:33
bitcoin above 76k on september 17 2026	9	$212	800	800	+0	Yes	+$40	09-17 14:00
bitcoin above 68k on march 10	21	$212	2,300	1,300	+1,000	Yes	-$38	03-10 14:19
bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	56	$208	1,457	1,457	+0	Yes	+$31	07-17 14:19
bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	28	$208	950	950	+0	Up	+$0	03-15 08:56
bitcoin up or down on august 19 2026	5	$208	500	500	+0	Up	+$108	08-19 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:02:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	331	13¢	$43	0x0c17bd…
10-30 14:36:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xaf3c1e…
10-30 14:36:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x6d5615…
10-30 14:36:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	251	3¢	$7	0x6cb295…
10-30 14:25:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$22	0x921546…
10-30 14:11:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x963921…
10-30 14:05:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2b838e…
10-27 15:24:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	563	1¢	$6	0xc82a94…
10-27 15:19:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc3e9ee…
10-27 15:19:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x312c9d…
10-27 15:19:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	401	6¢	$24	0x146c65…
10-27 15:18:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x28cfcc…
10-27 15:12:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x4c0b34…
10-27 15:02:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xdc2e41…
10-27 15:02:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	76	5¢	$4	0xc156af…
10-26 15:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x8b0e36…
10-26 15:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x57cc0c…
10-26 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xbcadf8…
10-26 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xb81a40…
10-26 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	45	45¢	$20	0x04d14e…
10-26 15:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x417a32…
10-26 15:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xeb81a9…
10-26 14:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe74397…
10-26 13:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x8050fb…
10-26 13:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	91	20¢	$18	0x8a5715…
10-26 13:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x98a34a…
10-23 02:42:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0x8c1207…
10-23 02:37:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	250	6¢	$14	0x1c0e97…
10-23 01:22:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	162	12¢	$19	0xd6bc23…
10-23 01:21:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	238	12¢	$29	0x4f38c1…
10-22 02:30:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xabc28f…
10-22 02:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$12	0xe41fd7…
10-22 01:40:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	955	4¢	$39	0xd30bbc…
10-22 01:38:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x3354c7…
10-22 01:38:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xf0a596…
10-21 13:31:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xa886f4…
10-21 12:12:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xf8c800…
10-20 13:50:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	800	1¢	$8	0xb7b347…
10-20 12:41:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xff1125…
10-20 12:40:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	95	5¢	$4	0x8b429c…
10-20 12:33:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6f7391…
10-20 12:26:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x43b150…
10-20 12:22:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xff89a2…
10-20 12:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	176	6¢	$10	0x1dd962…
10-20 12:18:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	224	6¢	$12	0x21d39d…
10-19 10:07:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0x42ef49…
10-19 08:04:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$44	0xb706df…
10-19 02:27:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	292	7¢	$22	0xd4efdd…
10-19 02:26:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0xd01b3f…
10-19 02:25:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x0f72b3…
10-19 01:43:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	140	9¢	$13	0x4c688c…
10-19 01:26:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x03e4c8…
10-19 01:09:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	137	10¢	$14	0x2adef9…
10-16 14:17:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	236	2¢	$4	0x996f78…
10-16 12:46:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	214	3¢	$6	0x8c220d…
10-16 12:14:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x6b0de7…
10-16 12:05:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xf6fb71…
10-16 12:04:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x811a59…
10-16 11:13:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0xbf8594…
10-16 11:13:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x4e3f99…
10-16 11:13:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xb9e11d…
10-16 11:12:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x4d0a41…
10-16 03:32:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x7fb3fa…
10-15 14:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0xfca6c8…
10-15 14:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x970218…
10-15 14:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	SELL	76	21¢	$16	0x28e3a6…
10-15 14:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xe287da…
10-15 14:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x54b621…
10-15 13:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xf6fdcc…
10-15 13:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	SELL	280	6¢	$17	0x5dc6c5…
10-15 13:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xdbec16…
10-15 13:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	299	8¢	$24	0xd1ce22…
10-13 14:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	SELL	121	8¢	$10	0xf1b90d…
10-13 13:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe3c7f2…
10-13 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x8e5446…
10-13 13:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xce597c…
10-13 13:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2c6e83…
10-13 13:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xd7c1ce…
10-13 13:17:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	90	12¢	$11	0xa5183d…
10-13 13:09:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xf2535b…
10-13 12:51:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xe7c78f…
10-12 12:26:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	104	8¢	$8	0x9ddaf2…
10-12 09:27:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x9c19e5…
10-09 13:35:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	185	5¢	$9	0xad485c…
10-09 12:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	85	15¢	$13	0x2ebcef…
10-09 12:04:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xd32a5d…
10-09 12:00:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	187	20¢	$36	0x200bdd…
10-09 12:00:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	214	20¢	$42	0x2e4967…
10-09 11:31:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	401	5¢	$18	0xcddc1a…
10-08 03:42:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	SELL	405	19¢	$76	0xd28a52…
10-08 03:41:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	SELL	95	19¢	$18	0x261b6c…
10-08 01:05:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	490	10¢	$49	0x8d32d0…
10-08 01:05:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8d16d9…
09-30 13:41:06	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	520	2¢	$11	0x2938d7…
09-30 13:37:23	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0xdff503…
09-30 12:54:57	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	173	28¢	$48	0x3bfea2…
09-30 12:54:44	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0x16be66…
09-30 12:41:12	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xd7458f…
09-30 12:40:57	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	190	17¢	$32	0xace4be…
09-30 09:57:30	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$26	0xd9ecfc…