Soggy-Brilliant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.90K

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

170

Trades

2,270

lifetime

Volume

$386.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

$7.59K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 81% +$6,624

Politics

22% 39% -$18,746

Other

15% 72% -$5,048

Tech

1% 100% +$521

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+7,455	$5,627	58¢	$4.4K	-$1,266	06-03 18:39
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	-1,793	-$1,632	97¢	$-1747	-$116	05-24 07:18
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,800	$1,036	37¢	$1.0K	+$7	05-10 11:31
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	+1,400	$882	16¢	$231	-$651	05-03 15:03
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,200	$82	17¢	$206	+$124	06-05 21:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 92k on january 11	61	$19.2K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$840	01-11 12:59
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$19.1K	21,000	0	+21,000	Yes	+$1,890	03-16 18:12
bitcoin above 82k on february 1	60	$18.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$830	02-01 05:44
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	7	$18.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$2,000	01-21 20:37
trump approval up or down this week 619	29	$13.4K	7,600	7,600	+0	Down	+$1,224	03-13 13:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?	22	$9.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$300	05-24 13:56
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	46	$9.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$800	02-09 19:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$8.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$1,149	03-25 19:01
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	39	$8.5K	9,070	0	+9,070	Yes	+$539	01-24 03:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 12	93	$8.4K	9,518	0	+9,518	Yes	+$1,143	04-12 13:12
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	45	$8.3K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	-$8,280	02-05 21:15
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	31	$8.0K	8,900	0	+8,900	Yes	+$896	01-21 23:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?	27	$7.7K	8,800	0	+8,800	No	-$7,737	04-30 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	7	$7.2K	7,700	0	+7,700	Yes	+$545	05-16 15:29
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	5	$6.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	-$6,797	02-08 10:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	3	$6.2K	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	+$840	05-09 12:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 1	5	$5.8K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	+$180	03-01 16:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	9	$5.8K	7,300	1,067	+6,233	Yes	+$797	04-26 15:56
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	19	$5.6K	7,455	0	+7,455	open	—	06-03 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	56	$5.6K	5,703	0	+5,703	Up	+$103	05-13 19:43
will liberal alliance win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	4	$5.3K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$5,332	03-24 20:37
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	33	$5.0K	5,900	0	+5,900	No	+$885	02-14 21:02
bitcoin above 90k on january 9	1	$4.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	-$4,894	01-08 11:21
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$4.8K	3,700	3,700	+0	Yes	-$111	05-11 21:40
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	35	$4.8K	5,505	0	+5,505	Yes	+$736	05-04 00:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 15?	21	$4.7K	4,792	0	+4,792	Yes	+$58	05-15 15:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 26?	7	$4.7K	5,500	0	+5,500	Yes	+$779	04-26 15:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$4.5K	5,100	0	+5,100	No	+$561	05-03 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	48	$4.5K	12,614	0	+12,614	Down	-$4,481	05-13 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	43	$4.3K	5,694	0	+5,694	Up	+$1,442	05-13 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:51:04	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	394	32¢	$126	0x08f16a…
10-27 09:03:32	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xc93e23…
10-09 15:08:30	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3e4e95…
10-05 18:45:43	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	145	32¢	$46	0xd74295…
10-05 08:03:20	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x854bc7…
09-23 23:07:38	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0x72d11a…
09-23 12:13:04	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xa60d10…
09-23 12:12:35	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa5a3e6…
09-23 12:12:32	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc452a2…
09-23 12:12:05	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x4e795b…
09-23 12:12:05	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x3b7843…
09-23 12:12:04	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x8b1895…
09-23 12:11:56	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xedb5a0…
09-23 12:11:56	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x7d6955…
09-23 12:11:46	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa668d1…
07-04 09:10:23	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x49ed6e…
07-04 06:12:19	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xd6f015…
06-08 21:12:00	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x10984a…
06-05 23:43:00	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	34¢	$680	0xc36f0b…
06-05 21:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x347730…
06-05 21:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xc6c1bb…
06-05 21:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x3f3194…
06-05 21:48:31	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,200	7¢	$82	0x5d3dbf…
06-03 18:39:21	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$39	0x9213f1…
06-03 18:39:21	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	762	75¢	$571	0x420a24…
06-03 18:39:21	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x38afea…
06-03 18:39:15	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	111	75¢	$83	0x1b5a26…
06-03 18:38:13	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6d25b4…
06-03 18:38:00	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	31	75¢	$24	0xeb0f62…
06-03 18:37:19	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	646	75¢	$484	0x95c04b…
06-03 18:36:30	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xb3ade6…
06-03 18:36:22	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xf4aeec…
06-03 18:36:22	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	292	75¢	$219	0x97de82…
06-03 18:33:19	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	115	75¢	$86	0xb921b2…
06-03 18:13:40	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x60ad41…
06-03 18:09:04	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xedd1a5…
06-03 17:52:10	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	173	75¢	$130	0x6e8645…
06-03 17:47:49	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	57	75¢	$43	0xfb7ccf…
06-03 17:44:10	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3,555	76¢	$2,702	0x4b17e5…
06-03 17:43:27	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x9c460a…
06-03 17:43:25	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x95092a…
06-03 17:43:25	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,090	75¢	$818	0x172800…
06-02 20:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x528877…
06-02 20:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x2dfea2…
06-02 20:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xb96b9a…
06-02 20:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0ddda1…
06-02 20:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf7897a…
06-02 20:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xac0315…
06-02 20:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xe072d7…
06-02 20:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7e8a81…
06-02 20:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xaaa528…
06-02 20:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x4e015d…
06-02 20:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x74948b…
06-02 20:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x060d75…
06-02 20:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x134b9b…
06-02 20:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x35898b…
06-02 20:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xd99709…
06-02 20:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x6157a2…
06-01 05:31:22	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9ff622…
06-01 05:31:19	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xeeb686…
06-01 05:31:19	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	225	32¢	$72	0x784b7e…
06-01 05:31:19	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0x07ec3b…
06-01 05:31:19	Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x030586…
05-31 05:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x777892…
05-31 05:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x60a0c2…
05-31 05:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	279	9¢	$25	0x631449…
05-31 04:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xe1caf7…
05-31 04:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x66c441…
05-31 04:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xabcd9a…
05-31 04:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x59ac7d…
05-31 04:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x742a0b…
05-31 04:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x8cdfbd…
05-31 04:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x211ea7…
05-31 04:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x593868…
05-29 19:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xaed66d…
05-29 19:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x685554…
05-29 19:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x57ddf0…
05-29 19:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3ee6ac…
05-29 19:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xa393ac…
05-29 19:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x5c30aa…
05-29 19:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xb38b5a…
05-29 19:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x2ce063…
05-29 19:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x1516aa…
05-29 19:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xe3e28e…
05-29 19:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x99b2e0…
05-29 19:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xfb1dd2…
05-29 19:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x3de3a0…
05-29 19:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe1d971…
05-29 19:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xac36b6…
05-29 19:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x876d02…
05-29 19:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x59c75e…
05-29 19:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3f346f…
05-29 19:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xce1d27…
05-29 19:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xaff3e8…
05-29 19:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x82ee07…
05-29 19:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x30aa7c…
05-29 19:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x580087…
05-29 19:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xba8173…
05-29 19:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x081ff5…
05-29 19:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x949d1f…