Assured-Math — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

Trades

5,365

lifetime

Volume

$67.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-13 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 68% $-5

Other

13% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772083800	8	$405	237	236	+1	open	—	02-26 05:34
highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 40 41f	14	$372	343	343	+0	open	—	03-20 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	17	$337	252	252	+0	open	—	04-29 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	10	$322	261	261	+0	open	—	04-29 14:43
highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 54 55f	4	$320	329	329	+0	open	—	03-14 18:19
highest temperature in munich on march 27 2026 7c	2	$319	170	170	+0	open	—	03-27 17:35
btc updown 5m 1775941200	4	$293	273	113	+160	open	—	04-11 21:04
btc updown 5m 1771942200	5	$293	320	16	+304	open	—	02-24 14:14
btc updown 15m 1770669900	4	$285	342	0	+342	open	—	02-09 20:59
btc updown 15m 1770657300	6	$273	377	86	+291	open	—	02-09 17:29
highest temperature in atlanta on march 22 2026 82 83f	4	$268	173	173	+0	open	—	03-22 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	10	$250	178	178	+0	open	—	04-28 23:43
btc updown 5m 1772120700	6	$248	264	13	+251	open	—	02-26 15:50
highest temperature in dallas on march 20 2026 88 89f	3	$245	163	163	+0	open	—	03-20 22:06
btc updown 15m 1770654600	2	$240	275	0	+275	open	—	02-09 16:42
btc updown 15m 1770656400	7	$237	454	0	+454	open	—	02-09 17:13
btc updown 5m 1771941300	5	$234	259	25	+234	open	—	02-24 13:59
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 56 57f	17	$230	221	221	+0	open	—	03-16 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	8	$229	178	178	+0	open	—	04-28 23:11
btc updown 5m 1771962600	5	$219	233	24	+209	open	—	02-24 19:54
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 60 61f	2	$218	119	119	+0	open	—	03-22 22:50
btc updown 5m 1772084100	5	$218	130	114	+15	open	—	02-26 05:39
btc updown 5m 1772122500	4	$218	226	0	+226	open	—	02-26 16:19
btc updown 5m 1771954200	4	$210	227	0	+227	open	—	02-24 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$208	109	109	+0	open	—	04-29 02:59
btc updown 5m 1776017400	3	$207	241	148	+93	open	—	04-12 18:14
btc updown 5m 1772145900	3	$205	210	0	+210	open	—	02-26 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	6	$202	108	108	+0	open	—	04-29 16:11
highest temperature in chicago on march 17 2026 22 23f	13	$201	494	494	+0	open	—	03-18 04:33
btc updown 5m 1771527300	3	$201	108	108	+0	open	—	02-19 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 21:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x9463b3…
05-13 21:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x3dec37…
05-13 21:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1796da…
05-12 14:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x647015…
05-12 14:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x8ecfe6…
05-12 14:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x979b63…
05-12 13:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x7c3694…
05-12 13:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x25618b…
05-12 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbd8b35…
05-12 12:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x56c855…
05-12 12:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe65741…
05-12 12:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x12eb28…
05-12 12:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3b2c67…
05-12 12:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xc90e84…
05-12 12:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x2a59c2…
05-12 12:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x681577…
05-12 12:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x55e58f…
05-12 12:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x805618…
05-12 11:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xae5235…
05-12 11:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xa5ee2f…
05-12 11:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xc3db44…
05-12 03:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdb29d1…
05-12 03:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa9c75c…
05-12 03:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x75cc89…
05-12 03:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b92b1…
05-12 03:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xcc80f7…
05-12 03:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xeb181b…
05-12 03:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xacf346…
05-12 03:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa9f52c…
05-12 03:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xd2996a…
05-12 03:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa843e1…
05-12 03:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdccab8…
05-12 03:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0xac9a57…
05-12 03:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x2b8a42…
05-12 03:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4bbc8c…
05-12 03:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x909842…
05-12 03:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x24e663…
05-12 03:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x113450…
05-12 03:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb644b4…
05-12 03:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2f4390…
05-12 03:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf094d2…
05-12 03:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x89c91e…
05-12 02:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xda173d…
05-12 02:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x8ed148…
05-12 02:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x50091d…
05-12 02:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x74dccf…
05-12 01:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x365bc7…
05-12 01:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x759609…
05-12 01:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x9a8227…
05-12 01:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3fb19a…
05-12 00:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd416d4…
05-12 00:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd3edb1…
05-12 00:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x9a4441…
05-11 23:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x33f004…
05-11 23:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x31849f…
05-11 23:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc97caf…
05-11 23:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x40c81c…
05-11 23:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x215c5b…
05-11 23:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa5d7b6…
05-11 22:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6905b4…
05-11 22:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x601a56…
05-11 22:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x104168…
05-11 22:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa70d1e…
05-11 22:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4d586f…
05-11 22:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x73cb5b…
05-11 22:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x84cb72…
05-11 22:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae2480…
05-11 22:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x26a693…
05-11 22:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x497e3a…
05-11 22:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd36f4a…
05-11 22:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xdd6e7f…
05-11 22:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4fce77…
05-11 22:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x67b284…
05-11 21:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x95af6f…
05-11 21:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc80399…
05-11 21:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3579a2…
05-11 20:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd0e785…
05-11 20:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x892aba…
05-11 20:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x3bd761…
05-11 20:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x519042…
05-11 20:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc588d1…
05-11 20:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb4c507…
05-11 20:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x467911…
05-11 20:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf9746f…
05-11 20:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x6559a1…
05-11 20:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf19cd0…
05-11 19:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcfd323…
05-11 13:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x631628…
05-02 17:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x206f75…
05-02 16:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x8a1134…
05-02 16:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x4e25ad…
05-02 14:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x9873ea…
05-02 13:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x0efbc2…
05-02 12:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0xc7a9f1…
05-02 12:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xc7c09a…
05-02 12:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xd48abb…
05-02 12:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xbf314a…
05-02 11:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x6e74bb…
04-29 17:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0xe3f401…
04-29 17:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xa05d26…