Jolly-Kickoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

194

Trades

612

lifetime

Volume

$5.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-06 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 79% -$1

Other

3% 29% -$54

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$149	111	56	+55	Down	+$4	05-03 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:00 UTC	4	$114	61	61	+0	Up	$0	04-21 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:55 UTC	6	$95	51	51	+0	Up	+$6	04-19 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:50 UTC	3	$90	46	46	+0	Down	+$1	04-19 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:45 UTC	10	$87	45	45	+0	Up	+$3	04-19 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:20 UTC	9	$86	47	47	+0	Up	+$3	04-20 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:40 UTC	7	$81	42	42	+0	Up	+$3	04-19 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:15 UTC	6	$80	42	42	+0	Up	+$3	04-20 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:35 UTC	13	$78	45	44	+1	Up	+$3	04-19 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:10 UTC	8	$76	42	41	+0	Down	+$1	04-20 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:55 UTC	7	$75	40	40	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:50 UTC	3	$73	37	37	+0	Down	+$1	04-20 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:30 UTC	9	$71	41	40	+1	Down	+$4	04-19 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$71	46	46	+0	Down	-$7	05-05 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$69	74	0	+74	Down	-$69	05-03 11:04
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	5	$68	91	88	+2	No	-$47	04-19 15:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 12:55 UTC	8	$67	35	35	+0	Down	+$3	04-20 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$67	69	0	+69	Down	+$2	05-03 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$66	68	0	+68	Up	+$2	05-03 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	4	$64	35	35	+0	Down	-$2	04-21 15:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:05 UTC	4	$63	36	29	+7	Up	-$5	04-21 14:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:55 UTC	2	$62	32	31	+0	Down	+$1	04-21 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 13:10 UTC	7	$61	46	45	+1	Down	$0	04-19 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$60	66	0	+66	Down	+$6	05-03 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 13:00 UTC	3	$58	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	04-19 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$58	62	0	+62	Down	+$4	05-03 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:45 UTC	2	$57	29	29	+0	Down	+$1	04-21 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:10 UTC	4	$55	29	29	+0	Up	+$2	04-19 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$55	59	0	+59	Up	+$4	05-03 10:33
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	2	$55	39	39	+1	No	-$1	04-21 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 13:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x8e17fc…
05-06 13:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x896a20…
05-06 13:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6225d4…
05-06 13:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa49434…
05-06 11:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcc3bcc…
05-06 11:03:52	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x684039…
05-06 11:03:24	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x71aac2…
05-06 08:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xbece1b…
05-06 07:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xfa9580…
05-06 07:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x51c902…
05-06 07:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xebefab…
05-06 07:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x51c904…
05-06 07:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdf9e61…
05-06 07:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x80edd4…
05-06 07:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x9a6da2…
05-06 07:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x5f4e25…
05-06 07:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x788bdb…
05-06 07:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xeb9876…
05-06 07:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x6a29fe…
05-06 05:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x1989ac…
05-06 05:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	24	77¢	$19	0x8e236a…
05-06 05:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x34ae11…
05-06 05:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x28eb41…
05-06 05:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x752482…
05-06 05:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x534d59…
05-06 05:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x602482…
05-06 05:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x36cb46…
05-06 05:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x826374…
05-06 05:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xfa02b3…
05-06 05:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x735629…
05-06 05:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x249230…
05-06 05:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xb87098…
05-06 05:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x75b77b…
05-06 05:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x028d0a…
05-06 05:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x38eea6…
05-06 05:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x8df1c7…
05-06 05:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2d13f5…
05-06 04:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9d40ef…
05-06 04:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x99a6a7…
05-06 04:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9b302a…
05-06 04:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x1eee61…
05-06 04:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3acf29…
05-06 01:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4b07b5…
05-06 00:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x78204e…
05-06 00:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2e52d2…
05-05 23:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x433880…
05-05 23:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2b6e09…
05-05 22:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x2c377e…
05-05 22:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd317f7…
05-05 22:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x32dacd…
05-05 19:51:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa1c6c3…
05-05 19:34:30	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x6d3c93…
05-05 17:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x855bd2…
05-05 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x05ba2a…
05-05 17:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xfe6969…
05-05 17:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$2	0xac3ddc…
05-05 17:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9f61c9…
05-05 16:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xb184fd…
05-05 16:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xe8694b…
05-05 16:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa7d2d0…
05-05 16:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x7afccd…
05-05 16:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x215a0b…
05-05 16:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x606bba…
05-05 16:26:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x32c59b…
05-05 16:24:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8cd0b4…
05-05 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xd7cd48…
05-05 16:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2e1a84…
05-05 16:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xb719a9…
05-05 16:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xce0090…
05-05 16:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd23563…
05-05 15:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xde8625…
05-05 15:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4d6f74…
05-05 15:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6a05ab…
05-05 15:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7d0a76…
05-05 15:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0xc1bb05…
05-05 15:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6a9d24…
05-05 15:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x6bc7c6…
05-05 15:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x013a3b…
05-05 15:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd28543…
05-05 15:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2b63e3…
05-05 15:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa4f660…
05-05 14:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf4102d…
05-05 14:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x774689…
05-05 14:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0b06da…
05-05 13:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4dda1f…
05-05 13:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x717ebd…
05-05 13:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x097484…
05-05 13:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf390eb…
05-05 13:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0xab1007…
05-05 13:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xe25149…
05-05 13:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x4724f3…
05-05 13:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0xc34495…
05-05 13:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xf73e7f…
05-05 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd65935…
05-05 13:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x16b9c7…
05-05 13:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf6115d…
05-05 13:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x0fba94…
05-05 13:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x36607e…
05-05 13:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf32af2…
05-05 13:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x149096…