Qualified-Casino — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$854

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

502

Trades

5,781

lifetime

Volume

$23.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-18 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 48% -$602

Other

14% 24% -$252

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 13	190	$696	828	781	+47	No	-$2	03-13 18:42
will bitcoin dip to 71k on march 13	163	$524	624	417	+207	Yes	-$38	03-13 18:29
bitcoin above 66k on march 16	54	$465	224	319	-96	Yes	-$20	03-12 08:50
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	54	$448	410	316	+94	Yes	+$179	04-22 19:07
will bitcoin reach 74k march 9 15	109	$422	367	420	-53	Yes	+$37	03-14 02:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	24	$405	311	311	+0	No	+$48	05-27 06:46
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	88	$379	983	828	+155	No	-$17	03-13 16:10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	116	$367	427	364	+62	Yes	-$73	05-27 16:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 11	99	$353	379	250	+129	Yes	-$53	03-11 18:07
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	91	$349	380	195	+185	Yes	-$66	03-11 17:10
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	57	$347	478	167	+312	Yes	-$36	04-22 19:50
bitcoin up or down on march 11	59	$334	225	255	-30	Down	+$10	03-11 15:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 11	75	$324	327	229	+98	No	+$19	03-11 18:06
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 10	103	$310	326	273	+52	No	+$5	03-11 01:27
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 11	103	$304	225	290	-65	No	-$42	03-11 17:37
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 10	113	$293	318	272	+46	No	+$14	03-11 02:34
will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 11	59	$286	140	172	-32	No	-$2	03-12 01:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 13	66	$277	427	392	+35	No	+$15	03-13 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$276	446	0	+446	Down	+$170	05-04 15:29
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 15	114	$272	320	287	+33	Yes	-$2	04-15 16:09
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	54	$268	187	171	+17	No	+$0	04-15 08:13
bitcoin above 62k on march 17	47	$265	120	160	-40	Yes	-$2	03-11 18:07
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	63	$264	223	190	+33	Yes	-$9	04-15 16:06
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	88	$251	300	284	+15	No	-$21	05-28 13:32
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	70	$249	514	0	+514	No	-$22	05-01 02:44
bitcoin above 72k on april 20	35	$245	430	389	+41	Yes	-$20	04-20 05:25
bitcoin above 74k on april 15	50	$243	429	181	+248	No	+$25	04-15 15:58
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	28	$241	314	299	+14	No	+$12	04-22 06:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 13	69	$241	376	353	+23	Yes	-$2	03-13 16:11
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 11	110	$229	204	270	-66	Yes	-$38	03-11 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 05:51:26	o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x112bef…
06-18 00:18:38	o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3658a5…
06-17 23:57:49	o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x453e6d…
06-17 23:56:47	o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x50eb86…
06-17 23:56:17	o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x36806b…
06-17 23:52:14	o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xee06a2…
06-17 23:51:44	o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6bbb0f…
06-17 23:49:41	o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb4f383…
06-17 23:48:41	o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x72bfde…
06-17 23:47:41	o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1e5c82…
06-17 23:45:08	o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4232b8…
06-17 23:42:05	o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xda32db…
06-17 22:41:35	o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x14c18f…
06-17 22:21:14	o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc5a808…
06-17 22:08:31	o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x268e4b…
06-17 21:47:04	o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2f3cfc…
06-17 21:46:34	o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xc95691…
06-17 21:46:22	o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xcae23b…
06-17 21:38:23	o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x80b1f4…
06-17 21:21:37	o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	72¢	$25	0xdab562…
06-17 20:58:34	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x34944d…
05-28 13:32:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x99e088…
05-28 13:32:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0xba9116…
05-27 17:10:14	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2c7fca…
05-27 16:53:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdda4ad…
05-27 16:53:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd6eb6e…
05-27 16:52:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x859c16…
05-27 16:44:01	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $205?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xe6933c…
05-27 16:43:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $205?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2abc27…
05-27 16:43:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $205?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x1e7999…
05-27 16:42:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $205?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7303a1…
05-27 16:42:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xa551d2…
05-27 16:42:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x17f920…
05-27 16:41:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $205?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x21a1f5…
05-27 16:41:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $205?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x876a1f…
05-27 16:41:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6bfb23…
05-27 16:41:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xdc005b…
05-27 16:40:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x98cc54…
05-27 16:40:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xc422ba…
05-27 16:40:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa155ec…
05-27 16:39:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2051e4…
05-27 16:32:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x2174be…
05-27 16:32:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5a7f4b…
05-27 16:31:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0a0352…
05-27 16:23:27	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xf2e3d9…
05-27 16:23:27	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xa44193…
05-27 16:23:27	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27?	No	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x661e33…
05-27 16:19:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x85fdc5…
05-27 16:18:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xe2a29d…
05-27 16:17:44	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xde1746…
05-27 16:17:20	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x86dd48…
05-27 16:16:48	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x98e942…
05-27 16:16:43	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x326683…
05-27 16:16:19	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2b3b88…
05-27 16:15:47	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd979ff…
05-27 16:15:44	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x750212…
05-27 16:15:19	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe80d1a…
05-27 16:14:46	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x07e8af…
05-27 16:12:36	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xba114c…
05-27 16:12:22	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa8f22e…
05-27 16:12:14	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xa57873…
05-27 16:12:14	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6e8964…
05-27 16:12:12	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x340207…
05-27 14:21:20	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on May 27?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf41531…
05-27 14:21:06	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd3f9d2…
05-27 14:06:38	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x88a815…
05-27 14:06:36	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc272e7…
05-27 14:04:08	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x9ee69d…
05-27 14:04:01	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x414b57…
05-27 14:01:37	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x25ce2e…
05-27 14:01:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2364df…
05-27 14:01:16	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xa08dc9…
05-27 14:01:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x931692…
05-27 14:01:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x8c0e4f…
05-27 14:01:06	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x67ab3e…
05-27 14:01:06	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x125176…
05-27 14:00:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa72c1a…
05-27 14:00:38	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc7d3ad…
05-27 14:00:36	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xd34a82…
05-27 14:00:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xc8f608…
05-27 14:00:20	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb1cd5c…
05-27 14:00:20	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa12e63…
05-27 14:00:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x75c999…
05-27 14:00:04	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc936f5…
05-27 14:00:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x9bf4f2…
05-27 14:00:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x2b6831…
05-27 13:59:49	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xea2b60…
05-27 13:59:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x3833b3…
05-27 13:59:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x13a5c5…
05-27 13:59:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xf2d08c…
05-27 13:59:35	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x5c1daa…
05-27 13:59:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x4dd6b6…
05-27 13:59:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $215?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x0402f0…
05-27 13:59:19	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xa39af7…
05-27 13:59:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x34e422…
05-27 13:59:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xff764f…
05-27 13:59:17	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x962712…
05-27 13:59:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x91dfd7…
05-27 13:59:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $215?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6b9660…
05-27 13:59:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $215?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xb5a09b…