Medical-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

902

lifetime

Volume

$5.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-20 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

71% 50% +$1

Politics

20% 100% +$19

Sports

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	52	$482	246	246	+0	open	—	04-24 10:31
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	69	$455	262	262	+0	open	—	04-21 20:07
mex caz tij 2026 04 18 tij	32	$233	130	130	+0	open	—	04-18 23:00
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-24?	18	$224	124	124	+0	open	—	04-25 00:33
tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	15	$222	116	116	+0	open	—	04-24 17:10
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$221	112	112	+0	open	—	05-19 20:24
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	35	$214	123	123	+0	open	—	04-19 01:50
den nor agf 2026 04 23 spread home 2pt5	25	$209	110	110	+0	open	—	04-23 16:31
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	27	$199	103	103	+0	open	—	04-24 06:24
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-25?	16	$195	117	116	+1	open	—	04-24 20:50
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 198pt5	2	$166	90	90	+0	open	—	06-11 01:29
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	32	$153	174	152	+22	open	—	04-27 15:58
mls vwh skc 2026 04 17 total 1pt5	43	$151	80	80	-0	open	—	04-18 03:00
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	16	$127	192	192	+0	open	—	04-27 08:49
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	17	$121	144	111	+33	Yes	+$19	04-28 10:59
will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	18	$120	57	65	-8	open	—	04-16 07:45
will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	24	$113	63	63	+0	open	—	04-19 02:31
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	30	$105	101	101	+0	open	—	04-28 04:38
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	22	$93	47	54	-7	open	—	04-18 00:01
mls vwh skc 2026 04 17 vwh	22	$92	52	52	-0	open	—	04-18 03:11
ere psv zwo 2026 04 23 psv	11	$80	47	47	+0	open	—	04-23 19:10
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	13	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	04-17 08:09
ere psv zwo 2026 04 23 zwo	5	$78	42	41	+0	open	—	04-23 19:10
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	15	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	04-16 01:47
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$76	44	44	+0	open	—	05-28 12:30
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	24	$71	124	131	-7	open	—	04-28 00:36
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	24	$63	56	73	-17	open	—	04-28 04:40
will the pittsburgh steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 nfl draft	5	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-24 03:03
pakistan military action against afghanistan by april 15	4	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-16 05:12
chi hai qin 2026 04 17 total 4pt5	14	$56	33	33	+0	open	—	04-17 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 18:06:13	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x1f1885…
06-11 03:32:33	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3c0a75…
06-11 03:27:19	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xeb9933…
06-11 01:29:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 198pt5	Over	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0x2b5c58…
06-11 01:12:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xcb2eb2…
06-11 00:35:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 198pt5	Over	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0x3f665b…
06-09 01:17:57	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 198pt5	Over	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x2c5a97…
06-09 01:07:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x9eafb3…
06-04 03:02:31	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x4d37e4…
06-04 02:57:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xb7fbd1…
06-03 16:11:21	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x0f2579…
06-03 16:10:31	Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x56150f…
06-02 10:21:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe03d99…
05-31 01:17:33	Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xa5a79b…
05-30 19:08:35	Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf963cd…
05-30 18:14:45	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xb7c8c0…
05-30 15:56:12	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8fa5f1…
05-30 12:16:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x97ee34…
05-28 12:30:42	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x3b6d52…
05-28 12:15:07	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x084577…
05-22 13:42:29	LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4e5a87…
05-22 11:01:04	LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbe543f…
05-21 03:16:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x7288da…
05-19 20:24:45	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb9a9dd…
05-19 20:23:35	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x8cc252…
05-19 20:22:55	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0xcb4bbe…
05-16 17:12:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x6fff3a…
05-16 12:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0a880f…
05-15 00:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x11e4be…
05-15 00:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xb83b71…
05-04 20:14:18	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x248285…
05-04 19:47:20	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x6f90f4…
05-03 14:28:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x491c0e…
05-03 14:24:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xe31d13…
05-03 14:15:42	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x516b30…
05-03 14:15:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x63b46f…
05-03 14:13:50	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xec27a0…
05-03 14:13:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6a9791…
04-28 15:30:40	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x1469fb…
04-28 15:30:34	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xa3c243…
04-28 10:59:06	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x27cc4b…
04-28 05:01:10	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x46dbfe…
04-28 04:54:38	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xed97ef…
04-28 04:47:20	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4853b7…
04-28 04:41:54	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xd841eb…
04-28 04:41:46	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x7f1e90…
04-28 04:40:50	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x004630…
04-28 04:38:38	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x9db3bb…
04-28 04:38:04	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xadc7a3…
04-28 03:03:00	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x61f32a…
04-28 00:36:24	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xc1c9e5…
04-27 18:12:46	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xbf6fca…
04-27 18:00:28	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x854d9f…
04-27 17:57:50	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf4f385…
04-27 17:54:58	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x890fbf…
04-27 17:52:32	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe7c305…
04-27 17:09:46	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x222548…
04-27 16:50:58	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9d04b4…
04-27 16:47:54	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x170334…
04-27 16:44:50	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe40fb3…
04-27 16:42:20	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x85a39c…
04-27 16:38:14	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x6bece1…
04-27 16:33:54	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xed3fbc…
04-27 16:31:18	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x38526a…
04-27 16:31:16	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x1ca0ed…
04-27 16:30:38	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x82b503…
04-27 16:29:40	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x75264d…
04-27 16:28:10	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x96434a…
04-27 16:28:06	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xd981e9…
04-27 16:27:24	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	SELL	75	22¢	$16	0xa01982…
04-27 16:03:02	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xfa4a6d…
04-27 16:01:28	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x635907…
04-27 15:59:50	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xce4441…
04-27 15:58:18	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x562d68…
04-27 15:58:12	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x47d975…
04-27 15:57:14	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2ad612…
04-27 15:56:34	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x750688…
04-27 15:55:24	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x6d12d6…
04-27 15:54:42	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0xf44c9a…
04-27 15:54:42	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x4a3f1c…
04-27 15:53:12	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x8fab1e…
04-27 15:53:10	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x902920…
04-27 15:52:34	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x3c6036…
04-27 15:52:08	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	80¢	$26	0xbb060e…
04-27 15:49:42	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0xc76da6…
04-27 15:44:14	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbdee3a…
04-27 15:39:24	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0x64be8b…
04-27 15:35:10	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xd4512f…
04-27 15:31:40	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x455fe4…
04-27 15:25:46	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0xf30b93…
04-27 14:42:56	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x24d29b…
04-27 14:40:26	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xeb31fb…
04-27 14:39:28	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x96c614…
04-27 14:04:36	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb6fe3c…
04-27 09:48:54	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x40958f…
04-27 09:47:32	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9994ba…
04-27 09:46:10	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x35a6f7…
04-27 09:44:48	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb97688…
04-27 09:43:16	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x28dddd…
04-27 09:41:44	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xff79b1…