Quarterly-Appropriation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

112

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$603

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 08-02 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 57% -$6

Other

21% 65% -$3

Politics

4% 67% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	05-14 20:19
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	08-02 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	8	$19	14	14	+0	Up	-$1	05-14 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$16	12	6	+5	Up	+$1	05-14 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$16	18	6	+12	Down	-$4	05-14 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$15	45	6	+38	Down	-$5	05-14 20:29
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	05-16 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 21:09
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	05-16 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Down	$0	05-17 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	8	$11	13	9	+4	Up	-$1	05-14 21:33
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	2	$11	17	0	+17	No	-$11	06-15 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-17 12:34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	05-17 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	05-14 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	6	$10	13	0	+13	Down	$0	05-17 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-17 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$6	05-14 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$10	9	4	+5	Up	+$1	05-18 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-15 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$9	25	14	+11	Up	+$3	05-18 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	9	$9	9	6	+3	Up	-$1	05-16 12:29
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	4	$8	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-22 17:04
Belgium to score first vs. Egypt?	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	$0	06-15 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$8	8	2	+5	Up	+$1	05-18 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$7	12	6	+7	Up	-$1	05-17 12:29
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$6	13	3	+10	Down	-$2	05-14 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 17:56:06	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x8e8d75…
06-15 18:39:09	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x808277…
06-15 18:32:00	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x91f6cf…
06-15 17:51:16	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x9c665f…
06-15 17:50:36	Belgium to score first vs. Egypt?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xa4f204…
06-15 08:01:06	Belgium to score first vs. Egypt?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x8995f4…
06-15 08:00:12	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xd849c7…
06-11 18:41:10	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc61b8e…
05-30 17:35:17	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xd26f0e…
05-30 17:30:34	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc4b0c5…
05-30 15:39:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc4b1d0…
05-24 17:07:16	Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7d475e…
05-24 17:07:10	Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5abf0b…
05-24 17:07:05	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd83755…
05-22 17:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3b0e10…
05-22 17:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe18e16…
05-22 17:15:48	Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x3b9c55…
05-22 17:15:46	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x66ef2e…
05-22 17:14:08	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x44c0e2…
05-22 17:04:05	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xf912f7…
05-22 07:59:44	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x91153c…
05-22 07:59:08	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xbddb45…
05-21 22:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xda5b44…
05-21 22:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2a7403…
05-21 22:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xd82ef4…
05-21 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0723bb…
05-21 22:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x274727…
05-21 22:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3ad96c…
05-21 22:18:29	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x09d8dc…
05-21 22:07:55	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x9e466b…
05-21 19:56:42	Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc4e443…
05-21 19:56:35	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x263398…
05-21 19:52:54	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3305ba…
05-21 19:52:42	Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x61f26e…
05-21 19:52:19	Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xad8492…
05-21 19:52:16	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6ec2e0…
05-19 11:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xbe4e64…
05-19 11:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb87e7d…
05-19 11:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5a578b…
05-19 04:01:31	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xf5763a…
05-18 20:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6a78d7…
05-18 20:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb03cc9…
05-18 20:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x5a9aa6…
05-18 20:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa02594…
05-18 20:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x10bd99…
05-18 20:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0329d3…
05-18 20:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb2f676…
05-18 20:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x4e002b…
05-18 20:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xdd7360…
05-18 20:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4f323d…
05-18 20:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x86b2cc…
05-18 19:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x987a56…
05-18 19:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xd828f9…
05-18 19:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x623eb6…
05-18 19:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe57ff7…
05-18 19:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xdbf80a…
05-18 19:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x06e3a5…
05-18 19:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xe02db9…
05-18 19:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1eb919…
05-18 19:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x42e90b…
05-18 19:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xce629a…
05-18 19:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7702ef…
05-18 19:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x067bd9…
05-18 19:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2b0553…
05-18 19:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdd2479…
05-18 18:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0xcf94f6…
05-18 18:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa6ba74…
05-18 18:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xfe93da…
05-18 18:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe33ea8…
05-18 18:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12f911…
05-18 18:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xd644b7…
05-18 18:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4c42d6…
05-18 18:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xbfccde…
05-18 18:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd3342a…
05-17 20:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0a0dcb…
05-17 20:51:42	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xde2c05…
05-17 20:50:46	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb0bc76…
05-17 20:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x0672d7…
05-17 20:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcd655e…
05-17 20:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1990c6…
05-17 20:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xccd0d1…
05-17 20:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7d8b82…
05-17 20:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xccc706…
05-17 20:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xb2f171…
05-17 20:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x46e583…
05-17 19:28:55	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x18fb4f…
05-17 19:27:23	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf6766d…
05-17 19:26:46	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x8edca4…
05-17 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5e580…
05-17 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b124a…
05-17 19:00:12	Will Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa5852a…
05-17 18:48:21	Will Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe1d6ae…
05-17 17:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x49ef45…
05-17 17:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x444bac…
05-17 17:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc1fffd…
05-17 17:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x795ea4…
05-17 17:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe52a93…
05-17 17:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x73a340…
05-17 17:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x409d7a…
05-17 17:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x20868b…