Costly-Sight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

134

Trades

9,956

lifetime

Volume

$129.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-05 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% $-7

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 333 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 8 4am et	19	$193	442	2	+440	open	—	03-08 08:40
eth updown 5m 1773413700	3	$138	100	50	+50	open	—	03-13 15:00
eth updown 5m 1773636600	5	$126	100	50	+50	open	—	03-16 04:54
bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	13	$104	172	34	+138	open	—	03-08 06:16
eth updown 5m 1773855600	5	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-18 17:44
eth updown 5m 1774226100	3	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-23 00:39
btc updown 5m 1773845700	3	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-18 14:59
eth updown 5m 1773634800	4	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 04:24
btc updown 5m 1773756300	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 14:10
btc updown 5m 1774252800	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-23 08:04
btc updown 5m 1773499200	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 14:44
btc updown 5m 1773811500	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-18 05:29
eth updown 5m 1773929700	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-19 14:19
btc updown 5m 1773830400	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-18 10:46
btc updown 5m 1773427800	5	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 18:54
eth updown 5m 1773695100	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 21:09
btc updown 5m 1774041000	3	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-20 21:15
btc updown 5m 1773864000	3	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-18 20:05
xrp updown 5m 1773849300	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-18 15:59
btc updown 5m 1773416100	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 15:39
sol updown 5m 1774213800	4	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-22 21:14
btc updown 5m 1773650700	3	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 08:49
btc updown 5m 1774374300	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-24 17:51
btc updown 5m 1773684600	4	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 18:14
eth updown 5m 1773696900	5	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 21:39
btc updown 5m 1773417300	5	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 15:59
btc updown 5m 1773632100	4	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 03:39
btc updown 5m 1773765300	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 16:39
btc updown 5m 1773761700	3	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 15:39
btc updown 5m 1773411000	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 20:17:09	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd54f04…
06-05 07:09:01	btc updown 5m 1780643100	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x559e2a…
06-05 07:08:57	btc updown 5m 1780643100	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2fd26e…
06-05 06:59:22	btc updown 5m 1780642500	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5b44af…
06-05 06:58:49	btc updown 5m 1780642500	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x971aa9…
06-04 10:14:16	btc updown 5m 1780567800	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd357b3…
06-04 10:13:25	btc updown 5m 1780567800	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xed138d…
06-04 09:58:13	btc updown 5m 1780566900	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xf3fb30…
06-04 09:58:13	btc updown 5m 1780566900	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6b68c4…
06-04 09:58:12	btc updown 5m 1780566900	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x095fc6…
06-04 09:57:45	btc updown 5m 1780566900	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdc944b…
06-04 09:53:22	btc updown 5m 1780566600	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xec88d0…
06-04 09:53:06	btc updown 5m 1780566600	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf763f3…
06-04 09:49:04	btc updown 5m 1780566300	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4a518a…
06-04 09:48:10	btc updown 5m 1780566300	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1a9603…
06-04 09:38:46	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x15e4cc…
06-04 09:37:03	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x65dc77…
06-04 09:28:09	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xb13b92…
06-04 09:27:36	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x211eed…
06-04 09:27:31	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbe3981…
06-04 09:27:31	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x98a0f8…
06-04 09:27:31	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5935ad…
06-04 09:18:13	btc updown 5m 1780564500	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3e4991…
06-04 09:17:03	btc updown 5m 1780564500	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x874460…
06-04 09:08:01	btc updown 5m 1780563900	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x10e68d…
06-04 09:07:40	btc updown 5m 1780563900	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9f7b61…
06-04 09:03:04	btc updown 5m 1780563600	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa0646d…
06-04 09:02:16	btc updown 5m 1780563600	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbb5b83…
06-03 21:58:55	btc updown 5m 1780523700	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xed005a…
06-03 21:57:39	btc updown 5m 1780523700	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x432d3e…
06-03 21:52:33	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xefc8f1…
06-03 21:52:22	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0857bd…
06-03 21:48:21	btc updown 5m 1780523100	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x638b72…
06-03 21:47:49	btc updown 5m 1780523100	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x40ab92…
06-03 21:33:25	btc updown 5m 1780522200	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x04a36e…
06-03 21:32:40	btc updown 5m 1780522200	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3519d5…
06-03 21:18:07	btc updown 5m 1780521300	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4127b2…
06-03 21:17:21	btc updown 5m 1780521300	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5067d8…
06-03 21:14:10	btc updown 5m 1780521000	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x161b96…
06-03 21:12:52	btc updown 5m 1780521000	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x295534…
06-03 20:57:48	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf63714…
06-03 20:57:16	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x34ce79…
06-03 13:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1731f0…
06-03 13:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x13c0a1…
06-03 12:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x045a7e…
06-03 12:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x744d96…
06-03 10:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf91b2c…
06-03 10:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9d2563…
06-03 10:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xec765b…
06-03 10:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x705881…
06-03 09:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe4f0a2…
06-03 09:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xd68ed2…
06-03 09:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x33c3ff…
06-03 09:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7e74f3…
06-03 09:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x065ac0…
06-03 08:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7526df…
06-03 08:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x18d53a…
06-03 07:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x162b3d…
06-03 07:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2ccdd3…
06-03 07:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd63879…
06-03 07:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7feca2…
06-03 07:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd28292…
06-03 07:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x450df5…
06-03 07:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbc44bb…
06-03 07:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc704e6…
06-03 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8a2185…
06-03 05:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x26a0ed…
06-03 05:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe8d34e…
06-03 05:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5b0987…
06-03 05:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa60304…
06-03 05:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x24dbcc…
06-03 05:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x049d8c…
06-03 05:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa52d21…
06-03 05:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe28260…
06-03 05:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x3607a9…
06-03 05:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd2a30c…
06-03 05:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xd6ef58…
06-03 05:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0421ac…
06-02 22:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x95ed68…
06-02 22:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xeba9a9…
06-02 22:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8c8417…
06-02 22:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c224e…
06-02 22:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x0599c4…
06-02 22:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x043b5e…
06-02 22:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6eadae…
06-02 22:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x806c6c…
06-02 10:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7f79bf…
06-02 10:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd2a2be…
06-02 10:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x116dc9…
06-02 10:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x60ae1c…
06-02 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x936302…
06-02 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x361c51…
06-02 09:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x00c4b3…
06-02 08:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x7049cc…
06-02 08:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x19528d…
06-02 08:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdf9faf…
06-02 08:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xecccf5…
06-02 08:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0b6fa3…
06-02 08:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x00b0d8…
06-02 08:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa6475b…