Costly-Sight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

5,901

Trades

9,986

lifetime

Volume

$129.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-29 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% +$11

Other

0% 25% -$44

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 8 4am et	19	$193	442	2	+440	Up	-$26	03-08 08:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 14:55 UTC	3	$138	100	50	+50	Down	-$8	03-13 15:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 04:50 UTC	5	$126	100	50	+50	Up	-$72	03-16 04:54
bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	13	$104	172	34	+138	Up	+$8	03-08 06:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:40 UTC	5	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-18 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:55 UTC	3	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-16 15:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:50 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-24 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 18:10 UTC	4	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-16 18:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:55 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-18 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:50 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-24 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 10:40 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-18 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:35 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-16 12:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 14:15 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-17 14:19
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:00 UTC	3	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-18 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:00 UTC	4	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-19 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:20 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-17 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:10 UTC	3	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-20 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:20 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-23 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:25 UTC	4	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-17 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 14:10 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-13 14:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:35 UTC	6	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-15 13:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 17:20 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-13 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:00 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-23 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:00 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-24 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:20 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-17 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 08:10 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-16 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:35 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-17 16:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:45 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-18 12:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:05 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-16 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 08:45 UTC	3	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-16 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 06:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x830ba2…
06-13 11:10:51	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xba7e8e…
06-12 23:55:42	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0650b1…
06-12 21:40:30	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4949b9…
06-12 20:17:09	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd54f04…
06-05 07:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x559e2a…
06-05 07:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2fd26e…
06-05 06:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5b44af…
06-05 06:58:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x971aa9…
06-05 06:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x299515…
06-05 06:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc222c8…
06-04 10:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd357b3…
06-04 10:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xed138d…
06-04 10:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x84fb96…
06-04 10:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x900ab4…
06-04 09:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xf3fb30…
06-04 09:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6b68c4…
06-04 09:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x095fc6…
06-04 09:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdc944b…
06-04 09:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xec88d0…
06-04 09:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf763f3…
06-04 09:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4a518a…
06-04 09:48:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1a9603…
06-04 09:38:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x15e4cc…
06-04 09:37:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x65dc77…
06-04 09:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x029f50…
06-04 09:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4c6cbc…
06-04 09:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xb13b92…
06-04 09:27:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x211eed…
06-04 09:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbe3981…
06-04 09:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x98a0f8…
06-04 09:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5935ad…
06-04 09:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf5778d…
06-04 09:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x96a37c…
06-04 09:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3e4991…
06-04 09:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x874460…
06-04 09:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x70b5a9…
06-04 09:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xedca31…
06-04 09:08:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x10e68d…
06-04 09:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9f7b61…
06-04 09:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa0646d…
06-04 09:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbb5b83…
06-03 21:58:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xed005a…
06-03 21:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x432d3e…
06-03 21:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xefc8f1…
06-03 21:52:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0857bd…
06-03 21:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x638b72…
06-03 21:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x40ab92…
06-03 21:33:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x04a36e…
06-03 21:32:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3519d5…
06-03 21:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4127b2…
06-03 21:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5067d8…
06-03 21:14:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x161b96…
06-03 21:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x295534…
06-03 20:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf63714…
06-03 20:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x34ce79…
06-03 13:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1731f0…
06-03 13:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x13c0a1…
06-03 12:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x045a7e…
06-03 12:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x744d96…
06-03 10:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf91b2c…
06-03 10:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9d2563…
06-03 10:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xec765b…
06-03 10:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x705881…
06-03 09:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe4f0a2…
06-03 09:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xd68ed2…
06-03 09:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x33c3ff…
06-03 09:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7e74f3…
06-03 09:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x065ac0…
06-03 08:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7526df…
06-03 08:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x18d53a…
06-03 07:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x162b3d…
06-03 07:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2ccdd3…
06-03 07:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd63879…
06-03 07:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7feca2…
06-03 07:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd28292…
06-03 07:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x450df5…
06-03 07:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbc44bb…
06-03 07:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc704e6…
06-03 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8a2185…
06-03 05:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x26a0ed…
06-03 05:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe8d34e…
06-03 05:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5b0987…
06-03 05:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa60304…
06-03 05:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x24dbcc…
06-03 05:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x049d8c…
06-03 05:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa52d21…
06-03 05:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe28260…
06-03 05:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x3607a9…
06-03 05:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd2a30c…
06-03 05:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xd6ef58…
06-03 05:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0421ac…
06-02 22:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x95ed68…
06-02 22:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xeba9a9…
06-02 22:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8c8417…
06-02 22:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c224e…
06-02 22:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x0599c4…
06-02 22:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x043b5e…
06-02 22:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6eadae…
06-02 22:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x806c6c…