Livid-Savior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

442

Trades

673

lifetime

Volume

$4.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-14 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 45% -$26

Other

45% 28% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	—	+20	$6	1¢	$0	-$5	11-14 07:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 03:30 UTC	2	$184	124	122	+2	Down	+$59	01-07 03:42
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	2	$108	100	100	+0	Yes	+$52	07-31 08:31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	2	$104	90	90	+0	Yes	+$50	09-25 11:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$103	100	100	+0	Yes	+$87	08-14 12:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$87	100	100	+0	Yes	+$31	07-24 02:36
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$84	100	100	+0	No	+$22	06-16 00:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	2	$83	100	100	+0	Yes	+$43	08-31 13:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$79	100	100	+0	No	+$29	06-11 00:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$75	100	0	+100	Yes	+$25	06-09 03:34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$68	100	100	+0	Yes	+$15	07-02 23:47
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$66	100	0	+100	No	-$66	06-02 00:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	2	$64	100	100	+0	No	+$14	08-07 00:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	2	$56	100	100	+0	Yes	+$26	07-16 15:28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$49	100	0	+100	No	-$49	07-13 05:36
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	2	$43	100	100	+0	Yes	-$17	06-29 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$42	100	0	+100	No	-$42	11-03 08:17
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 03:15 UTC	2	$41	39	38	+1	Up	+$1	01-11 03:15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$40	100	100	+0	Yes	-$14	08-09 13:11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$40	100	0	+100	No	-$40	07-09 08:43
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$40	100	0	+100	Yes	+$60	10-20 13:34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$38	100	100	+0	No	-$2	07-25 13:26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$37	100	100	+0	No	-$13	07-27 04:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 03:30 UTC	4	$37	61	23	+38	Down	-$13	01-13 03:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$34	100	0	+100	No	-$34	08-08 08:07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$34	100	0	+100	No	-$34	06-03 00:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$31	100	0	+100	Yes	+$69	06-03 00:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$30	100	0	+100	Yes	+$70	07-09 08:45
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$30	100	0	+100	No	-$30	06-02 00:16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$29	100	100	+0	No	-$7	06-17 06:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:45 UTC	2	$27	24	24	+0	Up	+$8	01-12 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 07:48:41	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb7ca1e…
11-14 07:38:05	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x134858…
11-14 07:37:17	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x2cda61…
11-14 04:18:29	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x376411…
11-14 04:18:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x09d0da…
11-14 04:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x23221f…
11-14 04:05:38	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x0b72a2…
11-14 03:49:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xe9e43f…
11-14 03:47:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc518b3…
11-14 03:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x04b8bb…
11-14 03:22:14	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x43dfed…
11-14 03:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x7cdd88…
11-14 03:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x74454d…
11-14 03:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xba98ad…
11-14 02:47:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x402501…
11-14 02:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x8e1ef3…
11-14 02:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa2dc85…
11-13 12:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x73c42b…
11-13 12:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x714a77…
11-13 12:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x539834…
11-13 12:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x0a9da4…
11-13 11:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xb13f45…
11-13 11:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x32a4f2…
11-13 11:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x3da978…
11-13 10:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x40c2ca…
11-13 10:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x8ea52b…
11-13 10:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x2f2c32…
11-13 10:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa9e9fa…
11-13 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf1b547…
11-13 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9eddcd…
11-13 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x506e36…
11-13 09:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd54dcb…
11-13 08:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x902b4f…
11-13 08:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x6558ae…
11-13 08:06:57	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x742314…
11-13 05:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x061f92…
11-13 04:46:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x14d0f2…
11-13 04:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x193398…
11-13 04:37:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x6a05dc…
11-13 04:29:40	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xc0e19b…
11-13 04:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x9eaedd…
11-13 04:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xbb4630…
11-13 04:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x189237…
11-13 04:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x13e0e2…
11-13 03:15:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x61c444…
11-13 03:06:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2a6240…
11-13 02:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x182dd1…
11-13 02:22:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x672208…
11-13 02:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1c59a4…
11-12 16:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x1949e4…
11-12 15:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xa779fd…
11-12 15:55:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x9549fa…
11-12 15:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xb76a42…
11-12 15:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xba7d46…
11-12 15:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xec197d…
11-12 15:37:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x69d2b0…
11-12 13:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x2f9668…
11-12 13:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x17c227…
11-12 12:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x4abe9c…
11-12 12:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x294a1e…
11-12 12:52:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x699fc9…
11-12 12:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfab88b…
11-12 12:16:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x9d703e…
11-12 09:48:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7c5d13…
11-12 09:40:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xaf31f6…
11-12 09:26:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfa6e81…
11-12 09:23:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x2745d7…
11-12 09:22:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xb4c6ff…
11-12 04:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xc86d29…
11-12 04:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xba44f3…
11-12 04:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd217e4…
11-12 04:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x802ba6…
11-12 04:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x37c38a…
11-12 04:06:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x73bb0c…
11-12 04:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x210ef8…
11-12 04:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf5b3ed…
11-12 03:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xd1ddb2…
11-12 03:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xa7d183…
11-12 03:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3a9600…
11-12 03:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xc1207c…
11-12 03:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x471999…
11-12 03:02:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x93fe56…
11-12 02:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x69d1a7…
11-12 02:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x962fe8…
11-12 02:20:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xd4527b…
11-12 02:20:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x63e5ea…
11-12 02:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x84f7af…
11-12 02:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xed103d…
11-12 02:19:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xdadccd…
11-12 02:19:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xcd7198…
11-12 02:19:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xc5e1b8…
11-11 15:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x41dacf…
11-11 15:33:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x08d039…
11-11 15:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x4ba243…
11-11 10:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9698aa…
11-11 10:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x52df4f…
11-11 10:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$9	0xb3f9ac…
11-11 10:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x8d6cfe…
11-11 09:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x2b792a…
11-11 03:38:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x74535d…