Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$498

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-29

last 11-04 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 93% -$16

Other

18% 67% -$8

Politics

10% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 45% by December 31?	Yes		+0	$1	36¢	$0	-$1	11-04 10:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?	4	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	10-31 19:37
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	3	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	11-04 16:02
Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026?	4	$17	40	40	+0	open	—	10-31 18:03
AOC flips Newsom for 2028 president by December 31?	5	$14	40	40	+0	Yes	-$4	11-04 10:23
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	11-04 06:00
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in October?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	11-04 16:02
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-29 20:06
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-29 20:02
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-30 05:23
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	-$10	10-29 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-29 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-29 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	10-29 20:01
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	10-29 20:01
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	6	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	11-04 16:02
Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 45% by December 31?	2	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	11-04 10:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-30 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	10-30 00:23
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	10-30 04:02
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-30 03:48
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-30 05:02
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-30 03:48
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-30 03:48
BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-30 01:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-29 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-30 05:12
BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	10-30 00:18
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	10-29 22:28
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	10-29 23:46
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-30 03:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:02:55	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x0b6a84…
11-04 16:02:49	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x4fd915…
11-04 16:02:45	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x75e92f…
11-04 15:43:31	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xdf4ac9…
11-04 12:14:25	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x55bb7d…
11-04 10:23:40	AOC flips Newsom for 2028 president by December 31?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xce323c…
11-04 10:10:40	Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 45% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x2ab434…
11-04 08:01:16	AOC flips Newsom for 2028 president by December 31?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x0ce621…
11-04 06:00:09	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xdbe78c…
11-04 04:56:28	AOC flips Newsom for 2028 president by December 31?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa2140c…
11-04 04:47:24	Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 45% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xbfdde8…
11-04 03:13:15	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x2be638…
11-04 02:37:15	AOC flips Newsom for 2028 president by December 31?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x9a3de3…
11-04 02:37:15	AOC flips Newsom for 2028 president by December 31?	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x4797cf…
11-04 01:07:03	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x964259…
11-03 23:33:51	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x4b28bb…
11-03 23:33:49	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8ebac3…
11-03 22:53:12	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xab3e3c…
11-03 19:51:18	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xff5fa0…
11-03 17:02:36	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x02057e…
10-31 19:37:43	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xb5cabc…
10-31 18:27:06	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd96bcc…
10-31 18:13:00	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xc69508…
10-31 18:03:52	Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0x6a2a7b…
10-31 17:08:45	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x76391a…
10-31 14:35:45	Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xfd1c4b…
10-31 14:04:52	Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x8d2546…
10-31 14:04:40	Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x39ceae…
10-30 05:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe3b0be…
10-30 05:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfd3739…
10-30 05:32:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5eb83d…
10-30 05:23:55	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1b97f5…
10-30 05:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ff7e1…
10-30 05:02:21	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x55c437…
10-30 05:02:21	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x151694…
10-30 05:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ab686…
10-30 04:32:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x595e00…
10-30 04:32:19	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb7cbaa…
10-30 04:17:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb52c1a…
10-30 04:13:25	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0ed6a5…
10-30 04:02:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbe2b9d…
10-30 03:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x607ebf…
10-30 03:48:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3f4404…
10-30 03:48:51	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xef7608…
10-30 03:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x617dbc…
10-30 03:48:15	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x16b4a1…
10-30 03:38:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8e0de6…
10-30 03:38:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x72c48d…
10-30 03:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1216c2…
10-30 03:32:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8f804e…
10-30 03:32:45	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa197bf…
10-30 03:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7ba191…
10-30 03:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0c35b9…
10-30 01:44:10	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc714b0…
10-30 01:31:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfd2c51…
10-30 01:31:21	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7e7576…
10-30 01:31:19	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xde8a4b…
10-30 01:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xccbbe6…
10-30 01:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x12423e…
10-30 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4fed37…
10-30 00:22:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe8f38e…
10-30 00:18:09	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbcda45…
10-30 00:13:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4e875d…
10-30 00:13:06	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x85caa7…
10-30 00:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5e7c41…
10-30 00:03:33	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcaefa0…
10-29 23:46:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8739a2…
10-29 23:46:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x05cc84…
10-29 23:46:49	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x980fbe…
10-29 23:46:48	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x185669…
10-29 23:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdce6fc…
10-29 23:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x14d1e8…
10-29 23:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa60ed7…
10-29 23:14:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa0e9a5…
10-29 23:13:40	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x814d64…
10-29 22:59:15	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xf8c537…
10-29 22:54:03	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xda0ecf…
10-29 22:53:07	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37f5c0…
10-29 22:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x72a0c4…
10-29 22:34:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9860b6…
10-29 22:33:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3822a8…
10-29 22:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x65f14d…
10-29 22:29:10	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2e36ea…
10-29 22:28:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbfec3f…
10-29 22:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0ebfa6…
10-29 21:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcd4aa0…
10-29 20:48:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x61615e…
10-29 20:47:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x416244…
10-29 20:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8a588f…
10-29 20:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x64ac38…
10-29 20:47:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7a7d0e…
10-29 20:42:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6a198b…
10-29 20:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc67e21…
10-29 20:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf390d3…
10-29 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9520d0…
10-29 20:02:18	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x998ac6…
10-29 20:02:06	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xecb18d…
10-29 20:01:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa5814d…
10-29 20:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xed18a5…
10-29 20:01:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcf48f1…