Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$664

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

208

Trades

1,412

lifetime

Volume

$55.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$1.36K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-12 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Politics

83% 39% -$6,454

Other

8% 0% -$1,325

Crypto

5% 42% -$511

Sports

4% 40% -$57

Tech

0% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes		+7,787	$2,027	18¢	$1.4K	-$664	09-12 13:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on february 16 2026	40	$3.9K	4,334	1,976	+2,358	No	+$834	02-16 23:10
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	63	$3.6K	7,647	7,647	+0	Yes	-$1,970	02-14 12:46
will israel strike gaza on february 26 2026	18	$3.4K	4,645	0	+4,645	Yes	-$3,440	02-26 16:10
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	56	$2.0K	7,787	0	+7,787	open	—	09-12 13:20
will israel strike gaza on february 23 2026	13	$2.0K	1,351	1,347	+4	No	+$221	02-26 14:15
will israel strike gaza on february 27 2026	16	$1.5K	1,897	1,353	+545	Yes	-$429	02-27 10:57
will israel strike gaza on february 28 2026	17	$1.3K	959	959	+0	No	+$1	03-01 23:47
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.3K	770	770	+0	No	+$169	02-26 14:49
will israel strike gaza on february 18 2026	29	$1.3K	1,479	359	+1,120	No	+$28	02-19 07:06
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	20	$1.2K	1,159	1,055	+104	Yes	+$120	02-09 21:59
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	10	$1.2K	2,811	2,811	+0	Yes	-$1,158	02-26 05:53
will israel strike lebanon on february 8 2026	25	$1.2K	1,162	1,162	+0	No	-$188	02-08 17:30
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	11	$1.1K	926	926	+0	Yes	-$131	01-30 12:25
will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	22	$1.1K	870	870	+0	No	-$37	02-02 14:31
will israel strike gaza on february 5 2026	9	$1.0K	811	811	+0	No	+$305	02-05 17:57
will israel strike lebanon on february 5 2026	12	$983	924	984	-60	Yes	-$267	02-05 12:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	9	$946	861	861	+0	Yes	+$16	02-22 09:56
will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	20	$919	1,464	1,464	+0	No	-$497	02-08 08:06
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	20	$919	2,578	56	+2,522	Yes	-$827	03-08 22:50
will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	11	$894	639	639	+0	No	+$308	02-03 15:38
will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	18	$802	1,189	1,306	-117	No	-$210	02-04 20:04
will israel strike lebanon on february 24 2026	6	$783	486	486	+0	No	+$183	02-26 13:13
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	38	$779	946	241	+705	No	+$264	03-13 12:40
will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	10	$708	909	909	+0	No	-$118	01-29 22:33
will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026	17	$630	1,355	1,355	+0	No	-$410	02-07 22:23
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	9	$621	744	0	+744	Yes	+$123	02-01 11:39
will israel strike lebanon on february 18 2026	14	$617	499	499	+0	No	+$14	02-19 06:59
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$595	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$5	04-01 11:07
will uae strike iran by march 31	6	$579	510	510	+0	No	+$89	03-09 22:55
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	7	$578	417	197	+219	Yes	+$24	03-02 00:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 13:20:58	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0xc54daf…
09-11 22:37:31	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8cb835…
08-30 10:52:58	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0x78b1c5…
08-30 10:52:45	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x3c2b78…
08-30 10:52:45	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	188	19¢	$36	0x101386…
08-29 18:53:55	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	93	20¢	$19	0xce7360…
08-29 18:44:03	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	157	20¢	$31	0xa898a1…
08-23 20:52:49	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0xfe2ada…
08-20 18:41:33	Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,150	10¢	$113	0x25d696…
08-20 14:28:28	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	290	22¢	$64	0xcf9d50…
08-20 12:47:31	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x4f9e0a…
08-19 21:01:57	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0x691049…
08-19 15:56:21	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa13438…
08-19 15:41:18	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	24¢	$19	0x4bc05c…
08-18 19:46:31	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,200	15¢	$176	0xc4fa05…
08-18 17:12:25	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	132	25¢	$33	0xe16b6b…
08-18 16:52:52	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0f76e2…
08-18 16:46:10	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x309f4d…
08-18 15:15:42	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xa93ece…
08-18 14:45:30	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	331	25¢	$83	0xee6047…
08-18 04:23:25	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x0eaf1b…
08-17 21:19:13	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x682957…
08-17 21:15:46	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfbd52d…
08-17 21:15:43	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	121	26¢	$31	0xfaf34b…
08-17 21:15:42	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x565aaa…
08-17 21:15:40	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x8b2dab…
08-17 18:31:10	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x16fdd7…
08-17 16:23:57	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x6930db…
08-17 16:22:51	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x5b1091…
08-17 16:22:18	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x4626e9…
08-17 16:21:48	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0xfb108c…
08-17 16:21:13	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x9379b6…
08-17 16:20:24	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x7bedcf…
08-17 16:19:27	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x55f0c5…
08-17 16:18:45	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x0d69dc…
08-17 16:16:57	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0xfa7c55…
08-17 16:16:27	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0xa3a358…
08-17 16:15:37	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x4e3c13…
08-17 16:15:06	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x0ce2f6…
08-17 16:14:36	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x01f430…
08-17 16:13:36	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x3c26af…
08-17 16:12:42	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x552827…
08-17 16:11:57	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x696a93…
08-17 16:11:25	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0x5b57f9…
08-17 16:11:22	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	150	26¢	$39	0x4b185e…
08-17 08:46:27	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x5fe50e…
08-16 07:51:00	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	477	27¢	$129	0x732712…
08-15 22:50:01	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x1aadc8…
08-15 13:01:03	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	181	28¢	$51	0xebec01…
08-15 07:26:04	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb01ffe…
08-15 07:20:19	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	565	28¢	$158	0x79a459…
08-15 02:06:45	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbfd236…
08-15 00:10:57	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	28¢	$17	0xb550ea…
08-14 18:59:03	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	218	28¢	$61	0x8ea6db…
08-13 15:51:28	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,963	28¢	$830	0x0840e0…
08-08 09:18:13	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x751d3f…
08-08 07:46:36	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,200	15¢	$178	0xafd268…
04-06 16:29:03	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x8e24bc…
04-06 16:25:29	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x29996d…
04-06 16:25:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	43¢	$28	0xd38ed2…
04-06 16:16:27	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x70c22e…
04-06 15:38:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	257	26¢	$67	0x82d203…
04-01 11:19:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0xc24f72…
04-01 11:18:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xa5218b…
04-01 11:17:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3996a6…
04-01 11:17:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x08475c…
04-01 11:17:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc1f732…
04-01 11:13:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x94a13c…
04-01 11:07:41	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0x713d29…
04-01 11:07:17	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	234	26¢	$61	0x02b5c9…
04-01 11:05:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x6e73ac…
04-01 11:05:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	SELL	113	32¢	$36	0x4b1222…
04-01 10:00:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x1867ff…
04-01 10:00:27	Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	142	23¢	$33	0xa4d53a…
03-31 11:32:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0xf15bb8…
03-30 03:00:38	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0xe76397…
03-29 20:04:46	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x9acb1c…
03-29 19:54:02	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0x0eab46…
03-29 19:52:36	Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	SELL	61	33¢	$20	0xde9eb0…
03-29 07:17:30	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x1f81ff…
03-27 15:03:13	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x842374…
03-27 14:59:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x96edbe…
03-27 14:58:15	Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	SELL	46	33¢	$15	0x1e09d2…
03-27 14:57:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x2e2292…
03-25 19:08:19	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x806290…
03-24 15:29:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x268b2c…
03-23 21:13:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	36	63¢	$22	0x2f2255…
03-23 21:12:57	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	250	9¢	$22	0x920fc2…
03-23 21:07:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	153	62¢	$95	0x40f1f3…
03-23 21:07:17	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	435	22¢	$96	0xf0761a…
03-23 21:05:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	37	62¢	$23	0x2d75a6…
03-23 21:04:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	119	62¢	$74	0x03bfbd…
03-23 21:04:37	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	187	40¢	$75	0xc26ef4…
03-23 20:22:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x75f34c…
03-23 16:55:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x613f94…
03-23 16:41:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfeaead…
03-23 16:31:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3be5d7…
03-23 16:29:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x9b0763…
03-23 16:13:27	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	192	12¢	$23	0x3ae27f…
03-23 16:13:17	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	107	16¢	$17	0xfcb7e3…